Biden faces the NATO squeeze

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Jun 14, 2023 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Eli Okun

Presented by

The Coalition to Protect America's Regional Airports

WHAT MIGHT HAVE TEAM BIDEN WORRYING — CORNEL WEST, already running for president on the People’s Party line, announced he’ll now seek the Green Party nomination, dangling the prospect of a more muscular third-party candidacy that could siphon votes on the left. (Although it’s worth noting that, as of now, the Greens aren’t on the ballot in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and some other key states.)

President Joe Biden speaks at a chiefs of mission reception in the East Room of the White House in Washington, Tuesday, June 13, 2023. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)

President Joe Biden is holding firm against a drive from some NATO members to hasten Ukraine’s admission into the alliance. | Susan Walsh/AP Photo

SAYING NO TO NATO — NATO’s summit next month in Lithuania is shaping up to be a consequential one for the future of the military alliance and the war in Ukraine. But President JOE BIDEN is holding firm against a drive from some members to hasten Ukraine’s admission into the alliance, as the White House wants to tread cautiously about confronting Russia too directly, NYT’s David Sanger and Steven Erlanger report.

Eastern European nations want to set a clear timetable for Ukraine to join after the war and have its status clarified, but the U.S. and Germany are leading the resistance — even though the Times reports that “the Biden administration will be forced to be more specific about Ukraine’s path to membership.”

As one alternative, the U.S., France, Germany and the U.K. are working on an umbrella agreement with Ukraine that would lock in security guarantees for the long term in the absence of Ukraine’s admission to NATO, FT’s Guy Chazan and Henry Foy report.

Ukraine’s status is far from Biden’s only NATO headache. There’s also the matter of the next secretary-general. And a day after incumbent JENS STOLTENBERG met with Biden at the White House, FT’s Henry Foy, Felicia Schwartz and Richard Milne report that divisions over Stoltenberg’s possible successor are making it likelier that he gets tapped for an extension of his current term. There’s “mounting pessimism” that all 31 member countries could reach consensus on somebody else by next month.

Notably, along with Eastern European skepticism of Danish PM METTE FREDERIKSEN as the next secretary-general (because she’d be another Nordic pick), Biden “did not lend his full support to Frederiksen at their White House meeting last week,” per the FT, “puncturing her candidacy’s momentum.”

Then there’s Sweden. Most alliance members’ efforts to get Stockholm added to NATO continue to run into Turkey’s brick wall: Despite senior-level talks with Turkish President RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN today, the newly reelected strongman held firm in opposition, Nicolas Camut reports.

Related read: “As Ukraine’s counteroffensive heats up, Washington holds its breath,” by WaPo’s Karen DeYoung: “After 16 months of war, and with tens of billions’ worth of advanced weapons sent, Western backers need Ukraine’s forces to show dramatic gains against Russian occupiers.”

BLINKEN’S BIG TRIP — Secretary of State ANTONY BLINKEN will travel to Beijing this weekend, finally making up for the planned February visit that was scrapped after the spy balloon kerfuffle, the State Department announced today. It’s an important moment for fraught U.S.-Sino relations and the first time in five years that a secretary of State has visited China. The two countries decided that “now is the right time to engage at this level,” a State Department official said, per CNN’s Jennifer Hansler. No details yet on which officials Blinken will meet — or whether Chinese President XI JINPING will be among them.

Blinken’s to-do list is long. Among the topics officials said he plans to raise: communication between the two superpowers, climate change, fentanyl, Taiwan, Ukraine and wrongfully detained Americans.

And despite the sign of possible rapprochement, China is making clear in advance that they view improvement in relations as the U.S.’ cross to bear. “It’s clear where the responsibility lies,” Chinese Foreign Minister QIN GANG told Blinken in a phone call yesterday evening, according to the Chinese readout. More from the WSJ

HAPPENING SHORTLY — The Fed’s latest much-watched interest rate decision will be announced at 2 p.m. Victoria Guida has a good preview up with this interesting observation: Even though inflation overall has proven frustratingly sticky, prices for food and fuel in particular are coming down — which could be politically helpful for Biden.

