Playbook PM: Jobs report paints a ‘mixed picture’ for Biden

Presented by Wells Fargo: POLITICO's must-read briefing on what's driving the afternoon in Washington.
Dec 03, 2021 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Garrett Ross and Eli Okun

Presented by

Wells Fargo

IT'S BAAAAACK! — The White House Correspondents' Association announced today that its annual dinner — informally and half-self-effacingly known as "Nerd Prom" — will return in-person next spring. After a two-year pandemic hiatus, D.C. journos and pols will be back mingling in the cavernous ballroom of the Washington Hilton on April 30, 2022. All guests and dinner staff will be required to be vaccinated.

JOBS REPORT BREAKDOWN — What's the big takeaway from the November jobs report? Well, it's a bit of a "mixed picture," per the AP.

— The topline numbers: "The government reported Friday that private businesses and other employers added just 210,000 jobs in November, the weakest monthly gain in nearly a year and less than half of October's gain of 546,000," AP's Christopher Rugaber writes. "But other data from the Labor Department's report painted a much brighter picture. The unemployment rate plummeted from 4.6% to 4.2% as a substantial 1.1 million Americans said they found jobs last month."

— The big picture: "The U.S. economy still remains under threat from a spike in inflation, shortages of labor and supplies and the potential impact of the omicron variant of the coronavirus. But for now, Americans are spending freely, and the economy is forecast to expand at a 7% annual rate in the final three months of the year, a sharp rebound from the 2.1% pace in the previous quarter, when the delta variant hobbled growth."

— Important context, from WaPo's Philip Bump: "The odds are good that the November total is being underreported — as happened nearly every other month this year."

At the White House, President JOE BIDEN touted the low unemployment rate while nodding at Americans' widespread pessimism about the economy — and touting his Build Back Better package as a way to change those perceptions.

"Despite this progress, families are anxious — anxious about Covid, anxious about the cost of living, the economy more broadly; they're still uncertain. I want you to know I hear you," Biden said. "It's not enough to know that we're making progress. You need to see it and feel it in your own lives, around the kitchen table, in your checkbooks."

Biden also took a moment to thank Congress for passing the continuing resolution late Thursday night — averting a government shutdown — and said he would sign it into law later today. "Funding the government isn't a great achievement. It's the bare minimum of what we need to get done," Biden said. "But in these times of bipartisan cooperation, that's worth recognition."

Biden's voice sounded hoarse, leading some on Twitter to poke a little fun at the president. After his prepared remarks, Fox News' Peter Doocy asked Biden if he was OK. Biden said he had tested negative for Covid-19 and chalked it up to "a 1-and-a-half-year-old grandson who had a cold who likes to kiss his Pop." The clip

PLEADING THE FIFTH — " JOHN EASTMAN, the attorney who helped former President DONALD TRUMP pressure then-Vice President MIKE PENCE to overturn the 2020 election, has asserted his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination, according to a letter he delivered to the Jan. 6 committee explaining his decision not to testify," Kyle Cheney reports . "Eastman's decision is an extraordinary assertion by someone who worked closely with Trump to attempt to overturn the 2020 election results." The letter

Happy Friday afternoon.

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SCOOP — The New Yorker's DAVID REMNICK recently hosted ANDREAS MALM , an environmental extremist who favors blowing up pipelines and other acts of what he calls "intelligent sabotage" — and what others call terrorism — on Remnick's "New Yorker Radio Hour" podcast. Malm, for instance, has pointed to the destruction of Nigerian oil infrastructure in 2016, when oil workers were also kidnapped, killed and injured, as a model. (Malm told Remnick he doesn't favor "harming" people, and "wouldn't recommend" kidnapping.)

Remnick's controversial September podcast episode — casually titled, "Should the Climate Movement Embrace Sabotage?" — was criticized at the time, mostly by conservatives. "@NewYorker literally platforming a terrorist," tweeted JERYL BIER. BENJAMIN WEINGARTEN called Remnick an "insurrectionist." STEPHEN L. MILLER said Remnick was "soft endorsing terror acts against national pipelines in the name of climate."

But the podcast didn't just catch the attention of a few right-wingers on Twitter. Now, Betsy Woodruff Swan and Zack Colman report that a DHS threat center in Texas, housed in the Fort Worth Police Department, issued a four-page "situational awareness bulletin," published for the first time exclusively by POLITICO, raising terrorism concerns about what Malm told Remnick.

