| | | | |  | | By Adam Wren | Presented by the National Retail Federation | With help from Eli Okun, Garrett Ross and Bethany Irvine
| | | |  | DRIVING THE DAY | | | TODAY — Senate confirmation hearings for five Cabinet nominees. At 10 a.m.: DOUG BURGUM (Interior), LEE ZELDIN (EPA) and SCOTT TURNER (HUD). At 10:15: PAM BONDI (DOJ). At 10:30: SCOTT BESSENT (Treasury). … At 1:30 p.m: Live from Detroit, the DNC and POLITICO co-host an in-person candidate forum for the party’s officer elections. The event will be moderated by our own Eugene Daniels, White House Bureau Chief Dasha Burns, Politics Bureau Chief and senior political columnist Jonathan Martin, and national political reporters Elena Schneider and Holly Otterbein. Watch it on YouTube or at POLITICO.com. APPOINTMENT READING — Rachael Bade is unmatched in her ability to find and break news on Capitol Hill — hard stop. (You likely know this from being a Playbook subscriber and having her deeply sourced reporting delivered straight to your inbox.) Her first “Corridors” column, which debuts today, is no exception. It’s bound to drive conversation on both sides of Capitol Hill because it gets to the heart of the political and interpersonal dynamic that will shape President-elect DONALD TRUMP’s legislative agenda perhaps more than any other: The relationship between House Speaker MIKE JOHNSON and Senate Majority Leader JOHN THUNE. “Ask Congress’ top two leaders about each other, and you’ll hear all the expected pleasantries — on the surface,” Rachael writes. “Dig a little deeper, though, and it becomes obvious that all is not well in cross-Rotunda relations at the moment. On fundamental questions of legislative strategy, Johnson and Thune remain at loggerheads as Trump prepares to take the oath of office — risking delays in enacting President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda and hinting at potential trouble in what’s quickly shaping up to be one of the most important relationships in Washington.” Read the whole thing, because Trump world sure is.
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Elon Musk listens as Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event at the Butler Farm Show, on Oct. 5, 2024, in Butler, Pennsylvania. | Alex Brandon/AP | BIDEN’S PARTING WARNING — As a candidate entering office, President JOE BIDEN made no secret of aspiring to the legacies of FRANKLIN DELANO ROOSEVELT and LYNDON BAINES JOHNSON — he seemed to almost lean into the comparison at times. But last night, in his farewell speech, he reached not for FDR and LBJ, but DWIGHT EISENHOWER and THEODORE ROOSEVELT. In clear and unfussy language, he warned of a rising American “oligarchy” with a “dangerous concentration of power” and influential “tech-industrial complex” — alluding to Ike’s farewell warning of a “military-industrial complex,” and echoing Roosevelt’s language in calling out the “robber barons” of a new dystopian Gilded Age. While Biden used some of his speech to tout his accomplishments — such as a $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan and $1.2 trillion infrastructure law — he largely dispensed with the sort of gauzy lookback at his own presidency for something altogether more somber and urgent. “Today, an oligarchy is taking shape in America of extreme wealth, power and influence that really threatens our entire democracy, our basic rights and freedom and a fair shot for everyone to get ahead," Biden said from the Oval Office, as first lady JILL BIDEN, VP KAMALA HARRIS and second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF looked on. Biden did not explicitly namecheck ELON MUSK, who has sidled up closely to Trump. Nor did he mention MARK ZUCKERBERG or JEFF BEZOS — the world’s three wealthiest men, all of whom have made handsome donations to the president-elect’s inaugural fund and are due to sit on the dais for the swearing-in ceremony in four days’ time. He didn’t need to mention them by name. Asked whether Biden was referring to Musk with the “robber baron” jab, a White House aide demurred, but told Playbook the billionaire “was certainly an example of one.” As aides watched in the East Room and throughout the White House, chowing down Andy’s Pizza, they reacted most warmly to the “oligarch” section of the speech, said one aide. “The powerful forces want to wield their unchecked influence to eliminate the steps we’ve taken to tackle the climate crisis, to serve their own interest for power and profit,” Biden said. “We must not be bullied into sacrificing the future, the future of our children and our grandchildren. We must keep pushing forward and push faster.” Farewell addresses are as much if not more for the history books than for contemporary audiences. Perceptions of a presidency — and the person who holds the office — change over time. But they are also the starkest reminder that a presidency is often shaped and buffeted as much by unpredictable events and forces outside a president’s control as it is their own ambitions coming into office. Biden trading FDR and LBJ at the beginning of his presidency for Roosevelt and Eisenhower at the end are the clearest reflection of that truth. The analysis: “Biden’s Presidential Legacy: An Era of Change, Forever Marked by Trump,” by NYT’s Peter Baker … “As Biden exits the stage, Democrats are uncharacteristically quiet,” by WaPo’s Paul Kane About that “tech-industrial complex”:
- Google CEO SUNDAR PICHAI is expected to sit on the dais at Trump’s inauguration on Monday along with a handful of other tech big-wigs, Steven Overly reports.