Good Wednesday afternoon. Happy Flag Day. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com.

 

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TRUMP CARDS

THE WAGES OF INDICTMENT — DONALD TRUMP’s Bedminister, N.J., fundraising dinner last night pulled in north of $2 million just hours after he was arraigned in Miami, Meridith McGraw reports.

SPLIT SCREEN — The most vulnerable House Republicans are largely staying quiet on the Trump federal criminal indictment, loath to alienate either primary or general-election voters, NBC’s Sahil Kapur reports. Of the 18 who represent Biden-won districts, only one — Rep. DON BACON (R-Neb.) — has criticized Trump over his behavior in the classified documents case. Almost all the others are either ignoring it publicly or defending the former president.

“Let’s see what happens if/when Republicans from Biden districts are asked to vote on a subpoena of DOJ or an amendment defunding/hobbling the prosecution of Trump as part of the government shutdown fight,” notes WaPo’s Greg Sargent.

Privately, many Republican strategists admit that Trump’s legal peril here is more worrisome than the GOP is willing to broadcast, NBC’s Allan Smith, Katherine Doyle, Matt Dixon and Natasha Korecki report. “The man is going to prison. It’s happening,” says one “operative in Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS’ orbit.” But party strategists are divided over how best to handle the matter, as his presidential rivals have few good options politically.

CONGRESS

ANOTHER ONE TO WATCH — Rep. ANNA PAULINA LUNA’s (R-Fla.) effort to censure Rep. ADAM SCHIFF (D-Calif.) is expected to hit the House floor this afternoon. Luna seeks to punish Schiff for his handling of the Trump-Russia story and fine him $16 million. But Democrats may be able to table the bill before it comes up for a vote by peeling off some Republicans. This morning, Rep. THOMAS MASSIE (R-Ky.) said he’ll be one of them: “Adam Schiff acted unethically but if a resolution to fine him $16 million comes to the floor I will vote to table it. … A $16 million fine is a violation of the 27th and 8th amendments.”

NOT BUSINESS AS USUAL — WSJ’s Brody Mullins is up with a deep dive on how GOP lawmakers are distancing themselves from corporate PAC money, relying instead on small donations from individuals who are skeptical of big business priorities. The WSJ’s analysis of campaign data found that in 2016, 128 House Republicans received more than 40% of their campaign funds from corporate PACs; in the 2022 cycle, just 42 House Republicans met that threshold. Republicans attribute the rift to CEOs taking progressive stances on social issues.

NEW AT THE TOP — Freshman Sen. KATIE BRITT (R-Ala.) is now a member of Senate GOP leadership, our Huddle colleagues reported this morning.

WHOOPSIE — “Barbara Lee says she voted against Abraham Accords bill by mistake,” by Jewish Insider’s Marc Rod

 

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ALL POLITICS

SECTARIANISM SECTION — A new NORC/Starts With Us survey lays bare a fascinating dynamic in a polarized America: Democrats and Republicans generally share many similar values, from compassion to personal responsibility, but they don’t think members of the opposite party do, AP’s David Klepper reports. “The findings reflect a phenomenon known as ‘affective polarization,’ in which disagreements are based on animosity and a lack of trust instead of an actual debate over values or policy” — and they offer a potential starting point for rebuilding that trust.

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE — A new super PAC named “Lose Cruz” aims to defeat Sen. TED CRUZ (R-Texas) in his reelection bid, and has lined up more than seven figures in funding to pump out rapid-response advertising on TV and online, NBC’s Jane Timm reports. SEAN HAYNES founded the PAC, and other senior advisers include SAWYER HACKETT and OLIVIA JULIANNA. The group plans to hammer Cruz over the Jan. 6 attack, his trip to Cancún amid his home state’s power outage during a winter storm, his podcast and more. The first ad goes up this week.

