What to expect when you're expecting election results

Presented by The American Petroleum Institute (API): POLITICO's must-read briefing on what's driving the afternoon in Washington.
Nov 08, 2022 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Garrett Ross

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American Petroleum Institute

The full blood moon caused by the lunar eclipse is framed by the US Flags blowing in the breeze on the National Mall in Washington, Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022.

The full blood moon caused by the lunar eclipse is framed by U.S. flags on the National Mall on Election Day. | J. David Ake/AP Photo

a logo that reads 2022 ELECTIONS

BOOKMARK THIS ONE — "POLITICO's hour-by-hour guide to watching election night," by Steve Shepard

PROGRAMMING NOTES …

An image shows when polls close in states and POLITICO projections.

— The White House called a lid at 11:25 a.m. So don't expect to hear from President JOE BIDEN today. Worth noting: The White House has not noticed a post-midterms news conference with Biden, who is leaving for Egypt on Wednesday.

— Speaker NANCY PELOSI will sit down for an exclusive interview with PBS NewsHour's Judy Woodruff at 6 p.m.

SEND US YOUR SPOTTEDS: Going to an election night watch party? See a celeb in line to vote? Text us at 202-556-3307 or email us: playbook@politico.com .

AS THE TRUMPWORLD TURNS — It's Election Day 2022. Welcome to the 2024 election.

On Monday, the political world was set ablaze because Trumpworld was abuzz that former President DONALD TRUMP might … could … maybe announce his third run for the Oval Office.

In the end, the big announcement didn't materialize. At his final pre-midterm rally Monday night outside Dayton, Ohio, Trump offered only another tease — albeit with a date certain this time: "I'm going to be making a very big announcement on Tuesday, Nov. 15 at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla."

The not-quite-announcement prompted sighs of relief from GOP chieftains who have toiled mightily to forestall a Trump entry before the midterms are settled. (Never mind that Trump's "big announcement" could come smack in the middle of a high-stakes Georgia Senate runoff campaign if things are locked up as tight as some polls suggest.)

But the relief is only temporary. As Jonathan Martin writes in his new column today , both parties are "stumbling into the midterm elections saddled with presidential frontrunners who many in each party dread will be their nominees."

Indeed, this is one of the biggest trend lines that everyone is tracking as voters stream to the polling booths today.

For the GOP, JMart writes, the unspoken disdain for Trump "stems from realizing their midterm gains will come in part because Trump was out of office and that his nomination could complicate a winnable race two years from now."

Top Democrats don't have contempt for the incumbent to stifle. But they have other reasons to hold their tongues, he adds: "To even ponder succession, or grapple with concerns about re-nominating the 82-year-old incumbent, would be to distract from the Trump threat or, worse yet, echo the main line of attack the right makes on Biden."

Some around the president have long insisted a Trump 2024 candidacy would only make it more likely for Biden to follow suit. And while his political team has done the spadework to prepare for that possibility, aides also balk at the notion that Trump's decision will force his hand.

As one aide told Playbook: "He will run because he believes there's more important work to be done."

Here's what New Hampshire GOP Gov. CHRIS SUNUNU had to say about Trump's forthcoming announcement this morning: "I don't think anyone really cares, and he does not clear the field. … Anyone who thinks it's a smart idea to announce a potential presidential bid after the election but before Christmas, it's just the worst time you could possibly do it. My sense is the former president needs better advisers if that's really what his strategy is going to be." ( h/t Fox News' Paul Steinhauser )

By tomorrow, we'll have some idea of how each presidential power is emerging from this contentious midterm season — we're tracking Trump's endorsed candidates and whatever Dems come away with will reflect largely on Biden's shimmer.

And Jennifer Rubin, who has been a staunch Biden supporter, has quite the take in her WaPo column today: "Trump is losing steam. That's reason for Biden to bow out in 2024"

MAJOR DEM DONOR NEWS — "Dem megadonor's crypto exchange forced to sell as liquidity concerns grow," by Sam Sutton: "The global crypto exchange Binance has agreed to acquire Democratic Party megadonor SAM BANKMAN-FRIED's crypto exchange FTX after the company was bludgeoned by a severe liquidity crunch over the past week. … FTX's sudden downfall — which Bankman-Fried said won't affect its U.S. subsidiary FTX US — is hitting the crypto ecosystem after the 30-year-old billionaire spent roughly $40 million on super PACs and political campaigns before the midterm elections."

