What the ‘Three Amigos’ are looking for

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Jan 09, 2023 View in browser
 
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THE TALENTED MR. SANTOS — The latest strangeness in the saga of freshman Rep. (and serial fabulist) GEORGE SANTOS (R-N.Y.):

— A Santos campaign aide allegedly impersonated KEVIN McCARTHY's chief of staff to get money from top donors. CNBC's Brian Schwartz reports that in both the 2020 and 2022 cycles,wealthy Republicans "received calls and emails from a man who said he was DAN MEYER, McCarthy's chief of staff. … His name was actually SAM MIELE, and he worked for Santos raising money for his campaign, according to one GOP donor who contributed to Santos' campaign." (The Washington Times reported in December on the McCarthy staffer impersonation, but didn't identify the staffer.)

— And Santos' campaign allegedly broke campaign finance laws, reports WaPo's Isaac Stanley-Becker: "The alleged wrongdoing includes masking the true source of his campaign's funding, misrepresenting his campaign's spending and using campaign resources to cover personal expenses. The [FEC] complaint, filed by the nonpartisan Campaign Legal Center, could propel a formal investigation into Santos by the federal regulator."

CORRECTS AIRPORT AND CITY - President Joe Biden is greeted by Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador as he arrives at the Felipe Angeles international airport in Zumpango, Mexico, Sunday, Jan. 8, 2023.

President Joe Biden greets Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador as he arrives in Zumpango, Mexico, on Sunday, Jan. 8. | Andrew Harnik/AP Photo

STARTING TODAY — President JOE BIDEN, Mexican President ANDRÉS MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADOR and Canadian PM JUSTIN TRUDEAU are gathering in Mexico City for the North American Leaders' Summit, where the three are expected to "focus on immigration, security and supply-chain problems," WSJ's Tarini Parti and Anthony Harrup write from Mexico City.

Here's a roundup of some of the other major storylines to watch:

NBC's Peter Nicholas on Biden's new diplomatic challenges: "the camaraderie has begun to fade, and the post-Trump honeymoon appears to have ended."

AP's Colleen Long and Maria Verza with the latest policy move from AMLO: An apparent willingness by Mexico to accept more migrants expelled by the U.S.

EMBARRASSING ERROR — "A Korean War Wall of Remembrance Set Hundreds of Errors in Stone," by NYT's Dave Philipps: "Many names of American service members who died in the conflict are misspelled or missing from the new memorial wall in Washington, relatives and researchers say."

THE LATEST ON BRAZIL — Here's the latest on the JAIR BOLSONARO supporters who stormed Brazil's national capital, via NYT: "At least 1,200 protesters were detained for questioning in the wake of the storming of Brazil's capital buildings, a spokesman for the civil police said on Monday, as the authorities began dismantling the tent city where supporters of Jair Bolsonaro, the far-right former president, had been camping out since he lost October's election."

— Biden, López Obrador and Trudeau issued a joint statement today denouncing the unrest in Brazil: "We stand with Brazil as it safeguards its democratic institutions. Our governments support the free will of the people of Brazil. We look forward to working with President Lula on delivering for our countries, the Western Hemisphere, and beyond."More from Nahal Toosi

— Among those keeping a low profile: Congressional Republicans. While Sen. RICK SCOTT on Sunday tweeted a call for peace and democracy in Brazil, his fellow Florida Republican Sen. MARCO RUBIO hasn't yet commented on the events. Rubio has rarely passed up an opportunity to comment on anti-democratic abuses by the hemisphere's leftist strongmen. Asked for comment by Playbook, his office did not respond as of publication time. Similarly, neither Senate Minority Leader MITCH McCONNELL nor House Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY have issued a statement on the news from Brazil. (Reps. BRIAN FITZPATRICK and Santos have both put out tweets condemning the violence.)

"Bolsonaro's Florida stay puts ball in Biden's court after riots in Brasilia," by Reuters' Gabriel Stargardter: "After watching supporters of former U.S. leader Donald Trump invade the U.S. Capitol two years ago, Democratic President Joe Biden is now facing mounting pressure to remove Bolsonaro from his self-imposed exile in suburban Orlando."