Good Thursday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop me a line: awren@politico.com.
| | | | A message from the National Retail Federation: Many of the tax provisions in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act are set to expire at the end of 2025. Retailers and small business owners have benefited from lower tax rates by investing the savings in their businesses and employees. NRF is advocating for reauthorization of TCJA to support our nation’s economic growth. Learn more. | | | FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Minnesota Gov. TIM WALZ will release his budget plans today, proposing a sales tax cut as the state prepares for the incoming Trump administration’s continued threats to impose tariffs. It would reduce the state’s sales tax by .075 percent while closing a wealth management loophole. It’s a preview of how Walz, the former VP candidate who has kept a low profile since his party’s losses, might use his office to push Democratic alternatives to Trump’s policies. Like Michigan Gov. GRETCHEN WHITMER, who, as Playbook reported, warned against Trump’s tariffs in her own speech yesterday, Walz represents a subtler, more kitchen table-focused way of messaging against Trump on tariffs that looks and feels different from his counterparts in bluer states. But even as Walz edges back into the spotlight, Minnesota is rife with challenges for him. Minnesota Democrats are bracing for a bitter legislative session, which opened this week, after they narrowly lost the state House and only hold a slim majority in the state Senate. ONE DOWN — New York state Sen. JAMES SKOUFIS dropped out of the DNC chair race today and endorsed Minnesota DFL head KEN MARTIN, Elena Schneider scooped.
| | | | A message from the National Retail Federation:   NRF is advocating to preserve pro-growth tax policy. Learn more. | | | | | WHAT'S HAPPENING TODAY | | On the Hill The Senate will meet at noon to resume consideration of the “Laken Riley Act.” The House will meet at 9 a.m. to consider the “Preventing Violence Against Women by Illegal Aliens Act,” with first and last votes expected at 10:30 a.m. 3 things to watch …
- Intel shocker: In a move that stunned many in Washington’s natsec circles, yesterday, Speaker Johnson removed Rep. MIKE TURNER (R-Ohio) as chair of the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, Meredith Lee Hill, Daniella Diaz and Connor O'Brien report. The rationale? It depends who’s telling the story. Turner, one of the most vocal Republican supporters of military aid to Ukraine, told CBS’ Margaret Brennan that the speaker cited “concerns from Mar-a-Lago” as justification for the removal. Among those disputing that characterization: Johnson (“This is not a President Trump decision; this is a House decision,” the speaker said) and JAMES BLAIR, the political director of Trump’s 2024 campaign (“False information.”). Rep. JIM HIMES (D-Conn.), a top Dem on the Intel panel, said he is “enormously concerned” about what the ouster portends for the select committee and its ability to perform oversight. What to watch today: Will other pro-Ukraine Republicans feel chastened by the event? Is there any room for dissent within Trump’s GOP?