Good Tuesday afternoon. Send me your last-minute midterm hot takes: gross@politico.com .

 

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ACROSS AMERICA

Here's how the major news orgs are covering Election Day:

— NYT: "Races Teeter on a Razor's Edge Across the Country"

— WaPo: "Control of Congress at stake as voters head to polls"

— WSJ: "Voters Head to the Polls With Control of Congress at Stake"

— POLITICO: "Republicans head into Election Day confident of a 'red wave'"

— AP: "Election scrutiny high, but no big hitches as voting begins"Live updates

And we've got a roundup of the live updates with reporting on the ground from some of the biggest battlegrounds:

In Pennsylvania:

People wait in line to vote before the start of polling on Election Day at the Museum of the American Revolution in Philadelphia.

People wait in line to vote before the start of polling on Election Day at the Museum of the American Revolution in Philadelphia, Pa. on Nov. 8, 2022. | Francis Chung/E&E News/POLITICO

— Philly Inquirer: "Vote count in Philadelphia will take longer due to last-minute change; 3,500 flawed ballots can be fixed at City Hall today"  

— Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: "Pennsylvania voters head to the polls in critical midterm election"

In Wisconsin:

— Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: "Election observers plentiful at Central Count"

In Georgia:

— Atlanta Journal-Constitution: "Many Georgia voters waited till Election Day. Voting went fast"

— Washington Examiner's @DavidMDrucker : "A note on #GASEN after trailing @ReverendWarnock & @HerschelWalker past few days: [Warnock] was campaigning like the challenger — multiple events daily, press gaggles, etc. [Walker] was acting like the incumbent - one event daily, shielded from the press (incl photogs.)"

In Nevada:

People wait in line to vote at a polling place Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022, in Las Vegas.

People wait in line to vote in Las Vegas, on Tuesday, Nov. 8. | John Locher/AP Photo

— The Nevada Independent: "Will weather dampen turnout? How soon will we know results?" … Jon Ralston on what to watch for tonight

In Arizona:

— The Arizona Republic: "Maricopa County experiencing issues at 20% of voting locations"

In Ohio:

— Cleveland.com: "Brisk voting starts Election Day in Northeast Ohio, as residents cast ballots amid fast-moving lines"

 

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VOTING IN AMERICA

LEARNING FROM THE PAST — "Election officials look to harden tabulation centers against 2020-type chaos," by Zach Montellaro: "Part of the new emphasis on security, officials say, is just being aware of the possibility that tabulation centers could be the site of demonstrations or more insidious disruptions this go around, which largely caught officials flat-footed in 2020."

DeSANTIS, DOJ FACE OFF — "DeSantis official says Justice Dept. can't send monitors to 3 Florida counties," by WaPo's Tim Craig and Perry Stein: "Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties were all slated to receive federal monitors from the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division. But BRAD McVAY, the chief counsel for the Florida Department of State, said in a letter issued late Monday that those monitors would not be allowed inside polling places under Florida law. McVay said the Florida Secretary of State's office — which Republican Gov. RON DeSANTIS oversees — would instead send its own monitors to those three counties, which are among the most Democratic-leaning counties in Florida."

ALARM STILL RINGING — "Election workers brace for a torrent of threats: 'I KNOW WHERE YOU SLEEP,'" by WaPo's Cat Zakrzewski: "Election officials who've been targeted online and law enforcement officials are bracing for another wave of threats on Election Day and its aftermath, when new claims of election fraud are expected to lead to more violent rhetoric online."

BALLOT BARRIERS — "New Voting Laws Add Difficulties for People With Disabilities," by NYT's Neelam Bohra: "None of the new laws single out those with disabilities, but advocates say they have left many people who would otherwise vote by mail with burdensome options: face the greater risk that their mail-in ballot could be thrown out — as Texas did at a higher-than-usual rate during the March primary — or go to the polls in person, which involves its own set of inconveniences or, worse, physical barriers, and often deprives people with disabilities of a sense of privacy and independence that other voters can take for granted."

ON THE WORLD STAGE

ALL EYES ON U.S. — "The World's Democracies Ask: Why Can't America Fix Itself?" by NYT's Damien Cave: "For most of the world, the U.S. midterms are little more than a blip — but they are another data point on what some see as a trend line of trouble. Especially in countries that have found ways to strengthen their democratic processes, interviews with scholars, officials and voters revealed alarm that the United States seemed to be doing the opposite and sliding away from its core ideals.