KNIVES OUT FOR NO LABELS — “No Labels Is Helping a Firm that Raises Money for Right-Wing Extremists,” by Mother Jones’ David Corn: “Donations to No Labels are handled by an online fundraising platform called Anedot. … [W]hen an online contributor sends No Labels $100, Anedot pockets $4.30. That money bolsters Anedot’s mission to raise funds for the right and the GOP.”

ENDORSEMENT WATCH — Rep. ELISSA SLOTKIN’s Senate campaign got a boost from fellow Michigan Democratic Rep. HALEY STEVENS today, per The Detroit News’ Riley Beggin.

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

IRAN LATEST — Talks between the U.S. and Iran are back on, as the Biden administration quietly tries to make progress on detained Americans and the country’s nuclear development, WSJ’s Laurence Norman and David Cloud report. Since December, White House officials have been in Oman at least three times for indirect talks. “The latest attempt at diplomacy represents a delicate political balancing act for Biden and is focused on cooling tensions,” though the White House isn’t eager to make it very public. Tehran is hoping for some energy sanctions relief. And separately, the U.S. has unfrozen roughly $2.7 billion in Iraqi payments for electricity and gas from Iran.

POLICY CORNER

FROM 30,000 FEET — “Biden regulatory agenda previews busy period before election,” by Alex Guillén, Ben Lefebvre, Kelsey Tamborrino, Zack Colman and Gloria Gonzalez: “The first half of 2024 looks likely to be one of the busiest regulatory periods of the Biden administration, according to rulemaking timeline targets … The administration is closely watching the calendar, since any rule finalized later in 2024 could put the rule inside the timeframe for Congressional Review Act resolutions should Republicans win the White House and maintain or grow their power in Congress.”

 

GET READY FOR GLOBAL TECH DAY: Join POLITICO Live as we launch our first Global Tech Day alongside London Tech Week on Thursday, June 15. Register now for continuing updates and to be a part of this momentous and program-packed day! From the blockchain, to AI, and autonomous vehicles, technology is changing how power is exercised around the world, so who will write the rules? REGISTER HERE.

 
 

PLAYBOOKERS

OUT AND ABOUT — Ford’s Theatre Society hosted its annual gala at Ford’s Theatre on Sunday evening. The Lincoln Medal was presented to Rita Moreno by playwright Tony Kushner, and to philanthropist Marlene Malek by Larry Hogan, for their achievements that “exemplify the lasting legacy of Abraham Lincoln.” SPOTTED: Sens. John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.), Ed Markey (D-Mass.), Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Jim Risch (R-Idaho), Reps. Emanuel Cleaver (D-Mo.), Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.), Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.), Ro Khanna (D-Calif.), Mike Turner (R-Ohio) and Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Paul Pelosi, Elaine Chao, John McCarthy, Steve Ricchetti, Carlos Elizondo, Sheikh Meshal bin Hamad Al-Thani, Dina Kawar, Heather Podesta and Don and Shannon McGahn.

— SPOTTED Monday night at Foreign Policy for America’s annual Leadership Summit at the Hilton on The Wharf: Sens. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) and Tom Carper (D-Del.), Reps. Veronica Escobar (D-Texas), Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.), Lauren Underwood (D-Ill.), Andy Kim (D-N.J.), Sean Casten (D-Ill.), Jason Crow (D-Colo.), Bill Keating (D-Mass.), Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), Yadira Caraveo (D-Colo.), Dina Titus (D-Nev.) and Matt Cartwright (D-Pa.), Ukrainian Ambassador Oksana Markarova, USTR Katherine Tai, CIA Director Bill Burns, Richard Verma, Ned Price, Carlyn Reichel, Jon Finer, Simon Clark, Tom Countryman, Nelson Cunningham and Ali Wyne.

