Playbook PM: Where Americans stand on the marriage bill

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Jul 25, 2022 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Eli Okun

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WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 21: U.S. Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT) talks to reporters while announcing new anti-abortion legislation outside the U.S. Capitol on July 21, 2021 in Washington, DC. Joined by professional and student anti-abortion representatives, Daines and Republicans from the House of Representatives introduced the Protecting Life on College Campus Act, which they say will halt

Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) became the latest senator to declare his opposition to the same-sex marriage bill this morning. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

SURVEY SAYS — Justice CLARENCE THOMAS handed Democrats a counterintuitive political opportunity when his Dobbs concurrence raised the prospect of revisiting the legalization of same-sex marriage. Now, facing a bleak midterms environment — and spying an opening to enshrine civil rights gains into law — Dems on the Hill are hustling to codify same-sex and interracial marriage access.

Our latest POLITICO/Morning Consult polling makes clear that the bill enjoys the support of a majority of registered voters, potentially putting Republicans on the defensive on another social policy question — though it's not necessarily a slam dunk.

— On same-sex marriage: Fifty-eight percent of Americans support passing a federal bill to codify the right, including 44% who strongly back it, compared to 31% who oppose.

— On interracial marriage: Federal legislation has more lopsided support here: Seventy-one percent of voters support it, with just 15% opposing. (From the crosstabs: Twenty-five percent of Republican voters either somewhat or strongly oppose such a bill.)

— On abortion: These numbers are nearly identical to popular opinion on same-sex marriage: Forty-seven percent support federal legislation protecting abortion access, while 34% oppose.

— On access to birth control: Of the topics we polled, nothing garnered greater support than federal legislation to protect access to birth control: A full three-quarters of voters back the idea, with 15% opposed.

But the marriage bill isn't yet breaking through to voters in a big way. A slim majority say they've heard not much or nothing at all about it; just 16% have heard a lot. Toplines Crosstabs

Where the bill stands: Sen. STEVE DAINES (R-Mont.) became the latest senator to declare his opposition this morning, calling the legislation "another attempt by Speaker [NANCY] PELOSI and the Democrats to distract the American people," and saying he believes marriage is between a man and a woman.

PRESIDENTIAL HEALTH UPDATE — President JOE BIDEN seems to be almost through his bout of Covid-19, presidential doctor KEVIN O'CONNOR said in his latest memo this morning : "His symptoms have now almost completely resolved," with just some lingering congestion and hoarseness left. He's now on his fifth day of Paxlovid treatment. He seems to be having a fairly good time with remote work.

Good Monday afternoon. New on the president's schedule: Biden will meet virtually with CEOs and labor leaders at 2:15 p.m. to tout the importance of the CHIPS Act.

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ALL POLITICS

PRIMARY COLORS — Wisconsin Democrat TOM NELSON today suspended his campaign for U.S. Senate, saying he'd run out of money , and endorsed Lt. Gov. MANDELA BARNES in the race. Nelson told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Bill Glauber that it "made sense to consolidate the progressive vote, which we did." His name will still appear on the ballot next month, though. Nelson and SARAH GODLEWSKI had been running significantly behind frontrunners Barnes and ALEX LASRY in the polls.

— The Arizona Senate GOP contest has divided the state's Republicans, which could be a boost for Democratic Sen. MARK KELLY in November, WSJ's Eliza Collins reports . Kelly also enjoys a considerable money advantage. Still, he's one of Republicans' top targets in the midterms, and the top GOP candidates have aligned themselves closely with DONALD TRUMP or Trumpist positions.

ENDORSEMENT WATCH — With the tight Missouri Senate GOP primary barely a week away, SARAH HUCKABEE SANDERS today endorsed state A.G. ERIC SCHMITT, Fox News' Paul Steinhauser scooped .

SWING-STATE DISPATCHES — From Reno, WaPo's Hannah Knowles takes a look at Democratic Sen. CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO's tough reelection battle against ADAM LAXALT, which combines many of the same narratives undergirding the midterms nationwide: Cortez Masto wants to talk about abortion and Trump's election lies (and not Biden), while Laxalt focuses on the economy. One pollster says a race that turns on persuasion would benefit Laxalt, whereas one that comes down to turnout could save Cortez Masto.

— From Phoenix, ABC's Libby Cathey dives into the Trump-MIKE PENCE political proxy fight and finds that though Republicans "support Trump's 'America First' policies, they are split on whether he is the right person to deliver them in an already polarized political climate."

CHRIS JACOBS IN THE WILDERNESS — The first-term New York GOP congressman whose outspoken stance on guns has ended his political career tells WaPo's Joanna Slater in Buffalo that he stands by his May announcement of support for gun restrictions, even though his colleagues and even his wife didn't know it was coming.

