Trump’s indictment limbo drags on to late April

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Mar 29, 2023 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Eli Okun

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WACO, TEXAS - MARCH 25: Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the Waco Regional Airport on March 25, 2023 in Waco, Texas. Former U.S. president Donald Trump attended and spoke at his first rally since announcing his 2024 presidential campaign. Today in Waco also marks the 30 year anniversary of the weeks deadly standoff involving Branch Davidians and federal law   enforcement. 82 Davidians were killed, and four agents left dead. (Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

The grand jury in the Donald Trump hush money payment probe isn’t meeting today. | Brandon Bell/Getty Images

INDICTMENT WATCH — The sword of Damocles that is the possible criminal indictment of DONALD TRUMP could dangle over American politics for yet another month: Our colleague Erica Orden scooped from NYC that the grand jury looking into the STORMY DANIELS hush money probe is expected to take a break for the next several weeks.

The jury isn’t meeting today, and will take up unrelated matters tomorrow and next week, followed by a two-week respite. The hiatus, which was previously planned and accounts in part for a Passover break, could still be subject to change. (Manhattan DA ALVIN BRAGG has the ability to bring them in on a break if he so chooses.) But as of now, the new timeline would delay any Trump indictment to no earlier than late April.

As the wheels of justice turn ever so slowly, plenty of political and legal speculation is rushing in to fill the void.

— Humbling Bragg: Three lawyers who have worked on the hush money case now threatening a Trump criminal indictment tell The Daily Beast’s Jose Pagliery that it’s a weak case never intended to be a standalone charge. The probe was initially just one piece of a much broader investigation into potential financial misdeeds in Trump world, and it was seen as possibly just a misdemeanor. But, but, but: All three also “cheered on Bragg for taking on the case — and noted that this could merely be the first iteration in a larger investigation.”

— Survey says: A new Quinnipiac poll finds mixed opinions about the matter among the American electorate, which seems cynical in multiple directions about both Bragg and Trump. On the one hand, by a wide margin (62% to 32%), voters think Bragg’s case is motivated more by politics than by law. But at the same time, they say any criminal charges filed against Trump should disqualify him from running for president, 57% to 38% — including 55% of independents. Fifty-five percent of voters say the accusations in the case are very or somewhat serious.

AUMF OOMPH — The Senate voted 66-30 today to repeal the 1991 and 2002 authorizations for use of military force in Iraq in a bipartisan show of support that attracted more than a dozen GOP votes, despite Senate Minority Leader MITCH McCONNELL’s opposition. Now the big question is how Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY will handle the matter in the House.

X MARKS THE SPOT — Kiss your recess plans goodbye: Testifying before the House Budget Committee today, MARK ZANDI of Moody’s estimated that the “X date” — when the debt ceiling must be lifted to avert fiscal calamity — could come in mid-August.

MORE DEBT LIMIT TEA LEAVES — Moderate Rep. TONY GONZALES (R-Texas), who’s feuding with other House Republicans over immigration legislation plans, issued an ultimatum this morning: “Bring unchristian anti-immigrant bills to the floor and I am a NO on the debt ceiling.”

Good Wednesday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com.

 

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CONGRESS

BIPARTISAN BACKING — Texas Democratic Reps. VICENTE GONZALEZ and HENRY CUELLAR announced that they’ll support H.R. 1, Republicans’ big energy bill, The Texas Tribune’s Matthew Choi reports. That will give House GOP leaders the ability to label it as bipartisan legislation. “While this package is far from perfect, it is a step forward,” Gonzalez said in a statement, citing permitting reforms in particular.

TIKTOK ON THE CLOCK — Sen. RAND PAUL (R-Ky.), never one to bow to prevailing winds, announced in a Louisville Courier Journal op-ed this morning that he opposes a ban on TikTok, calling such a Republican-backed move “a national strategy to permanently lose elections for a generation” as well as a form of censorship that would “emulate China’s speech bans.”

STARBUCKS ON THE STAND — “Starbucks’ Howard Schultz defends union stance before Senate,” by AP’s Dee-Ann Durbin: “U.S. Sen. BERNIE SANDERS, a Vermont Independent who has been a vocal supporter of Starbucks labor organizers, accused the company of stalling efforts to reach a contract with workers who first voted to unionize in late 2021. … ‘I think unions have served an important role in American business for many years. In the ’50s and ’60s, unions generally were working on behalf of people in a company where people haven’t been treated fairly,’ [HOWARD] SCHULTZ said. ‘We do not believe that we are that kind of company. We do nothing nefarious. We put our people first.’”

Sen. MARKWAYNE MULLIN (R-Okla.) took the opportunity to call out Sanders during the hearing, saying he’s worth $8 million, per NBC’s Sahil Kapur. Sanders rejected the claim as “phony right-wing internet stuff.”