"Several critics of America's direction cited the Jan. 6 riots , a violent rejection of democracy's insistence on the peaceful transfer of power. Others expressed concern about states' erecting barriers to voting after the record turnout that resulted from widespread early and absentee voting during the pandemic. A few said they worried that the Supreme Court was falling prey to party politics, like judiciaries in nations struggling to establish independent courts."

MIXING UP THE MARKETS — "World markets mixed ahead of US elections, inflation data," by AP's Elaine Kurtenbach

 

LISTEN TO POLITICO'S ENERGY PODCAST: Check out our daily five-minute brief on the latest energy and environmental politics and policy news. Don't miss out on the must-know stories, candid insights, and analysis from POLITICO's energy team. Listen today .

 
 

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

CLIMATE CRISIS IN FOCUS — "The World Is Falling Short of Its Climate Goals. Four Big Emitters Show Why," by NYT's Max Bearak and Nadja Popovich: "None of the world's biggest emitters — China, the United States, the European Union and India — have reduced their emissions enough to meet the Paris Agreement goals. Together, the four countries account for more than half of historical emissions of planet-warming gases, which include carbon dioxide and methane. The United States is the largest historical emitter, and China is the largest current emitter. Their policies have an outsize impact on the future of Earth's climate."

FOR YOUR RADAR — "U.S., Taiwan Kick Off Talks to Deepen Trade, Economic Ties," by WSJ's Yuka Hayashi

YELLEN ABROAD — "Treasury Chief Janet Yellen Heads to India as U.S. Seeks to Deepen Ties," by WSJ's Andrew Duehren

WAR IN UKRAINE

THE VIEW FROM KYIV — "Zelenskyy: Talks with Russia possible on Ukraine's terms," by AP's Andrew Meldrum and Yuras Karmanau

PLAYBOOKERS

TRANSITIONS — Roya Rahmani and Julián Ventura are joining Albright Stonebridge Group as senior advisers. Rahmani is vice chair for public policy at Delphos and distinguished fellow at the Georgetown Institute for Women Peace and Security and the former Afghan ambassador to the U.S. Ventura is the former Mexican deputy secretary of foreign affairs.

 

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Northern Ireland is bottom of cancer league table – it’s time to act says Queen’s University researcher

Assembly election plans set to be revealed in Parliament tomorrow by Secretary of State Chris Heaton-Harris
 
 
     
   
     
  Nov 8, 2022  
     
     
  Northern Ireland is bottom of cancer league table – it's time to act says Queen's University researcher  
Northern Ireland is bottom of cancer league table – it's time to act says Queen's University researcher
     
 
Assembly election plans set to be revealed in Parliament tomorrow by Secretary of State Chris Heaton-Harris
Assembly election plans set to be revealed in Parliament tomorrow by Secretary of State Chris Heaton-Harris
 
     
     
     
   
     
     
     
   
 
 
   
 
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California Today: Your last-minute voter guide

What to know about voting in today's election and following the results.
Author Headshot

By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Tuesday. Here's what to know about voting in today's election and following the results. Plus, the Los Angeles mayor's race is nearly in a dead heat.

An early voting site at the Hammer Museum in Los Angeles.Da'Shaunae Marisa for The New York Times

Today is Election Day.

All registered voters in California now receive ballots in the mail for every election, so perhaps you turned in yours weeks ago. As of Monday night, more than five million Californians had already done so, according to Political Data Inc.

But today is the deadline for everyone else to cast their votes.

This election, Californians are picking a number of statewide leaders, including governor and attorney general, as well as congressional representatives, which could determine whether Republicans take control of the House. We're also deciding whether to enshrine the right to abortion in our state Constitution and if the state should ban flavored-tobacco products, among other ballot propositions.

A number of the state's biggest cities, including San Jose and Oakland, are also choosing new mayors. In Los Angeles, the billionaire developer Rick Caruso and the longtime Representative Karen Bass are squaring off to replace Mayor Eric Garcetti — and the race currently appears to be in a dead heat, my colleague Shawn Hubler reports.

Whoever wins the job to lead Los Angeles, America's second-largest city, will be tasked with easing the region's rising rates of homelessness and crime, as well as "an almost cynical depression" among nearly every voter demographic, Darry A. Sragow, a Democratic political consultant, told Shawn. "The next mayor of Los Angeles is going to inherit an incredible mess," Sragow said.