"Bolsonaro Hospitalized in US After Brasilia Riots, O Globo Says," by Bloomberg's Daniel Carvalho: "Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro has been admitted to a US hospital with severe abdominal pain a day after his supporters stormed Brasilia demanding military intervention against his loss in the October election, according to local newspaper O Globo."

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Good Monday afternoon. Tonight is the college football national championship game between the No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs and the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs. Drop me a line with your prediction: gross@politico.com. I think the Dawgs will win in convincing fashion to secure their second-straight title and cement their place as the new Alabama.

PROGRAMMING NOTE — Our colleagues Alex Ward, Erin Banco and Ryan Heath are on the ground in Switzerland this week to bring you all the coverage in Davos Playbook. The U.S. delegation there has scarcely an elected Republican but a large Biden Cabinet delegation, including JOHN KERRY, USTR KATHERINE TAI, USAID Administrator SAMANTHA POWER, DNI AVRIL HAINES, FBI Director CHRISTOPHER WRAY and Labor Secretary MARTY WALSH.

The congressional representation includes Sens. CHRIS COONS (D-Del.), JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.), KYRSTEN SINEMA (I-Ariz.) and Reps. DON BEYER (D-Va.), JOAQUIN CASTRO (D-Texas), SETH MOULTON (D-Mass.) and MIKIE SHERRILL (D-N.J.). Sign up for Davos Playbook

CONGRESS

THE NEW HOUSE GOP — "Rogers plans to step aside from plum House GOP post," by Olivia Beavers: "Rep. MIKE ROGERS is preparing to step down from a powerful House Republican panel that decides committee assignments for conference members after a series of confrontations with conservatives who prolonged Kevin McCarthy's speakership fight.

"Rogers (R-Ala.) confirmed the plan Monday morning , saying it would likely happen later this week — while underscoring that his departure from the GOP steering committee isn't finalized and that he is not being encouraged by his colleagues to exit. Should Rogers do so as planned, his region's members would meet to elect a new representative."

Olivia tweets: "Rep. MARK GREEN (R-Tenn.) wins the Homeland Security gavel, I'm told. He beat out Rep. DAN CRENSHAW (R-Texas)."

RUNNING IT BACK — "Senate Dems tap Peters again as campaign chief in hopes of 2022 repeat," by Burgess Everett: "Michigan Sen. GARY PETERS will once again lead his caucus' campaign arm, according to two people familiar with the matter and confirmed by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. The second-term senator successfully defended Democrats' majority last cycle under difficult circumstances, with the party even picking up one more seat in the chamber. Still, Peters had initially turned down entreaties to do the job again. He's the first Democrat since CHUCK SCHUMER , now the majority leader, to run the DSCC two cycles in a row."

TRUMP CARDS

THE GEORGIA INVESTIGATION — "Fulton special grand jury completes Trump investigation," by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Tamar Hallerman and Bill Rankin: "The Fulton County special grand jury that has spent the last eight months examining potential criminal interference in Georgia's 2020 presidential election has completed its work and is being dissolved, according to the judge overseeing the high-profile panel. In a brief order issued Monday, Fulton Superior Court Judge ROBERT McBURNEY wrote that the grand jury has fulfilled its duties to his satisfaction. In addition, a majority of Superior Court judges who have reviewed the special grand jury's final report agree, his order stated."

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

THE WHITE HOUSE

UNDER THE INFLUENCE — "Open invitation: TikTok lobbyists repeatedly scored visits to Biden White House, records reveal," by the Washington Examiner's Gabe Kaminsky: "TikTok and ByteDance lobbyists have visited the White House at least eight times between July 2021 and August 2022, White House visitor logs show, providing a window into how the Chinese government-linked social media operation has gained influence in Washington."