2024 WATCH

CASH DASH — Ongoing and growing concerns about Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS’ readiness for prime time have some top GOP donors casting about for a different alternative to Trump, WaPo’s Maeve Reston and Michael Scherer report. Some strategists say there’s still plenty of time for another candidate to rise, and the Post finds that “some unaligned donors have been underwhelmed in recent meetings with DeSantis” and are concerned by his comments on Ukraine. Among the familiar parade of names floating amid the Sea Island set: TIM SCOTT, GLENN YOUNGKIN, CHRIS SUNUNU and CHRIS CHRISTIE.

POLITICIANS, THEY’RE NOT LIKE US — DeSantis doesn’t text or email at all in his official role as governor, Semafor’s Shelby Talcott reports. He communicates only via phone calls or face-to-face meetings. His office says it’s “because the topics discussed are often nuanced and detailed”; others point out that it also removes a paper trail in a state that gives outsize access to public information.

POLICY CORNER

OPIOID FILES — An over-the-counter version of naloxone, the drug that can undo an opioid overdose, got approval from the FDA today for the first time. Emergent BioSolutions’ Narcan may now become much more broadly accessible, as people won’t need a prescription to get it. The decision could translate to Narcan being available on store shelves as soon as late summer, the company said. “But the impact of making Narcan available over-the-counter will largely depend on how much it costs,” notes The Hill’s Nathaniel Weixel.

MORE POLITICS

GO BLUE — “Michigan Democrats Rise, and Try to Turn a Battleground Blue,” by NYT’s Katie Glueck in Bay City and Birmingham: “Against that backdrop — significant victories last fall, in a state that is still closely divided — state Democrats are pursuing a flood of liberal legislation, while measuring the durability of an unwieldy coalition that defeated Republicans in the last three elections.”

Democratic Rep. DEBBIE DINGELL: “Tenuous is the operative word.”

Former GOP Rep. DAVE TROTT: “The Republican Party in Michigan is dead for the foreseeable future … If I’m ELISSA SLOTKIN, I’m already trying to figure out which Senate building I want my office in.”

GOVERNOR/SENATE WATCH — West Virginia AG PATRICK MORRISEY noticed a big announcement coming Tuesday, as expectations swirl about a possible GOP bid for governor or Senate.

 

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THE WHITE HOUSE

DOLLARS FOR DEMOCRACY — Biden today announced a new round of $690 million in financing to support democracies around the world, including funding fair elections and anti-corruption work. The pledge at the White House’s international Summit for Democracy, which includes 120 countries, is a step up from the $400 million he devoted at the last summit in 2021.

But, but, but: How effective is that funding? “Rights advocates say there is little evidence the countries joining the summit have made progress on improving their democracies, and that there is no formal mechanism to hold participants to the modest commitments made at the first meeting,” Reuters’ Nandita Bose reports.

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

THE OTHER INVESTIGATIONS — After being ordered to testify in the government’s Jan. 6/election subversion investigation, former VP MIKE PENCE told reporters in Iowa today that he’s still deciding his next steps, per CNN’s Jeff Zeleny. “I have nothing to hide,” he said, and he’ll announce what’s next “in the days to come.”

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

GOING NUCLEAR — In a sudden reversal, Russia said today that it will stop giving the U.S. a heads up in advance of its missile tests, as nuclear cooperation and non-proliferation efforts between the two countries continue to disintegrate, AP’s Vladimir Isachenkov reports. “Such notices have been an essential element of strategic stability for decades, allowing Russia and the United States to correctly interpret each other’s moves and make sure that neither country mistakes a test launch for a missile attack.”

THE NEXT FLASHPOINT? — Taiwanese President TSAI ING-WEN left for a trip to the U.S. today, a potential provocation to China that will include a meeting with McCarthy, NYT’s Amy Chang Chien and Chris Horton preview from Taipei. Tsai is walking a tightrope of trying to assert her nation’s independence and improve its bonds with Western countries without inciting a burst of ire from Beijing. But it’s “also about projecting strength at home,” as Tsai seeks to reap benefits from close U.S. ties for her party’s fortunes in Taiwan.

DANCE OF THE SUPERPOWERS — China is positioning more of its anti-corruption enforcement officials in its embassies overseas, primarily in G-20 countries and the like, WSJ’s Chun Han Wong and Keith Zhai scooped. The move could provide more Chinese officials to work with other countries’ authorities in cracking down on fraud and graft, especially tackling longtime fugitives. But “[t]he presence of anticorruption officials in Chinese embassies risks raising alarm in host countries.”