— SPOTTED Monday evening at a party for former Interior Secretary David Bernhardt’s new book, “You Report To Me” ($30), hosted by Norm Brownstein at the D.C. office of Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck: Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.), Jon Hrobsky, Luke Johnson, Jason Buckner, Kate Gonzales, Bella Wolitz, William McGrath, Cole Rojewski, William Bourdeau, Cameron Bishop, Lesley Schaaff, Holly Hopkins, Mike Olsen, Taylor Playforth, Blake Schindler, Micah Chambers, John Tanner, Tripp Parks, Rebecca Konolige and Rob MacGregor.

— SPOTTED at Public Citizen’s 50th anniversary gala yesterday at the National Portrait Gallery, where over 800 people came out to celebrate: Sens. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.), Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Ed Markey (D-Mass.) and Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), Reps. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), Robert Weissman, Chester Davis and Dannie Bolden.

TRANSITIONS — Jacob Freedman is now senior adviser for strategic comms to Army Secretary Christine Wormuth. He previously was chief of staff to Madeleine Albright and a VP at Albright Stonebridge Group, and is a Chuck Hagel, Leon Panetta and Robert Gates alum. … Rachel Ogelsby is joining the America First Policy Institute as a department director. She previously was chief of policy for North Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem. … Claudia Santiago is now government relations manager at the J.M. Smuckers Co. She previously was government affairs senior specialist at Conagra. …

… Millicent Hennessey is now deputy director of policy in the worldwide aerospace and defense division at GlobalFoundries. She most recently was senior manager of public policy at Samsung Semiconductor and is a NSC alum. … Joel Wiginton will be SVP for government relations at the Pew Charitable Trusts. He previously was a principal in the Raben Group’s government affairs and policy counsel practice. … Angela Hervig is now a special adviser at the EPA. She previously was a legislative assistant at the White House and is a Joe Cunningham alum.

WEEKEND WEDDING — AnnMarie Graham, comms director for Rep. Brian Mast (R-Fla.) and a Steve Stivers alum, and Zach Barnes, legislative director for Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.), got married Saturday at the InterContinental at the Wharf. They met walking in a Memorial Day parade for Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio) while campaigning for the Ohio Republican Party during the 2016 cycle. Pic by Margaret Wroblewski Photography

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Correction: Yesterday’s Playbook PM misstated LaVontae Brooks’ new role. He has been selected as a Thomas R. Pickering fellow. It also misstated the organization of which he’s an alum; it is the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation.

 

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California Today: How noise can take years off your life

A conversation with Emily Baumgaertner, a health correspondent for The New York Times who went to places as different as San Diego and rural Mississippi to measure the harmful effects of noise.
Author Headshot

By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Wednesday. Here is how noise harms people's health in places like Point Loma in San Diego, where jets roar overhead about 280 times a day. Plus, another Los Angeles official is accused of corruption.

The New York Times

We've all been annoyed by the stomping of our upstairs neighbors, a blaring ambulance that rouses us from sleep, a dog barking while we're on a Zoom call.

But could these quotidian sounds ever cross over from merely irritating to actually dangerous?

My colleagues have just published a fascinating project exploring how unpleasant noise can take years off your life, a largely unrecognized health threat that's increasing the risk of hypertension, stroke and heart attacks for Americans.

When we hear the whooshing din of a freeway or the thundering of a low-flying plane, the sound alerts the stress detection center in our brain, which then sets off a cascade of reactions in our body that, over time, can take a serious toll on our health.

While we think we get used to these ambient noises after a while, the data actually shows the opposite: Repeated exposure makes people more sensitive to noise, lowering our tolerance for unpleasant sounds and essentially making the bad effects worse.

"Noise is worth worrying about," Emily Baumgaertner, who led the reporting, told me. "The relationship between noise and health looks fairly linear on a plot. The louder your environment is, the higher your risk of heart disease, heart attack and even heart-related death."

Noise levels are measured in decibels, and according to the World Health Organization, average road-traffic noise above 53 decibels, or average aircraft noise above about 45 decibels, is associated with adverse health effects. Roughly one-third of the U.S. population lives in areas with average noise levels at least that high.