ALL POLITICS

GEORGIA ON MY MIND — "Kemp done being underestimated, aims to steer GOP past Trump," by AP's Jeff Amy and Bill Barrow: "Having vanquished both a Donald Trump-backed Republican challenger and Democratic star STACEY ABRAMS to win reelection, [Georgia Gov. BRIAN] KEMP is looking to expand his influence in his second term, free from the caricature of the gun-toting, pickup-driving, migrant-catching country boy that emerged during his first campaign for governor. … Beyond his own advancement, Kemp's victory could provide a blueprint for Republicans in competitive states after voters rejected many of the Trump-molded candidates in 2022."

WORKING ON HER PITCH — "Boebert's backers urge her to 'tone down the nasty rhetoric,'" by Jesse Bedayn in Rifle, Colo.: "In her relatively short time in Washington, [GOP Rep. LAUREN BOEBERT] has built a national profile with a combative style embracing everything from gun ownership to apocalyptic religious rhetoric. Constituents … in the Republican-leaning 3rd Congressional District laud Boebert for defending their rights, but cringe at her provocations, contributing to an unexpectedly tight race last year that she won by just 546 votes out of more than 300,000 cast."

JUDICIARY SQUARE

BENCH PRESS — "Biden struggles to confirm judges in the South and thwart Trump's impact," by CNN's Joan Biskupic: "The dearth of nominees offered in southern states, notably where both U.S. senators are Republican, threatens to undercut Biden's large-scale effort to counteract Trump's effect on the federal judiciary, particularly to bolster civil rights and ensure voter protections.

"The Biden team's well-documented diversification of the courts — nominees have been overwhelmingly women and people of color, such as Supreme Court Justice KETANJI BROWN JACKSON , and offered professional diversity, including public defenders and civil rights lawyers — has withered when it comes to district courts in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana and Texas, where more than a dozen such court vacancies exist."

SCOTUS WATCH — "Court revives claims by Texas death row inmate backed by DA," by AP's Mark Sherman

"Justices turn away Israeli spyware maker in WhatsApp suit," AP

ON THE DOCKET — "Is Encouraging Unauthorized Immigration Free Speech or a Felony?" by NYT's Adam Liptak: "The Supreme Court will decide whether a 1986 law that makes it a crime to urge people to stay in the United States unlawfully can be squared with the First Amendment."

 

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POLICY CORNER

CRYPTO CRISIS CONTINUES — "Sam Bankman-Fried's Defense Team Led by Battle-Tested Lawyers," by James Fanelli and Corinne Ramey: "A pair of attorneys defending FTX founder SAM BANKMAN-FRIED against one of the biggest white-collar prosecutions in decades are veterans of high-profile cases, including ones involving drug lord El Chapo and disgraced socialite GHISLAINE MAXWELL."

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

FOR YOUR RADAR — "Year After Deadly Bronx Blaze, a Plan to Combat 'America's Fire Problem,'" by NYT's Jeffery Mays and Corey Kilgannon: "On the first anniversary of the Twin Parks fire in the Bronx that killed 17 people, the Federal Emergency Management Agency will announce a new national plan to combat 'America's fire problem' using investigatory muscle granted by federal legislation that President Biden signed last month. The legislation will give the United States Fire Administration the power to identify the causes of fires like the one at the Twin Parks North West housing complex in the Bronx, New York City's deadliest inferno in decades."

WAR IN UKRAINE

HOW UKRAINE IS FIGHTING — "Without Hesitation, Ukraine Goes Toe to Toe With Russia in Bakhmut," by NYT's Andrew Kramer

HMMM — "Russian Ship's Secretive South Africa Stop Prompts U.S. Questions," by WSJ's Gabriele Steinhauser and Benoit Faucon in Johannesburg: "A Russian merchant ship whose owner has allegedly carried weapons for the Kremlin turned off its transponder last month before surreptitiously docking at South Africa's largest naval base, where it delivered and loaded unidentified cargoes, according to witnesses and a senior U.S. official."

