The most interesting Q2 fundraising hauls so far

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Jul 05, 2023 View in browser
 
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By Eli Okun

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Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) is seen at the U.S. Capitol May 22, 2023. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images)

Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) raised a massive $6.2 million in the two months since he launched his Senate campaign. | Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Photo

CASH DASH — It’s that time of year: Second-quarter fundraising totals are starting to roll in fast and furious, showing which contenders are building impressive war chests (or not) ahead of closely contested races. Reports are due July 15. Nothing so far comes close to Rep. ADAM SCHIFF’s (D-Calif.) record-breaking $8.1 million to run for Senate, though: Democrats love to spend on a safe-seat hero.

The notable numbers we’ve seen today:

— Texas: Democratic Rep. COLIN ALLRED raised a massive $6.2 million in the two months since he launched his Senate campaign, and he transferred another $2.4 million from his House campaign account, The Texas Tribune’s Patrick Svitek scooped. To put this haul into perspective: BETO O’ROURKE, the last Democrat to try to take down GOP Sen. TED CRUZ — and no fundraising slouch himself — took nine months of campaigning to raise that much money.

— Wisconsin: Democratic Sen. TAMMY BALDWIN landed more than $3.2 million last quarter, which her campaign calls a record for a non-election year in a Wisconsin Senate race, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel’s Bill Glauber reports.

— Missouri: LUCAS KUNCE, one of two prominent Democrats seeking to take on GOP Sen. JOSH HAWLEY, raised $1.2 million last quarter, per The Kansas City Star’s Daniel Desrochers.

— Pennsylvania: Democratic Sen. BOB CASEY pulled in more than $4 million for his reelection bid, the best fundraising quarter of his career, his campaign announced today. He now has almost $6 million on hand. More from the AP

Yass king: At the same time, the Pennsylvania Rising leadership PAC — launched by DAVID McCORMICK as he considers a Republican bid against Casey — raised over $1 million from May 2 to June 5, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette’s Benjamin Kail reports. The vast majority of that was in the form of a $1 million donation from billionaire megadonor JEFFREY YASS.

Keys to the Keystone State: Casey hasn’t forgotten the journalist who first compared his personality to oatmeal: the Philly Inquirer’s TOM FERRICK. “So, that was a low point,” he tells The Messenger’s Dan Merica in Pittsburgh. (There’s also this fun exchange: “He’s like the least sexy politician in America … but he’s the biggest winner in Pennsylvania,” one operative says. When read the quote, Casey responded: “That wasn’t my wife, was it?”) Merica also reports that Casey’s expected to make China a central piece of his campaign if McCormick is the nominee, much like MEHMET OZ did against him in last year’s Senate primary.

JUST POSTED — “Nevada Republican Sam Brown likely to launch Senate campaign to unseat Democrat Jacky Rosen,” by NBC’s Natasha Korecki: An announcement is coming Monday.

SCARY STUFF — New prosecutor filings allege that TAYLOR TARANTO, the Jan. 6 defendant arrested last week, previously drove a weapon-stuffed van near BARACK OBAMA’s house after DONALD TRUMP posted Obama’s address on Truth Social, Kyle Cheney reports. His arrest concluded “a week-long period in which his erratic and menacing behavior escalated the urgency from law enforcement to find him,” including threats he allegedly issued to the National Institute of Standards and Technology and Rep. JAMIE RASKIN (D-Md.). His livestreamed threats to Obama, whose house Taranto said he might try to enter via sewers, finally got him arrested when he drove into Kalorama.

OUR NEW CLIMATE REALITY — “Tuesday was the hottest day on Earth since at least 1979,” as far back as records stretch, per WaPo’s Leo Sands. “As a result, some scientists believe July 4 may have been one of the hottest days on Earth in around 125,000 years.”

Good Wednesday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com.

 

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TRUMP CARDS

THE INVESTIGATIONS — Special counsel JACK SMITH subpoenaed the Arizona secretary of state’s office in his investigation into Jan. 6 and the efforts to overturn the 2020 election, the Arizona Republic’s Mary Jo Pitzl reports. The subpoenas came as recently as May and were complied with. They sought more information about two lawsuits claiming election fraud from the Trump campaign and from KELLI WARD. But it seems that Smith still hasn’t reached out to then-Gov. DOUG DUCEY.