"Somebody said, 'Chris, it's a profile in courage,'" Jacobs says. "And I said, 'Well, it's also a profile in unemployment.'"

Though he'd been excited about serving in a Republican majority, he says the decision was worth it — and next year, he'll head back to his real estate business. "An unwillingness to consider gun control measures as one way to prevent mass shootings is not 'intellectually honest,' he said."

DEMOCRACY DIGEST — "2020 Election Deniers Seek Out Powerful Allies: County Sheriffs," by NYT's Alexandra Berzon and Nick Corasaniti: "Conservative activists are working to recruit the law enforcement officers to their cause. Several sheriffs have already clashed with election officials."

 

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JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

COMMITTEE LATEST — Rep. ELAINE LURIA (D-Va.) put out additional footage this morning of depositions before the House Jan. 6 committee covering Trump's behavior on Jan. 6 and 7, and his reluctance to speak out against the rioters. The discrepancies between Trump's prepared remarks on Jan. 7 and what he actually said are also illuminating: The then-president dropped a call for lawbreakers to be "prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law," and he changed "you do not represent me" to "you do not represent our country." Watch the video Trump's handwritten edits More from Insider

THE INVESTIGATIONS — A judge today blocked Fulton County, Ga., D.A. FANI WILLIS from investigating one of the 16 false Trump electors in the state, requiring a different office to take over the questioning of state Sen. BURT JONES. The judge said Willis, who held a fundraiser for Jones' political opponent, had an "actual and untenable" conflict of interest, so she won't be able to make prosecutorial decisions about him. But the judge tossed out similar requests from nearly a dozen other "alternate electors" who are also under Willis' magnifying glass. More from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

GARLAND'S BIG DECISION — The House Jan. 6 committee and Willis' office have proceeded rapidly with aggressive investigations into the Capitol insurrection and the effort to overturn the 2020 election. Meanwhile, DOJ is moving carefully and methodically — a discrepancy "so striking that it has become an issue for [A.G. MERRICK] GARLAND — and is only growing more pronounced by the week," reports NYT's Michael Schmidt . Of course, "the Justice Department is bound by a series of laws, guidelines and norms that do not apply to the congressional or Georgia investigators."

 

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CONGRESS

ANOTHER ONE — Sen. JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.) has mild Covid-19 and is working remotely, he announced this morning. Sen. PATRICK LEAHY (D-Vt.) is still out, too, meaning Democrats could be down at least two for any close votes in the evenly split Senate. CNN's Manu Raju notes that Leahy can come back for votes if necessary, and Manchin likely won't be out for long. But as the coronavirus continues to circulate, the tight margins are often touch and go for Democrats.

— AND ANOTHER ONE: Sen. LISA MURKOWSKI (R-Alaska) tested positive and has flu-like symptoms .

RECONCILABLE DIFFERENCES — Democrats' incredible shrinking reconciliation bill — now focused on health care — is getting tweaked again based on arguments with Republicans before the Senate parliamentarian last week, Caitlin Emma, Jennifer Scholtes, Marianne Levine and Burgess Everett report in Congress Minutes . The changes to the drug pricing plan come ahead of the next submission to the parliamentarian, which could happen mid-week. "It may yet force the party to further delay its plans for Senate consideration of the bill."

ECA REFORM — Prominent Democratic lawyers MARC ELIAS and NORM EISEN are raising concerns about the bipartisan legislation to reform the Electoral Count Act, WaPo's Theo Meyer and Leigh Ann Caldwell report . Elias is particularly concerned about language that he says could allow a governor to certify false results without any recourse: "I'm not sure it's better than nothing." But not everyone agrees with his interpretation: "The statutory interpretation that Marc is worried about is so outlandish that it would lose unanimously, I think, in every federal court in the country," says Yale Law's MATTHEW SELIGMAN.

BUYER BEWARE — Former Rep. STEVE BUYER (R-Ind.) was charged with insider trading by the SEC today. The case centers on actions Buyer allegedly took in 2018 and 2019, when he was working as a consultant, several years after leaving Congress. Authorities say he learned ahead of time about the T-Mobile/Sprint merger and Guidehouse's acquisition of Navigant, and that he used the intel to purchase $1.5 million in stocks. Buyer is staring down four counts of securities fraud as well as civil charges. The SEC announcement

JUDICIARY SQUARE

SCOTUS WATCH — Forty-three percent of Americans now say they have "hardly any" confidence in the Supreme Court, a significant leap up from 27% earlier this year, per a new AP/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research survey . And roughly two-thirds of the country supports the idea of setting term limits for justices or instituting a retirement age threshold. Negative views of the court have been driven by Democrats in the wake of SCOTUS overturning Roe v. Wade.