 

POLITICO's exclusive interview with Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi will take place on Thursday, January 19 at 1:30 PM EST – live from the Davos mountaintop. Register today to join us online.

 
 

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

THE VIEW FROM JERUSALEM — "In Power With Netanyahu, Ultra-Orthodox Parties Chart Israel's Future," by NYT's Isabel Kershner

PLAYBOOKERS

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Dave Levinthal is leaving Insider to become editor in chief at Raw Story, where he will oversee news operations with a goal of expanding the news organization's investigative and enterprise reporting. He was deputy editor at Insider and is a Center for Public Integrity, POLITICO, OpenSecrets and Dallas Morning News.

MEDIA MOVE — Camille Vasquez is joining NBC as a legal analyst. She is a partner in Brown Rudnick's litigation and arbitration practice group and was recently one of the lead attorneys for Johnny Depp. More from Deadline

TRANSITIONS — Josh Sorbe is now press secretary for the Senate Judiciary Committee under Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.). He previously was digital manager for Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.). … Steve Hansen will be the legislative director for Rep. Max Miller (R-Ohio). He most recently was legislative assistant and press secretary for Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.). … Megan Hannigan is now legislative director for Rep. Gregory Meeks (D-N.Y.), handling his financial services portfolio. She previously was lead Democrat on PayPal's federal government relations team. …

Jenn Miller is now legislative assistant covering foreign policy and homeland security for Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.). She previously was government relations associate at Israel Policy Forum. … Chelsey Perry is now director of media and PR at the National Park Foundation. She previously was senior manager for strategic comms at National Geographic. … Erin Drummy is now scheduler for Rep. Andy Ogles (R-Tenn.). She most recently was scheduler for Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.).

WEDDING — Charlotte Kaye, health policy adviser for Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Mike Crapo (R-Idaho), and Stuart Rock, a D.C.-based entrepreneur, got married on New Year's Eve at the Ritz-Carlton. The couple met through mutual friends in 2017 and their first date was seeing Judd Apatow at DC Improv. SPOTTED: David Cleary, Kellie McConnell, Angela Wiles, David Certner, Megan Whittemore, Gary Nuzzi, Reid Nickle, Anna "Boo" Devanny, S.K. Bowen, Zach Swint, Kate Lindsey, and Andy Brown of Andy's Pizza. PicAnother pic

 

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California Today: How Did a La Niña Winter Become So Rainy?

Despite La Niña's reputation, not every year dominated by the climate pattern is a dry one in Califo

It's Monday. How did a La Niña winter end up so rainy? Plus, the Central Coast braces for more damaging storms.

A flooded field near homes in Galt last week.Max Whittaker for The New York Times

As rain has deluged our parched state since New Year's Eve, many Californians have found themselves asking a familiar question: Is this somehow because of El Niño?

In the California imagination, the climate pattern known as El Niño has an almost mythological status as a harbinger of prolonged wet spells, while its counterpart, La Niña, is associated with drought. The past three years have been La Niña years.

The continuing procession of storms this winter has drawn comparisons to the famed wet winter of 1997-98, when rain driven by El Niño drenched the Golden State. Californians are bracing for one of the season's most intense storms to date on Monday and Tuesday.

But Daniel L. Swain, a climate scientist at the University of California, Los Angeles, said that El Niño hasn't taken over — yet.

"As much as it walks and talks like El Niño, it ain't," he said of this winter's pattern. "We still have La Niña conditions, despite rumors of its demise."

Even so, long-range forecasts suggest that California will transition into El Niño in the autumn.

So how does this all work? How do we know if El Niño has taken over?

Swain explained, simplifying a bit, that El Niño is essentially one side of a pendulum swing and La Niña is the other. During El Niño, trade winds are weaker, and warm water in the Pacific sloshes toward the western coasts of North America and South America. During La Niña, stronger trade winds push warm water in the other direction, toward the coast of Asia. Ocean temperatures affect the weather.

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This dynamic means that the effects of El Niño and La Niña vary in different parts of the world. In parts of the western Pacific, like Indonesia, for example, El Niño tends to produce drier conditions, rather than rain.