- What Scott Bessent can expect: Though Trump’s Treasury secretary pick is expected to ultimately get approved with ease, Senate Dems will try their best to draw blood at his confirmation hearing today. Expect them to take swings when it comes to the president-elect’s proposed tariffs and the extension of the Trump tax cuts (Bessent will warn that failing to extend the tax cuts would represent “the largest tax increase in history,” the NYT reports). But they’ll also zero in on Bessent himself: A memo prepared by Sen. RON WYDEN (D-Ore.) claims that Bessent “improperly claimed nearly $2 million in tax losses and owes nearly $1 million in taxes related to his hedge fund,” Benjamin Guggenheim reports. The big picture here — whether on the tax cut fight, on tariffs or on Bessent’s personal tax situation — is that Dems will try to advance a narrative that portrays the coming administration as siding with the ultra-wealthy and being out of touch with the economic realities that face ordinary Americans. Will it prevent Bessent’s confirmation? Probably not. But it’s a messaging exercise for Democrats as they look for a way to regain turf among the working-class voters Trump poached from them in 2024.
- Once more, like before: “House Judiciary Committee chair JIM JORDAN says he is mulling whether to call JACK SMITH, the special counsel who led the federal investigations into President-elect Donald Trump, to testify before his committee,” Hailey Fuchs writes. “[N]ow that one of Smith’s reports is public and Smith has resigned from the Justice Department, it could pave the way for his testimony before his committee. It has become fairly routine for special counsels to testify before Congress at the end of their tenures.” While not altogether surprising, one thing we cannot help but consider is the fact that with Republicans in total control of Washington, they’re going to be hard up for powerful villains to run against — which means you can likely them to take swings at Biden-era punching bags (both Smith and HUNTER) for the foreseeable future.
At the White House Biden will receive the President’s Daily Brief in the morning. At 2 p.m., the president will deliver remarks at a Department of Defense Commander in Chief Farewell Ceremony at Joint Base Myers-Henderson Hall, with Jill Biden, Harris and Emhoff also in attendance.
| | | | POLITICO is helping kick off the U.S. Conference of Mayors Winter Meeting with a Happy Hour on January 16th. Mingle with U.S. mayors, Washington insiders, and business executives over cocktails and light bites at the award-winning Cranes restaurant. RSVP here to join us! | | | | | | | PLAYBOOK READS | | TRANSITION LENSES
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President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with Republican governors at Mar-a-Lago on Jan. 9, 2025, in Palm Beach, Florida. | Evan Vucci/AP | TIKTOK ON THE CLOCK — With the fate of TikTok in the U.S. in the hands of a skeptical Supreme Court, Trump is considering a last-ditch executive order to halt enforcement of the ban for 60-90 days, “buying the administration time to negotiate a sale or alternative solution — a legally questionable effort to win a brief reprieve for the Chinese-owned app now scheduled to be banned on Sunday nationwide,” WaPo’s Drew Harwell and Elizabeth Dwoskin report. Driving the decision is a “keen interest” from Trump “in being seen as rescuing a platform on which he’s been told he’s widely admired.” Incoming national security adviser MIKE WALTZ told Fox News last night that the administration is “going to create this space to put that deal in place.” All the while, the Biden administration is also “considering ways to keep TikTok available in the U.S. if a ban that’s scheduled to go into effect on Sunday proceeds,” effectively kicking the issue to Trump to handle, NBC’s Carol Lee, Jonathan Allen and Savannah Sellers report. Said an administration official: “Americans shouldn’t expect to see TikTok suddenly banned on Sunday.” Related read: “TikTok Says Employees Will Have Jobs Even if Ban Takes Effect,” by NYT’s Sapna Maheshwari More top reads:
- In the latest sign of how the incoming administration is taking power, the Trump transition team is “attempting to remove US attorneys immediately by replacing them with interim leaders who’d be aligned with the president-elect’s priorities,” Bloomberg Law’s Ben Penn reports. “Transition staffers have been working to identify existing career prosecutors in many of the nation’s 93 law enforcement districts who they’d feel confident would support the president-elect’s law enforcement priorities — including deportations — once elevated as acting US attorneys.”