The intelligence bulletin, "Activist Encouraging Pipeline Sabotage," was shared with law enforcement officials across the United States. Read Betsy and Zack's excellent — and nuanced — report, "How to blow up a podcast."

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

WHO'S TALKING — The Jan. 6 select committee has expanded its investigation to Arizona officials, Arizona Republic's Yvonne Wingett Sanchez and Ronald Hansen report. "Those working with the bipartisan select committee have talked with members of the Arizona Legislature, the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, the county recorder, the secretary of state and other Arizona residents familiar with the efforts to pressure Congress to reject President Joe Biden's win in Arizona and elsewhere. … Maricopa County Supervisor CLINT HICKMAN, a Republican who headed the county board until Jan. 6, was among those questioned about the period leading up to the riot. … The interview touched broadly on the board's activities surrounding the November 2020 election, he said."

 

BECOME A GLOBAL INSIDER: The world is more connected than ever. It has never been more essential to identify, unpack and analyze important news, trends and decisions shaping our future — and we've got you covered! Every Monday, Wednesday and Friday, Global Insider author Ryan Heath navigates the global news maze and connects you to power players and events changing our world. Don't miss out on this influential global community. Subscribe now.

 
 

CONGRESS

COUNTDOWN TO DEFAULT — A big D.C. think tank altered its projection for how long lawmakers have to lift the debt limit before a default, NYT's Alan Rappeport reports. "The United States faces a default sometime between Dec. 21 and Jan. 28 of next year if Congress does not act to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, the Bipartisan Policy Center warned on Friday. The projection was a more narrow window than the nonpartisan think tank previously provided last month and the group suggested that the actual deadline, or X-date, could be in the earlier end of that range."

THE GOP CIVIL WAR — House Minority Leader KEVIN MCCARTHY at a news conference this morning said that the recent behavior of GOP Reps. PAUL GOSAR, MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE and LAUREN BOEBERT are "things we would not want to deal with," per our colleague Nicholas Wu. He also said he had talked to Majority Leader STENY HOYER about the issue and lowering the temperature across Congress.

THE PANDEMIC

REINFECTION ON THE RISE — According to a new study, a prior coronavirus infection will not provide much by way of protection against the Omicron variant. "Scientists in South Africa say omicron is at least three times more likely to cause reinfection than previous coronavirus variants such as beta and delta, according to a preliminary study published Thursday," WaPo's Amy Cheng reports . "Statistical analysis of some 2.8 million positive coronavirus samples in South Africa, 35,670 of which were suspected to be reinfections, led researchers to conclude that the omicron mutation has a 'substantial ability to evade immunity from prior infection.'"

WAITING GAME — The supply is there for Covid-19 vaccines and boosters across the U.S., but retail suppliers are struggling to keep up with the demand. "Vaccine seekers in some states face waits of days or weeks for doses as local health officials hustle to improve access to meet surging demand," WSJ's Sharon Terlep, Tarini Parti and Sarah Nassauer report. "CVS Health Corp., Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. and Walmart Inc., which are facing staffing shortages, now say they may not be able to accommodate people without appointments."

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

FROM RUSSIA, WITH DEMANDS — "The Kremlin said Friday that President VLADIMIR PUTIN will seek binding guarantees precluding NATO's expansion to Ukraine during a planned call with U.S. President Joe Biden, while the Ukrainian defense minister warned that Russia could invade his country next month," AP's Vladimir Isachenkov and Yuras Karmanau report in Moscow.

— Biden told reporters this morning that he is in contact with European allies and Ukraine: "What I am doing is putting together what I believe to be — will be the most comprehensive and meaningful set of initiatives to make it very, very difficult for Mr. Putin to go ahead and do what people are worried he may do."

FOR YOUR RADAR — "Talks to revive the Iran nuclear deal stalled on Friday, with Western allies warning the effort was a step closer to collapse after Tehran's negotiating team barely inched from its tough stance over a grueling week of negotiations," WSJ's Laurence Norman reports.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

THE WHITE HOUSE

THE VACANT ADMINISTRATION — WSJ's Andrew Ackerman writes that Biden's "desire to appease both liberal and moderate Democrats has left several top Wall Street regulatory posts unfilled, slowing the implementation of President Biden's agenda nearly a year into the administration." Biden's pick of SAULE OMAROVA to be comptroller of the currency and JEROME POWELL to return as Fed chair have drawn ire from the moderate and progressive wings of the party, respectively. Plus, there are "also vacancies in top roles at the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., and additional positions on the Fed's board of governors to fill."