In California, the relationship between wet years and El Niño depends on the strength of the pattern, and to some degree on chance. In other words, an El Niño year loads the dice in favor of a wet year, but does not guarantee one.

The latest heavy storms and flooding remind Jan Null, a meteorologist and former lead forecaster for the National Weather Service, of the winter of 2016-17, which was also a La Niña year.

"Every El Niño is not wet, and every La Niña is not dry," Null said.

Complex advanced predictive tools are showing that by next summer or fall, El Niño will probably be in place, and this time the pattern could be "a pretty strong one," Swain said. That could bode well for California and the West's water outlook.

"All of it is fascinating, and also humbling," he said. "We're literally predicting the future."

For more:

Jill Cowan is a national reporter for The Times and is based in Los Angeles.

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If you read one story, make it this

The Central Coast prepares for another deluge.

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Donna Heinel, left, a former administrator and gatekeeper for athletic recruits at the University of Southern California, leaving her arraignment in Boston in 2019. Scott Eisen/Getty Images

The rest of the news

  • Operation Varsity Blues: Donna Heinel, a former administrator and gatekeeper for athletic recruits at the University of Southern California, was sentenced to six months in prison for her central role in the college admissions scandal.
  • Aid request: Gov. Gavin Newsom asked President Biden on Sunday to declare a federal emergency to support the state's storm efforts ahead of another atmospheric river, The San Francisco Chronicle reports.

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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Oil slick: The U.S. Coast Guard worked with state officials on Saturday to determine the cause of a roughly two-mile oil slick in the waters off Santa Barbara County, The Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Slain deputy: The family of Isaiah Cordero, a Riverside County sheriff's deputy who was fatally shot, called for the resignation of a judge who had previously released the man who shot Cordero, The Associated Press reports.
  • Peacocks: Residents of the Monterey Hills section of South Pasadena have agreed to relocate the neighborhood's large population of peacocks, which exceeds 100, The Los Angeles Times reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Evacuation order: Emergency officials on Sunday ordered residents of the Wilton area along the Cosumnes River to evacuate before anticipated flooding from the next storm makes roads in the area impassable, The Sacramento Bee reports.
  • Homelessness: A vast parking lot on a high-profile site in the Mission District of San Francisco could be transformed into a village of 70 tiny cabins for unhoused people this year, The San Francisco Chronicle reports.
Chris Simpson for The New York Times. Food stylist: Maggie Ruggiero. Prop stylist: Sophia Pappas.

What we're eating

A celebratory Afghan dish dripping with sunshine.

Monterey Bay AquariumEducation Images/Citizens of the Planet/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Fritzi Lareau, who recommends a visit to the Monterey Peninsula:

"The peninsula consists of Monterey, Pacific Grove and the village of Carmel. Monterey offers whale watching, sea kayaking, wine tasting and the beautiful Monterey Bay Aquarium. A few miles north, the Elkhorn Slough has a pontoon boat ride through waters teeming with birds, otters, seals and sea lions.

Pacific Grove is quiet, and in the fall thousands of monarch butterflies hibernate there. Driving south toward Carmel (a short drive) you encounter magnificent Point Lobos State Natural Reserve followed by the 17-Mile Drive, which includes upscale Del Monte Lodge, with golf, ocean views and fine dining. Finally, Carmel is a charming, protected artist colony and dog-friendly village with a lovely beach, great bakery and many casual restaurants."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Tell us

How are the storms affecting you? Email us at CAToday@nytimes.com with your stories and photos.

And before you go, some good news

Each day, Times Insider editors scour the newspaper for the most interesting facts to appear in articles. As 2022 came to a close, they shared the facts that had most surprised, enlightened or entertained them. Enjoy the collection.

Here's one about California: Every year, farmers in the state produce more than three billion pounds of almonds, or about 80 percent of the world's supply.

Thanks for reading. We'll be back tomorrow.

Soumya Karlamangla, Briana Scalia and Maia Coleman contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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