ELITE STRIKE FORCE TEAM — LIN WOOD, a Trump attorney who played a role in trying to reverse the 2020 election, has moved to retire from legal practice in the face of possible disbarment hearings. More from Newsweek

2024 WATCH

BRUTAL FOR FRANCIS SUAREZ — The Messenger’s Adrian Carrasquillo is out with a new story that makes the Miami mayor look like something less than a rising GOP star: Many South Florida Republicans and others who have followed his career for a while consider Suarez a fraud, a joke and a “bumbling villain.” They say Suarez “exaggerates his record and takes credit for the policy wins of his predecessors” in a largely ceremonial office — to say nothing of ongoing federal corruption probes and other legal woes in his orbit, and a failed cryptocurrency gambit. “He’s a no-show mayor,” says TOMAS REGALADO, his GOP predecessor. “If he gets to the White House, I am sure he would be a no-show president.”

One notable name not dumping on Suarez: ANA NAVARRO, who tells Carrasquillo, “There’s a special place in hell for Cuban-Americans, in particular, who because of personal vindictive agendas and envy, attack Francis.”

OUT OF ORDER — In the NYT Magazine, Ross Barkan dives deep into the DNC’s messy efforts to reorder the presidential primary calendar, including the shock inside the room when President JOE BIDEN strong-armed the party into putting South Carolina first for 2024. Chair JAIME HARRISON “is sanguine about all of it,” but he “has to try to play mediator between angered state Democrats and a White House that expects fealty from the national organization.” Many battleground state party chairs like Harrison, but Biden’s inner circle ultimately calls the shots, and Dems in red states wish they got more attention. At the stake in next year’s schedule is not just which states exercise their power, but what vision of the Democratic Party prevails.

 

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THE WHITE HOUSE

COCAINEGATE UPDATE — “Cocaine found in White House near where guests enter West Wing,” by WaPo’s Tyler Pager and Peter Hermann: “White House staffers are authorized to give guests tours of the West Wing, which often occur at night or on weekends. Guests are required to go through security screening before entering the White House complex and then asked to leave their phones in small boxes just before entering the West Wing. Officials said the substance was found near these boxes.”

MORE POLITICS

THE COMEBACK BIDS — Former Rep. MONDAIRE JONES today jumped into the Democratic primary for New York’s 17th District, teeing up what’s expected to be a hard-fought primary and general election in a swing seat, as News 12 Westchester’s Tara Rosenblum and Lee Danuff scooped. In his launch video, Jones casts himself as a working people’s advocate who takes on corruption in Washington, protects abortion rights and boosts police funding. He’ll take on LIZ WHITMER GEREGHTY, Michigan Gov. GRETCHEN WHITMER’s sister, in the primary, where she’ll likely position herself as more moderate than Jones. Both are vying to take on GOP Rep. MIKE LAWLER, who flipped the seat last year.

— Nebraska state Sen. TONY VARGAS announced he’s running for Congress again, teeing up a potential general election rematch with GOP Rep. DON BACON, KETV-TV’s Vonn Jones reports. Bacon, the rare moderate Republican who’s been able to win several times in the Omaha swing seat, fended off Vargas by fewer than 3 points last year. Vargas said he’ll focus on helping the middle class.

BIG ENDORSEMENT — Rep. RYAN ZINKE (R-Mont.) today backed TIM SHEEHY for Senate, the latest piece of Republicans’ full-court press to anoint Sheehy and keep Rep. MATT ROSENDALE from winning the nomination, Fox News’ Aubrie Spady scooped. Zinke at one point considered running himself, which would have set up a rematch of his 2014 House contest with Rosendale. Instead, he’s looking to stop Rosendale a different way.

 

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BEYOND THE BELTWAY

BUCKEYE BULLSEYE — Ohioans will almost certainly vote in November on a constitutional amendment to protect abortion access, after advocates today filed nearly twice the number of required signatures to get it on the ballot, The Columbus Dispatch’s Jessie Balmert reports. As of now, it’ll be the biggest abortion vote of the year anywhere in the U.S.