“U.S. Urges EU to Sanction Chinese Satellite Firm Over Russia Aid,” by Bloomberg’s Alberto Nardelli, Natalia Drozdiak and Jennifer Jacobs: “Spacety China was hit with US sanctions in January … While the EU has aligned in coordination many of its Russia-related sanctions with the US, two months later it has yet to sanction the Chinese satellite firm.”

SPY GAMES — “He came to D.C. as a Brazilian student. The U.S. says he was a Russian spy,” by WaPo’s Greg Miller in The Hague: “Using the access he gained during his two years in Washington, [SERGEY] CHERKASOV filed reports to his bosses in Russia’s military intelligence service, the GRU, on how senior officials in the Biden administration were responding to the Russian military buildup before the war in Ukraine … [In Brazil, he’s] now serving a 15-year prison sentence for document fraud related to his fake identity. … The case has revealed lingering vulnerabilities in Western defenses … The revelations have also exposed serious lapses in Russian tradecraft.”

 

JOIN POLITICO ON 4/5 FOR THE 2023 RECAST POWER LIST: America’s demographics and power dynamics are changing — and POLITICO is recasting how it covers the intersection of race, identity, politics and policy. Join us for a conversation on the themes of the 2023 Recast Power List that will examine America’s decision-making tables, who gets to sit at them, and the challenges that still need to be addressed. REGISTER HERE.

 
 

THE ECONOMY

LIKE THE HOLES IN SWISS CHEESE — A new Senate Finance Committee report takes Credit Suisse to task for “major violations” of a 2014 plea deal with the Justice Department, finding that the bank has continued to find ways for super wealthy Americans to evade taxes. In particular, the report fingers “‘what may be an ongoing criminal tax conspiracy’ involving almost $100 million in secret offshore accounts belonging to a family of dual US-Latin American citizens,” per Bloomberg’s David Voreacos. And it says Credit Suisse hid $700 million from the IRS. The bank said in a statement that its new managers are working with authorities to address any issues.

WHAT AJAY BANGA HAS PLANNED — “Biden’s World Bank pick sets ambitious course,” by Axios’ Hans Nichols: He “wants the bank to focus on poverty alleviation and climate change — and warns that the world needs a massive investment from the private sector to adequately address both challenges.”

PLAYBOOKERS

OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED last night at a Congressional Black Caucus reception at Forbes Tate Partners hosted by Rep. Glenn Ivey (D-Md.): Reps. Emilia Sykes (D-Ohio), Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.), Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D-Calif.), Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) and Jonathan Jackson (D-Ill.), Justin Kintz, Jaimon Jackson, Chelsea Antony, Phylicia Woods, Andrew Okuyiga, Charles Wadelington and Sarah Badawi.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Anna Pusey is now director of media affairs for the House Republican Conference. She most recently was senior account executive at CRC Advisors.

TRANSITION — Sindy Benavides is now executive director of the Latino Victory Project. She previously was CEO of the League of United Latin American Citizens.

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California Today: Pandemic silver linings

How things have changed three years since the coronavirus pandemic began.
Author Headshot

By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Wednesday. You shared your pandemic silver linings in the three years since Covid-19 reshaped our lives. Plus, a state bill would require gender-neutral restrooms in schools.

People waiting at the intersection of Seventh and Figueroa Streets in Downtown Los Angeles in May 2020.Philip Cheung for The New York Times

The coronavirus pandemic has been defined by so much loss. Of lives, jobs, relationships. Of normalcy.

But amid that upheaval, there have been occasional moments of hope, small positive changes borne from the chaos of the past three years.

Hundreds of you wrote to us about the ways that pandemic disruptions surprisingly reshaped your lives for the better. Some of you found time to start a new business venture or fall in love. Lockdowns allowed you to spend more time with your children or parents, or prioritize your own happiness through daily morning walks, new recipes or oil painting.

In June 2020, I adopted a sickly kitten, a responsibility I wouldn't have been able to take on had I not been newly working from home. Now she's almost 3 years old and a lovable companion for whom I feel immensely grateful.

Reading your pandemic silver linings genuinely improved my week. I hope you enjoy them, too. Here's some of what you shared, lightly edited for clarity.