 

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MEDIAWATCH

EVERYONE'S GETTING A PODCAST — KEITH OLBERMANN is launching a daily podcast next week, WSJ's Joe Flint scooped . Working with iHeartMedia, "Countdown with Keith Olbermann" "will typically run about 35 minutes. Besides the latest political chatter, it will include some of his trademark segments from previous shows including 'Worst Person in the World,' in which he calls out someone who he thinks is particularly bad."

CANCEL CULTURE — It's time for "Full Frontal with Samantha Bee" to cover up. TBS has canceled the prominent weekly late-night show after seven years, per Deadline's Peter White .

PLAYBOOKERS

OUT AND ABOUT — The Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington held the 40th annual RAMMY awards at the Convention Center on Sunday night, and celebrated the D.C. area's best restaurants, chefs, and alcohol and service programs. Following the awards, attendees were treated to tasting stations featuring cuisine from around the world, cocktails crafted by awards finalists and a surprise DJ set by electronic trio Cash Cash. Notable winners: Upscale Casual Restaurant of the Year: Albi; Chef of the Year: Rob Rubba , Oyster Oyster; New Restaurant of the Year: Daru; Restaurateur of the Year: Scott Drewno and Danny Lee, The Fried Rice Collective (Anju/Chiko).

SPOTTED at the RAMMYs: D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser, D.C. Deputy Mayor John Falcicchio, D.C. Councilmembers Charles Allen and Kenyan McDuffie, Eun Yang, Jummy Olabanji, Shawn Yancy, Holly Morris, Kathy Hollinger, Gavin Coleman, Matt Frumin and Zachary Parker. Pic

WHITE HOUSE ARRIVAL LOUNGE — Camille Stewart Gloster will be deputy national cyber director for technology and ecosystem security, per Axios' Sam Sabin . She most recently was global head of product security strategy at Google, and is an Obama DHS alum.

MEDIA MOVE — Molly Hennessy-Fiske will be Texas correspondent for WaPo. She most recently has been Houston bureau chief at the L.A. Times. Announcement

TRANSITION — Ayris Scales is joining Nareit as SVP of social responsibility and global initiatives. She most recently was CEO of the Walker's Legacy Foundation.

 

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One of Northern Ireland’s most dangerous loyalist terrorists Sam ‘Skelly’ McCrory dies in tumble outside flat in Ayr, Scotland

VIDEO of ex-Wrightbus boss William Wright in his own words: 'Do unto others as you would to yourself – I have lived my life that way and have no reason to change'
 
 
     
   
     
  Jul 25, 2022  
     
     
  One of Northern Ireland's most dangerous loyalist terrorists Sam 'Skelly' McCrory dies in tumble outside flat in Ayr, Scotland  
One of Northern Ireland's most dangerous loyalist terrorists Sam 'Skelly' McCrory dies in tumble outside flat in Ayr, Scotland
     
 
Ex-UDA 'C-Company' member found dead: WATCH as Danny Dyer calls Sam 'Skelly' McCrory one of the most 'dedicated soldiers of his generation'
Ex-UDA 'C-Company' member found dead: WATCH as Danny Dyer calls Sam 'Skelly' McCrory one of the most 'dedicated soldiers of his generation'
 
     
 
VIDEO of ex-Wrightbus boss William Wright in his own words: 'Do unto others as you would to yourself – I have lived my life that way and have no reason to change'
VIDEO of ex-Wrightbus boss William Wright in his own words: 'Do unto others as you would to yourself – I have lived my life that way and have no reason to change'
 
     
     
     
   
     
     
     
   
 
 
   
 
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California Today: A first-in-the-nation gun law

The state's legislation is modeled after a Texas abortion law that went into effect last year.
Author Headshot

By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Monday. What to know about California's new legislation that's modeled after a Texas abortion law. Plus, a fire in Yosemite has grown into California's biggest blaze of the season.

Relatives of Alexandria Rubio, a 10-year-old victim of the shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas, mourned their loss on Friday.Ivan Pierre Aguirre for The New York Times

By one measure, Californians are about 25 percent less likely to die in mass shootings compared with residents of other states. Our state's low rate of gun deaths is at least in part because of our strict firearm laws, experts say.

But after a number of devastating shootings across the U.S. this year, California is now tightening those gun rules even more.

This month alone, Gov. Gavin Newsom has signed into law more than 10 new firearm restrictions. These include fresh limits on gun advertising to minors; increased inspections of dealers; and a 10-year ban on firearm possession for those convicted of child abuse or elder abuse.