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No matter where in the state you're voting, we have answers to all your last-minute election questions.

How can I vote in the election?

All registered and active California voters should have received a ballot by mail last month. You can mail that ballot back or drop it in a drop box. You can also vote in person.

Ballots returned by mail must be postmarked by Nov. 8. Ballots returned at a secure drop box must be deposited by 8 p.m. on Nov. 8.

A ballot drop box in San Jose.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Where can I drop off my ballot?

You can look up ballot drop boxes near you on the California secretary of state's website.

How can I know if I'm registered to vote?

Check here. If you're not registered, you can register today. Learn more about same-day voter registration here.

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What's on my ballot?

Many of the races may be familiar if you voted in the June primary. That election narrowed the field for each contest down to the top two candidates. You can review the primary results here.

In today's election, you'll be voting on:

  • Seven ballot propositions. You can read our guide to this year's initiatives, which cover issues including dialysis clinics, sports betting and reproductive rights.
  • Races for U.S. Senate, governor, secretary of state, comptroller, treasurer, attorney general, insurance commissioner, members of the state Board of Equalization, state superintendent of public instruction and state Supreme Court justices.
  • Based on where you live, you'll also be picking a congressional representative, a state senator and a state assembly member. Hundreds of thousands of Californians were shifted into new election districts by recent redistricting, but you can check your current district with this CalMatters tool.
  • Most Californians will also see local races on their ballots. Los Angeles County voters, for example, are deciding whether to keep Alex Villanueva, one of California's most polarizing figures, as their sheriff.

How can I check to see whether my ballot was counted?

Track when your ballot is mailed, received and counted at california.ballottrax.net/voter.

Where can I find election results?

Follow the election results here. California won't begin releasing results until after the polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time.

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How long will it take to know the results?

Though millions of Californians have already returned their ballots, county officials cannot start tallying them until the polls close tonight. Before that, they can process the early ballots and prepare them to be counted.

Vote counting tends to be slow in California because there are so many voters. And there is a seven-day window after the election to allow mail-in ballots postmarked on Nov. 8 to arrive. But early returns should help streamline the tally, and counties must begin reporting results to the states within two hours after the polls close.

For more:

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A food bank in Oakland.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

The rest of the news

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Mudslide risk: As rain batters Southern California, some residents near recent burn scars are bracing for potential debris flows, KNBC-TV reports.
  • San Diego: A lawsuit accusing San Diego city officials of worsening generational poverty by concentrating low-income housing in poorer neighborhoods for decades now appears likely to go to trial, The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
  • Culver City: Voters in this city on the Westside of Los Angeles will decide on Tuesday whether 16- and 17-year-olds should be able to vote in local elections, The Los Angeles Times reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Neue Focus

What you get

For $1.4 million: A 1920 bungalow in Los Angeles, a 1909 Craftsman-style house in Oakland and a two-bedroom cottage in Redondo Beach.

Christopher Simpson for The New York Times.

What we're eating

Bodie State Historic Park.Mitch Diamond/Getty Images

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Mary Ann Mitchell, who recommends a state park in a ghost town in Northern California:

"Living in California, choosing one spot is impossible as there are so many great places to explore. But a unique place to see is Bodie State Historic Park off Interstate 395. First, the drive there through the mountains and rivers is lovely. At the turn off to Bodie, the dirt road winds along the hills and all of sudden this preserved old town appears. It's interesting to take a self-guided tour of the buildings and learn about the people who lived there during the mining glory days. There is also a cemetery with lots of history and a nice little picnic area, so bring a lunch and relax. History abounds in California."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Tell us

Have you visited any of the travel destinations that we've recommended in the newsletter? Send us a few lines about your trip, and a photo!

We'd like to share them in upcoming editions of the newsletter. Email us at CAToday@nytimes.com. Please include your name and the city in which you live.

Sonoma County.George Rose/Getty Images North America, via Tbd

And before you go, some good news

The Sonoma Botanical Garden, known for its Asian influence, opened its newest trail to the public over the weekend — and it's all about California.

The wheelchair-accessible trail is a little under a half-mile and takes hikers past the garden's vineyard, and then by oak trees and next to a creek, The Sonoma Index-Tribune reports. From the trail's steepest point, you can see them all together, a perfect snapshot of local native Sonoma nature.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

Briana Scalia and Steven Moity contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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