- Trump’s team has also asked three senior career diplomats “who oversee the U.S. State Department's workforce and internal coordination to step down from their roles,” Reuters’ Humeyra Pamuk, Simon Lewis and Gram Slattery report. Insiders note that the team “wants to get more politically appointed officials deeper into the State Department as there was a pervasive feeling among his aides that his agenda was ‘derailed’ by career diplomats during his last term from 2017 to 2021.”
- When Trump sat down with D.C. Mayor MURIEL BOWSER last month, he told her that he saw graffiti in the capital “as symbolic of a city in decline” and vowed to take action, WSJ’s Alex Leary and Natalie Andrews report. “As Trump prepares to move back into the White House for his second term, he and his senior advisers have vowed to transform the nation’s capital in ways both small and large. The president-elect regards Washington as the epicenter of what he sees as his political persecution, and he is determined to make it a more MAGA-friendly place.”
- DHS Secretary-designate KRISTI NOEM stated in her financial disclosure that she made $139,750 in an advance payment for her 2024 book, “No Going Back,” which included a shocking story about how she had shot and killed her family dog, CRICKET. More from Daniella Diaz
- The run of show: Country music acts will be the focal point of the musical acts associated with Trump’s inauguration weekend. CARRIE UNDERWOOD, LEE GREENWOOD and CHRISTOPHER MACCHIO are all slated to perform during the official ceremony. Headlining Trump’s MAGA rally will be KID ROCK, the Village People and BILLY RAY CYRUS. And various balls will hear the likes of JASON ALDEAN, Rascal Flatts, PARKER McCOLLUM and GAVIN DeGRAW. More from Ben Johansen
AMERICA AND THE WORLD
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Protestors react to the ceasefire announcement as they take part in a demonstration in Tel Aviv, Israel, Jan. 15, 2025. | Oded Balilty/AP | HOW IT HAPPENED — The cease-fire agreement that was struck yesterday is set to see its first stage take effect on Sunday, according to mediators. And while the deal “provides Palestinians and Israelis with a glimmer of jubilation,” NYT’s Patrick Kingsley writes, “it’s a view tinged with uncertainty. “For Palestinians, the agreement, if it is finalized, is likely to offer at least several weeks of respite from a devastating Israeli military campaign that has killed more than 45,000 people in Gaza, both civilians and combatants. For Israelis, it could allow for the release of at least one-third of the remaining hostages held by Hamas and its allies. The captives were taken when Hamas raided Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, the first of 466 days of war. “But the ambiguity of the deal, drafts of which were reviewed by The New York Times, also means lingering unease and the possibility of renewed conflict within weeks. To persuade both sides to sign on, mediators forged an arrangement that is worded so loosely that some of its components remain unresolved, meaning that it could easily collapse.” The brass tacks: The deal came about “in part through a remarkable collaboration between President Biden and President-elect Donald J. Trump, who temporarily put aside mutual animosity to achieve a mutual goal,” NYT’s Peter Baker writes. “The two presidents directed their advisers to work together to push Israel and Hamas over the finish line for an agreement to halt the fighting that has ravaged Gaza and release hostages who have been held there for 15 months.” Related reads: “How Months of Geopolitical Upheaval Paved Way for Gaza Cease-Fire,” by WSJ’s Rory Jones, Summer Said and Carrie Keller-Lynn … “What does the ceasefire agreement mean for Israel, Hamas and the wider Middle East?” by AP’s Joseph Krauss More top reads:
- Officials in Canada are considering cutting off their country’s energy supply to the U.S. if Trump imposes sweeping tariffs on Canadian goods, Mickey Djuric reports from Ottawa. They are also “assembling a list of measures, including tariffs on U.S. exports to Canada and levies or other restrictions on key Canadian exports,” per NYT’s Matina Stevis-Gridneff. “Everything is on the table,” outgoing PM JUSTIN TRUDEAU said yesterday, following a meeting with Canada’s provincial and territorial premiers.
- The Albanian government has granted preliminary approval for a proposal from JARED KUSHNER “to build a $1.4 billion luxury hotel complex on a small abandoned military base off the coast of Albania,” NYT’s Eric Lipton reports.