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

RACIAL RECKONING — AP's Aaron Morrison, Helen Wieffering and Noreen Nasir have a deep dive on how racism runs rampant in the nation's top military institutions."The nation's military academies provide a key pipeline into the leadership of the armed services and, for the better part of the last decade, they have welcomed more racially diverse student bodies each year. But beyond blanket anti-discrimination policies, these federally funded institutions volunteer little about how they screen for extremist or hateful behavior, or address the racial slights that some graduates of color say they faced daily.

"Less attention has been paid to the premiere institutions that produce a significant portion of the services' officer corps – the academies of the U.S. Army, the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Air Force, the U.S. Coast Guard and U.S. Merchant Marine. Some graduates of color from the nation's top military schools who endured what they described as a hostile environment are left questioning the military maxim that all service members wearing the same uniform are equal."

PLAYBOOKERS

OUT AND ABOUT — Queen Elizabeth II was honored with the second annual Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg Woman of Leadership Award at the Library of Congress on Thursday night. British Ambassador Karen Pierce accepted on her behalf. The evening included a cocktail reception and awards ceremony with performances by the U.S. Military Band, the American Pops Orchestra and Soloman Howard, followed by a private dinner in the member's room. SPOTTED: House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Martha Stewart, James Rothschild and Nicky Hilton Rothschild, David Rubenstein, Saudi Ambassador Princess Reema bint Bandar Al-Saud and Librarian of Congress Carla Hayden.

MEDIA MOVE — Brad Bosserman will be chief revenue officer of Laura McGann and Mark Bauman's new media company launching early next year. He most recently was head of corporate and brand partnerships at POLITICO. … Mikayla Bouchard is joining CNN as managing editor of Washington beats. She previously was an assistant editor in the NYT's D.C. bureau.

TRANSITION — Mason DiPalma will be deputy comms director for the Republican State Leadership Committee. He currently is comms director for Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R-Ohio).

 

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California Today: Monarch butterflies make a comeback

The "close to miraculous" rebound feels like a reprieve from dire news about climate change.

It's Friday. California is enjoying a "close to miraculous" rebound in its butterfly population. Plus, a new documentary goes inside a top-performing San Francisco public school.

Leslee Russell of Livermore taking a picture of her husband, Dave Russell, outside the Butterfly Grove Inn near the Monarch Grove Sanctuary in Pacific Grove last month.Nic Coury/Associated Press

PACIFIC GROVE, Calif. — On a recent Sunday, I found myself among a crowd of hushed humans in a eucalyptus grove near Monterey, our necks craned toward the tree canopy.

Above us, thousands of Western monarch butterflies were clustered on branches, camouflaged by wings that appear dull when closed. But every so often, a group would rouse and burst into a dance of orange confetti.

One family mused on the inner lives of the butterflies. A couple watched in awe, silent. Another man called a friend by video to share the magic. He told him of how they just "flutter through."

Monarch butterflies make among the most impressive migrations of any species, flying hundreds of miles from various parts of the United States to Mexico and coastal California, where the Western population overwinters. But in the past several decades, their populations have plummeted because of global warming, development and farming practices, leading scientists to fear that the migratory population could ultimately become extinct.

"Monarchs are a harbinger of what's going on with many species," Karen Oberhauser, a conservation biologist at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, told me by phone. She has studied the monarchs for more than 35 years.

This year, however, the butterflies' Western population has made a modest recovery, surprising scientists. Across California's coast, onlookers have gathered at groves to witness the phenomena. Amid dire news about climate change and after close to two years of pandemic life, the butterflies' arrival has offered a reprieve.

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"It's like an escape," Chris Messer, 30, said as he gazed up at the insects. "You get to see the brilliance of this orange dance in the sky."

Clara Howley, who had traveled 170 miles from Santa Rosa to see the butterflies with her sister, said she was spellbound. "We get so wrapped up in our lives; it's nice to see the monarchs still wrapped up in theirs," she said, adding, "I just can't look away."

Butterflies gather on a pine tree at Monarch Grove Sanctuary in Pacific Grove last month.Nic Coury/Associated Press

It is a marvel: The Western monarchs, each one weighing less than a paper clip, embark on their athletic feat from west of the Rocky Mountains. Much of how they migrate is still a mystery, but scientists believe they most likely rely on environmental cues, including sunlight and temperature. Several generations of butterflies are born and die before the journey is complete.