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It isn't just a big-city problem. Emily and a group of our colleagues traveled to neighborhoods in rural Mississippi and suburban areas in California and New Jersey, as well as New York City, to measure noise exposure. The constant noise in, say, an apartment next to a highway may seem like more of a problem, but scientists suspect that jarring sounds that interrupt typically quieter environments may actually be more detrimental to our health.

Emily, who is based in Los Angeles, told me about visiting Point Loma in San Diego, where jets roar overhead about 280 times a day. At a high school less than a mile from the San Diego International Airport, noisy interruptions are so baked into daily life that students have their own term for when aircraft noise gets so loud that it stops classroom discussion: the Point Loma Pause.

Emily recalled standing in the kitchen of a home in nearby Bankers Hill as a plane flew over and thinking she could feel the blare in her bones.

"My ears were fine," she said. "It was the way the long, steady waveform of engine noise traveled, permeating windows and walls as if they weren't even there. That's what helped bring home the systemic cardiovascular threats of low-frequency noise. You can seal up your house, but you're never really going to escape it."

For more:

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Gov. Gavin Newsom in Paramount last month. Yesterday, he sparred with the Fox News host Sean Hannity, insisting that President Biden was physically fit for a second term while refusing to say whether he had been urged by supporters to run against him.Hans Gutknecht/The Orange County Register via AP,

The rest of the news

  • Newsom vs. Hannity: Gov. Gavin Newsom appeared on "Hannity" on Fox News, insisting that President Biden was physically fit for a second term while refusing to say whether supporters had urged him to run against Biden in 2024, The Associated Press reports.
  • Right to housing: California lawmakers are trying to enshrine a right to housing in the state's Constitution, CalMatters reports.
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Curren Price: A longtime Los Angeles councilman, Curren Price, was charged yesterday with embezzlement, perjury and conflict of interest, becoming the latest in a procession of city leaders accused of corruption.
  • Homeless shelter: City leaders in Long Beach announced plans to purchase a building near the Los Angeles River to use as a permanent homeless shelter, The Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Planned Parenthood clinics: A Ventura County man pleaded guilty to making death threats against two Planned Parenthood clinics in Southern California hours after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade last summer, The Los Angeles Times reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
  • Cop killed in crash: The off-duty officer who died in a Fresno County crash yesterday was identified as Manvir Dhanoa, a rookie in the Sanger Police Department, The Fresno Bee reports.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Budget proposal: California's state budget could include a subsidy for BART, the S.F.M.T.A. and the state's transit agencies that would delay service cuts, The San Francisco Chronicle reports.

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County of San Mateo

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Barrie Moore, who lives in Redwood City, on the San Francisco Peninsula:

"One of my favorite places to visit is Edgewood Park and Natural Preserve in Redwood City. Edgewood is known for its extraordinary biodiversity and dozens of wildflower species that bloom each spring. April is usually the best month to see the most flowers. There are several different hiking trails that wind through oak woodlands, serpentine grasslands and chaparral habitats.

As you climb the gentle hills, you are rewarded with panoramic views of San Francisco Bay to the east and the Santa Cruz Mountains to the west. There is also a cute nature center — open on the weekends — a native plant garden and a large picnic area. Edgewood is a little jewel just minutes from the heart of Silicon Valley!"

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Tell us

We're almost halfway through 2023! What are the best things that have happened to you so far this year? What have been your wins? Or your unexpected joys, big or small?

Tell me at CAtoday@nytimes.com. Please include your full name and the city where you live.

And before you go, some good news

Kairan Quazi was always ahead.

When he was 2, he spoke in complete sentences. When he was in kindergarten, he regaled classmates with stories he had heard on NPR. He started attending community college when he was 9.

Kairan, who lives in Pleasanton, is expected to graduate from the Santa Clara University School of Engineering this month — and he's only 14. He already has a job lined up as a software engineer at SpaceX, The Los Angeles Times reports.

He'll probably need someone to drive him to work.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

Briana Scalia and Geordon Wollner contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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