- Trump’s proposed push to take the Panama Canal back under U.S. jurisdiction “may alienate Panama at a time when China is trying to woo the country as an ally and expand its influence in Latin America,” former American officials tell NYT’s Maria Abi-Habib.
| | | | A message from the National Retail Federation:   NRF supports an extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Learn more. | | | THE WHITE HOUSE WITH FRIENDS LIKE THESE — VP Harris “has told close allies and family members she is disappointed” with Biden’s recent assertions that he could have beaten Trump had he stayed in the presidential race, WSJ’s Tarini Parti and Emily Glazer report. “Some close to Harris said Biden’s assertion shows the ‘one-sided loyalty’ of their relationship, which had turned into a warm, working one over the years but hit awkward patches when the vice president moved to the top of the ticket. Since the election, signs of frostiness have emerged.” As for what’s next for Harris, WSJ notes that she and DOUG EMHOFF plan to split time between California and New York after leaving office. Plus, NBC’s Yamiche Alcindor, Carol Lee and Jonathan Allen report that Harris has decided to write a new book, with the exact topic still TBD. “There’s a version of this book that is full of platitudes but safe, and then there’s a version that reinvents her to lead a Democratic Party in need of rebuilding,” said KEITH URBAHN, a publishing vet at Javelin. “She gets a payday either way, but only the latter gets her a second shot at the presidency.” ALL POLITICS RISE OF THE RESISTANCE — Facing the prospect of a more-organized Trump administration this time around, former Biden-Harris officials on Inauguration Day are launching a new legal response center to bolster the fight against Trump’s impending executive orders, Myah Ward reports. “The new effort, funded by the national legal organization Democracy Forward … will analyze the incoming president’s executive orders to support legal and political challenges to his agenda … The group, which announced the effort Thursday, has already identified more than 200 of what it classifies as emerging threats related to the incoming president’s expected executive orders.” DeSANTIS DOWNLOAD — Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS escalated the power struggle with the GOP-led state legislature in the Sunshine State, urging lawmakers to use a special session to pass new laws to fight illegal immigration, even as Republican leaders are reticent to do anything until the regular session that begins in March, Kimberly Leonard, Andrew Atterbury and Gary Fineout report. HE’S RUNNING — Florida GOP Rep. BYRON DONALDS has been “telling potential donors and Florida political players that he is running for governor in 2026,” NBC’s Matt Dixon reports. POLICY CORNER AFTER-ACTION REPORT — A new report from the Pentagon’s inspector general found that Defense Secretary LLOYD AUSTIN’s covert hospitalization last year and “his desire for privacy drove notification failures inside the government, and that he took medication that could have affected his cognitive functions while still in sole command,” Reuters’ Phil Stewart and Idrees Ali report. YOWZA — “Chinese hackers accessed thousands of Treasury files, including Yellen’s, officials told lawmakers,” by Jasper Goodman
| | PLAYBOOKERS | | Jim Justice missed both votes on his second day as a senator. The New Yorker stands by its reporting on Susan Collins and Pege Hegseth’s confirmation. IN MEMORIAM — “Beryl Anthony, longtime U.S. congressman from Arkansas, dead at 86,” by the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette’s Lena Miano: He was “known for his staunch advocacy of Arkansas needs and his ability to work across party lines.” He was also chair of the DCCC for the 1988 and 1990 cycles. OUT AND ABOUT — The Congressional Jewish Staff Association hosted its 119th Congress Welcome Reception last night on the Hill. SPOTTED: Reps. Lois Frankel (D-Fla.), Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), Sara Jacobs (D-Calif.), Steve Cohen (D-Tenn.), Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.), Tessa Cate, Gabe Feiner, Danu Rojzman, Ari Kaufman-Frankel, Benny Stanislawski, Max Harris, Will Saltzburg and Jared Sutton. — SPOTTED at PCI’s “Celebrating New Faces of Congress” event at District