"In the spring of 2020, my husband and I offered to read to our 3-year-old niece on Zoom to give her parents a brief break. Some days during those first dark months of the pandemic, knowing that soon I'd be reading picture books to our bright and cheerful niece got me out of bed in the morning. Three years later, we still read to her for an hour every week — and sometimes now she reads to us!" — Caroline Grant, San Francisco

"I was able to stop and breathe and pay off debt. I became debt-free and bought my first home at 50 in January 2023." — Kristin Stout, Sacramento

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"My son was in the middle of his junior year of high school, and the stress of it all, especially the shelter-in-place, was wreaking havoc. One day he just pinned up a tarp on the side of our house in the backyard, put up a large blank canvas and just started to paint. We were amazed at what he was creating. We have over a dozen of his works of art, and he is now a sophomore in college and is deciding if he will pursue an art major in college. If it wasn't for that Covid quarantine, we would not have had the opportunity for him to find that gift of his." — Elizabeth Harvey-Guedes, Belmont

"I come from a family of nine kids, six of whom are still alive. With the pandemic, we started a weekly Zoom meeting that we all religiously attend. Before, we maybe talked just a couple times a year." — Bill Masco, Indio

"I got a new hairdo. For a woman in her early 70s, that's a big deal. After decades of short hair, I grew it out. When I could not access my hairdresser for months on end, I decided to go for the long haul and get a new look. I never would have been brave enough to do that had it not been for the pandemic." — Heather Prescott, Ahwahnee

"My 25-year-old son's partner moved in, to avoid him going back and forth from place to place. We live in a 1,000-square-foot cottage with a studio out back, so you would think all hell would break out. Instead, we spent a harmonious five months together, until they found a nearby apartment. It was really quite lovely, having dinner together every night. Every six weeks or so my son and husband, both professional musicians, played front yard concerts for the neighborhood. A few weeks ago my son said he was thinking about that time together and missed it, and I realized, so did I." — Barbara DeMarco-Barrett, Corona Del Mar

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"Although the pandemic and stay-at-home order brought anxiety and fear into our lives, it also gave us the unexpected gift of time together. The combination of reduced school hours because of remote learning, and the cancellation of all extracurricular activities, gave our family an extra 34 waking hours together per week. Over the course of 2020, we spent our gift on leisurely meals, spontaneous board games, aimless conversations, whimsical cooking projects and glorious hikes with no destination. And though I know that our teenagers are better off now back at school with kids their own age, I sometimes look back at that time with selfish nostalgia. I hope my children will never have to receive almost two thousand extra hours with their own kids under similar circumstances. But I would never trade memories of my gift for anything else." — Jenny Raj, San Francisco

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A gender neutral public restroom sign in West Hollywood in 2015.Kendrick Brinson for The New York Times

The rest of the news

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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Overcrowding: Three inmates died during a nine-day period this month, as jails are operating over capacity, The Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Disney living: The first details of Disney's venture into real estate were revealed last week, including a social club in the community that will be inspired by the home in "The Incredibles" movies, The Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Reservoir refills: Persistent rainfall this winter replenished Diamond Valley Lake, the largest reservoir in Southern California, The Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Los Angeles education budget: The Los Angeles United School District changed its ending balance to $5.12 billion from $4.93 billion while saying that there may be less money available for raises, The Los Angeles Times reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
  • Farming solutions: The practice of on-farm recharge requires farmers to flood their fields with rainwater to restore underground water reserves. It has attracted broad support amid extreme weather conditions, The Associated Press reports.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Sterling Reed

What you get

For $1.6 million: A midcentury-modern home designed by Cliff May in Long Beach, a 1918 Craftsman house in Oakland and a three-bedroom bungalow in Sierra Madre.

Kate Sears for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Barrett Washburne.

What we're eating

People gathered on an overlook above the Borrego Badlands in Anza-Borrego Desert State Park in 2022.Mario Tama/Getty Images

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Nancy Butala, who lives in Stillwater, Minn. Nancy recommends Anza-Borrego Desert State Park:

"It is nature at its finest. There are many hiking trails, beautiful vistas, the unique little town of Borrego Springs, and in years with adequate rainfall the wildflowers are spectacular. I am a snowbird from Minnesota and spend four months of the winter in Palm Desert. I always make a point of visiting Anza-Borrego several times when I am in the desert."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Tell us

What foods do you consider quintessentially Californian? Almonds? In-N-Out Burger? Cioppino? Artichokes?

Tell us your favorite Golden State dish or snack, and include a few sentences about what it means to you. Email us at CAToday@nytimes.com.

And before you go, some good news

A few of you wrote to us about the success of businesses you started during the pandemic. One of those was Shorebirds Brewing Company, which opened in Sacramento last year and was written about in The Sacramento Bee.

Randall Echevarria, the co-owner, told The Times why he considered the venture his pandemic silver lining:

"My husband and I started home brewing hard kombucha during the pandemic and immediately fell in love with the fruit- and botanical-forward flavors we created. After a year of recipe development, we decided to take the plunge and converted our cold brew coffee manufacturing business into a hard kombucha brewery and taproom called Shorebirds Brewing Company. We are excited to celebrate our first anniversary at the end of April!"

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

Briana Scalia and Isabella Grullón Paz contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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