The most high-profile of these laws allows Californians to sue anyone who distributes banned assault weapons or ghost guns. The legislation, which Newsom signed on Friday, is modeled after a Texas law that allows private citizens to sue anyone who aids and abets in an abortion.

"If they are going to use this framework to put women's lives at risk, we are going to use it to save people's lives here in the state of California. That's the spirit, the principle, behind this law," Newsom said during a news conference on Friday.

The governor's decision to co-opt Texas's legal strategy and take out ads attacking Republican governors in Florida and Texas has been turning heads in national political circles, my colleague Shawn Hubler explained in her latest article.

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Today, I'm going to walk you through what you need to know about California's latest (and most controversial) gun bill, the capstone of the sweeping firearm legislation that Newsom has approved in recent weeks.

What exactly does the new law do?

Senate Bill 1327 allows Californians to sue anyone who distributes illegal assault weapons, parts that can be used to build weapons, guns without serial numbers or .50-caliber rifles. The law also allows people to pursue legal challenges against licensed firearms dealers who sell weapons to anyone under 21.

Under the law, awards of at least $10,000 per weapon and legal fees will be awarded to plaintiffs who successfully sue.

The law is set to take effect in January. But it includes a legal trigger that would automatically invalidate it if the courts strike down the Texas law.

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Where did the idea come from?

In December, Newsom called for legislation that would allow private citizens to enforce the state's gun laws.

He was responding to the U.S. Supreme Court's declining to block a Texas law that gives people the power to sue anyone involved in someone receiving an abortion, from the doctor who performs the procedure to the Uber driver who dropped the patient off at the clinic. Under that law, plaintiffs are entitled to $10,000 and their legal fees recovered if they win.

Newsom tapped state Senator Bob Hertzberg, a San Fernando Valley Democrat, to shepherd the California bill through the Legislature. It was introduced in February.

Who opposes it?

An unusual mix of gun rights groups and the American Civil Liberties Union have spoken out against S.B. 1327.

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In a letter opposing California's legislation, the A.C.L.U. warned that Newsom was empowering a legal framework that he is trying to condemn.

"We admire and share the Governor's commitment to reproductive freedom, and we do not take issue with his legitimate concerns about the deadly proliferation of illegal guns. But there is no way to 'take advantage of the flawed logic' of the Texas law," the letter reads.

The law is expected to face legal challenges that could ultimately land at the Supreme Court.

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A sequoia, center, in Kings Canyon National Park that was burned in a 2015 fire.Max Whittaker for The New York Times

The rest of the news

  • Sequoias: The U.S. Forest Service said that it would take emergency action, including removing low-lying vegetation that can fuel fires and other measures, to protect giant sequoia groves that are threatened by wildfires.
  • Baby bonds: California is the first state to commit to setting up trust funds for children who lost a parent or caregiver to the pandemic, The Associated Press reports.
  • Housing crisis: Right now, builders have too many homes and not enough people to sell them to. But in the long term, the U.S. has the opposite problem: Not enough houses for all the people who want them.
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Plane crash: A small plane crashed onto a plant nursery near San Diego, leaving the pilot with serious injuries and killing the passenger, The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
  • Marines: The U.S. Marine Corps will keep its new amphibious combat vehicle out of the water while it investigates why two of the vehicles ran into trouble off San Diego's coast this week amid high surf, The Associated Press reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
  • Oak Fire: A fast-growing wildfire near Yosemite National Park has become the state's largest blaze this season, burning more than 14,000 acres and forcing thousands of residents to flee as of Sunday.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Chris Simpson for The New York Times

What we're eating

A cake reminiscent of Black Forest gâteau but with more chocolaty depth.

Byers Canyon, Col., as seen from the observation car.Marta Giaccone

Where we're traveling

A photographer traveled across America on Amtrak's California Zephyr, considered by many rail enthusiasts to be among the most scenic long-distance train routes in the United States.

Craig Goward Hermes

And before you go, some good news

Despite its name, the annual Three-Legged Dog Picnic in San Francisco is not just for tri-pawed pups.

"Dogs with cones, casts, one eye, wheelchairs, blind, deaf, toothless, vintage, extra lumpy, et cetera, they're all welcome," said Franny Corsick, the event's organizer.

On a Sunday afternoon this month, dozens of dogs gathered in Duboce Park for the 11th annual Three-Legged Dog Picnic, which featured a dog trick show and a costume parade.

See some adorable pup-arazzi photos from SFist.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

P.S. Here's today's Mini Crossword, and a clue: Government overthrow (4 letters).

Jack Kramer and Briana Scalia contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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