Winery last night: Reps. Dave Min (D-Calif.), Laura Friedman (D-Calif.), Chris Deluzio (D-Pa.), Angie Craig (D-Minn.), Luz Rivas (D-Calif.), Pat Ryan (D-N.Y.), Gabe Amo (D-R.I.), Robert Garcia (D-Calif.), Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.), Kristen McDonald Rivet (D-Mich.), Yassamin Ansari (D-Ariz.), Mary Gay Scanlon (D-Pa.), Morgan McGarvey (D-Ky.), Nellie Pou (D-N.J.), Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-Ill.) and Lloyd Doggett (D-Texas), Nick Wu, Matt Brown, Arit John, Chris Stirewalt, Erin Doherty, Elizabeth Houston Booker, Kat Abu, Annie Wu, Allie O’Brien, Marianna Sotomayor, Katy Stech Ferek, Annie Grayer, Andrew Solender, Adam Green, Stephanie Taylor, Emma Lydon, Sydney Register, Sara Nelson, Mike Darner, Evan Brown, Ezra Levin and Leah Greenberg. MEDIAWATCH — American Compass has launched a new online magazine, Commonplace, which aims to be the “intellectual home of the new right-of-center” with a focus on the “political, economic and cultural concerns that matter to ordinary Americans.” Initial contributors include Oren Cass, Helen Andrews, Drew Holden, Julius Krein, Batya Ungar-Sargon, Henry Olsen and Michael Brendan Dougherty. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Jacob Lew, the outgoing U.S. ambassador to Israel, is rejoining the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs faculty as a professor of international and public affairs in January. He will teach graduate students and serve as faculty policy director at SIPA’s Institute of Global Politics on diplomacy, geopolitical stability, international economics, fiscal and trade policy and a range of other public policy issues. — Tony Vargas is the new executive director of Square One, a national PAC supporting Democratic women, people of color, and LGBTQ+ candidates for Congress. He previously ran for Congress in Nebraska and was a state senator. TRANSITIONS — WestExec Advisors has named Gen. Mark Kelly and Gen. Glen VanHerck as principals. Kelly previously was commander of Air Combat Command. VanHerck previously was commander of U.S. Northern Command and North American Aerospace Defense Command. … Laura Lane is now VP and chief corporate affairs officer at Chevron, as Al Williams retires. She most recently was chief corporate affairs officer at UPS. … Lauren Roth is now a partner at King & Spalding on the FDA and life sciences team in its government matters and regulation practice group. She previously was associate commissioner for policy at the FDA. … … Candyce Phoenix has joined Raben to help launch its government oversight team. She most recently was deputy D.C. AG for policy and legislative affairs, and is a House Jan. 6 committee alum. … Ryan Long is now director of congressional relations and senior research fellow at Paragon. He previously was a principal at BGR Group, and is a Kevin McCarthy alum. … Alexander Miehls is joining Teneo as a managing director in its strategy and comms business. He previously was a senior director at FTI Consulting, and is a Fox News alum. WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Logan Dobson, a VP at Targeted Victory, and Emily Taylor Dobson, a Peter Meijer and Martha Roby alum, welcomed William David Dobson on Tuesday. William, who weighed in at 6 pounds, 15 ounces, joins big brother Vernon. Pic HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Troy Balderson (R-Ohio) … Dan Hill … Maria Hatzikonstantinou of CRC Public Relations … Vincent Frillici … Bracewell’s Frank Maisano … Greg Polk … Matt Herrick of the International Dairy Foods Association … Debbie Berger Fox … Genevieve Wilkins of Rokk Solutions … Cameron Poursoltan … Paolo Liebl von Schirach … UPS’ Dontai Smalls ... Jackie Huelbig … Broadview Public Affairs’ Luke Knittig … Edward Cafiero of ExxonMobil … Kelley Williams … former Labor Secretary Alexander Acosta … Cathryn Donaldson … former Rep. Diane Black (R-Tenn.) … Maureen McGrath … former Coast Guard Commandant Adm. Thad Allen ... Norman Podhoretz … NYT’s Sheera Frenkel … Janet Nadal … Iulia Gheorghiu … Kelly Weill … Theresa Elrod Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our deputy editor Zack Stanton and Playbook Daily Briefing producer Callan Tansill-Suddath. Correction: Yesterday’s Playbook misspelled Caitlin Oprysko’s name.
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