But why are they rebounding? That, experts say, remains unclear.

It could simply be that the butterflies had an especially good breeding season (insects can reproduce rapidly, and their populations do tend to fluctuate), or that especially warm fall weather last year changed the butterflies' breeding and migration behavior, throwing off the count.

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The current numbers, however, are still a far cry from previous population totals: In the 1980s, millions of monarchs flocked to California for the winter. In 2017, an annual count found about 200,000 butterflies. Last year, the same count found fewer than 2,000.

"I was really saddened," Oberhauser told me, adding that she had worried "we might be seeing the end of an incredible migratory phenomenon."

But the rebound, she and others say, is cause for cautious optimism. This year, volunteers have already counted more than 100,000 butterflies, according to the Xerces Society for Invertebrate Conservation.

"It's close to miraculous," said Paul Meredith, 77, a volunteer with the butterfly sanctuary, who that Sunday was seated — binoculars around his neck, insect pin in his cap — among the trees.

But, he added, "there's a lot of things we don't understand."

To see the magnificent butterflies, visit these groves:

  • Monarch Butterfly Grove in Pismo Beach (20,000 butterflies, estimated by the Xerces Society)
  • Monarch Butterfly Sanctuary in Pacific Grove (14,000)
  • Camino Real Park in Ventura (3,000)
  • Natural Bridges State Beach in Santa Cruz (2,000)
  • Fiscalini Ranch Preserve in Cambria (1,700)

Livia Albeck-Ripka is a reporter for The New York Times, based in California.

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With mask mandates, lockdowns and vaccination requirements, San Francisco has followed the rules to minimize the spread of Covid-19.Mike Kai Chen for The New York Times

The latest on Omicron and the pandemic

The Marathon Los Angeles Refinery abuts the Wilmington neighborhood near the Port of Los Angeles.Monica Almeida for The New York Times

The rest of the news

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
  • Drug crisis in Fresno: Meth has taken control of a large swath of Fresno, killing more people in 2020 than any other drug or suicides or homicides, CNN reports.
  • Jail guard indicted: A correctional officer faces several counts of sexually assaulting female inmates at the San Joaquin County Jail, months after another officer at the same facility was convicted of similar crimes, The Associated Press reports.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Linda Xiao for The New York Times

What we're eating

George Welik/Santa Barbara Botanic Garden

Where we're traveling

Today's travel tip comes from Brice Yocum, who recommends the Santa Barbara Botanic Garden:

"The garden has many sections on 78 acres, including a redwood forest and desert displays. In all, there are more than 1,000 native California plants, and nearly every one has a sign or tag to let the visitor know what they're looking at. It's a great place to spend the day, or just go for an invigorating walk. The sights and smells are fantastic, and the staff and gift shop are delightful.

Two pro tips: The gardens open to the public at 10 a.m., but if you become a member, you can enter at 9 a.m. and beat the crowds. So worth the price, and your donation makes this amazing place even more amazing. Second, cross the road to the new Pritzlaff Conservation Center and you can get stunning views of the islands off the Santa Barbara coast. Worth the price of admission!

Last note, if you go soon you can see a once-in-a-lifetime event: A Shaw's agave is blooming after about 30 years, after which the plant dies. See it soon!"

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

What we're recommending

Tell us

Has your child been vaccinated against Covid-19?

Share stories of your children receiving their coronavirus shots and how it has affected your holiday plans. Please include your child's name, age and city of residence — and even a photograph, if you'd like.

Email me at CAtoday@nytimes.com and your submission may be included in a future newsletter.

The four Asian small-clawed otter pups that were born at the Santa Barbara Zoo on Nov. 12 have nearly doubled their size since birth.Santa Barbara Zoo

And before you go, some good news

The Santa Barbara Zoo is now home to four highly adorable baby otters.

Born last month, the pups are Asian small-clawed otters, the smallest of all otter species and typically found in India and China.

The infants and their parents will be off exhibit for two months as the young ones mature and learn to swim, The Santa Barbara Independent reports.

But the zoo is still sharing pictures of these tiny cuties. Check them out.

Thanks for reading. We'll be back on Monday. Enjoy your weekend.

P.S. Here's today's Mini Crossword, and a clue: Phone ding or buzz, e.g. (5 letters).

Soumya Karlamangla, Steven Moity and Mariel Wamsley contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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