SECTARIANISM WATCH — “Conservatives go to red states and liberals go to blue as the country grows more polarized,” by AP’s Nicholas Riccardi in Star, Idaho: “Americans are segregating by their politics at a rapid clip, helping fuel the greatest divide between the states in modern history. … Colorado and Idaho represent two poles of state-level political homogenization. Both are fast-growing Rocky Mountain states that have been transformed by an influx of like-minded residents. Life in the two states can be quite similar … But, politically, they increasingly occupy two separate worlds.”

HOT ON THE LEFT — “How the Steel City became a vanguard of the progressive movement,” by NBC’s Allan Smith in Pittsburgh: “Progressive candidates are in the middle of an eye-opening winning streak over more moderate Allegheny County Democrats who for decades had a firm grasp on power around Pittsburgh. … Allegheny County progressives say their path to power offers a roadmap for how left-wing activists can expand their coalition outside of the nation’s biggest cities.”

THE ECONOMY

THE NEXT BIG THREAT — Hundreds of thousands of UPS workers could go on strike later this summer after talks broke down early today, which would upend the supply chain and disrupt the economy, Bloomberg’s Ian Kullgren reports. The International Brotherhood of Teamsters and UPS still have until the end of the month to make a deal, but getting members to ratify it will take time too, and right now the sides are at an impasse over pay and cost-of-living increases. The White House says it’s in touch with both parties.

 

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MEDIAWATCH

YOWZA — WaPo’s Will Sommer has new details on that mysterious vanished GQ profile of DAVID ZASLAV: The Warner Bros. Discovery CEO’s team complained to GQ after it was published, prompting the magazine to rewrite parts of the story significantly. When reporter JASON BAILEY requested that his byline be removed from the article as a result, GQ decided to pull it down entirely instead.

LOOSENING UP — C-SPAN still can’t bring its own cameras into the House chamber like it did during the speaker’s race, but Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY has given the network greater use of cameras, making C-SPAN more fun, Semafor’s Kadia Goba writes. “Viewers now get a broader glimpse of Congress in action.” But C-SPAN wants more, as “nothing has changed outside of the new perspectives from the House Recording Studio.”

POLICY CORNER

CLIMATE FILES — “The EPA is racing to spend $27 billion the GOP wants to repeal,” by WaPo’s Maxine Joselow: “The Biden administration is rushing to spend billions of dollars in the Democrats’ climate law before January 2025 … Yet little-noticed language in the Inflation Reduction Act requires the Environmental Protection Agency to spend $27 billion by Sept. 30, 2024 — a much earlier deadline — or return the money to Congress. At issue is the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund [known as a green bank], which will provide $27 billion worth of grants to states, territories, tribes and others for projects that cut greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution. … House Republicans already have the program in their crosshairs.”

PLAYBOOKERS

TRANSITIONS — Mark Miller has rejoined the Pacific Legal Foundation as senior attorney. He previously was chief of staff and general counsel for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem. … Perham Gorji is now a partner with DLA Piper’s litigation practice. He previously was deputy chief counsel of litigation at the FDA. … Ashleigh Maciolek will be a policy associate for the Brennan Center for Justice. She previously was a research associate at the Center for American Progress.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Nathan Tek, deputy spokesperson at State, and Maricel Abalos, administrative assistant at Capitol Dental, welcomed Mariastella “Ella” Abalos Tek last night. She came in at 6 lbs, 15 oz and 19.5 inches. Pic

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California Today: How extreme weather could threaten California’s dams

A conversation with Christopher Cox, who wrote about the near-failure of the Oroville Dam and whether it could happen again.
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By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Wednesday. How extreme weather could threaten California's dams. Plus, Los Angeles workers are feeling emboldened.

The Oroville Dam's spillways.Spencer Lowell for The New York Times

Perhaps you've heard that climate change in California is exacerbating what's sometimes called "weather whiplash": Dry periods are stretching longer, interrupted by storms that are growing bigger and more furious.

In other words, our extremes are becoming more extreme.

For a recent issue of The New York Times Magazine, Christopher Cox tackled the question of how extreme weather could threaten California's dams, an essential piece of the state's complicated water storage and distribution system.

California is home to the tallest dam in America, located 60 miles north of Sacramento in Oroville. A failure of that dam would be catastrophic; in one particularly alarming scenario, it would send a wave more than 185 feet tall sweeping into the valley below, inundating several towns. When the St. Francis Dam in northern Los Angeles County failed in 1928, the disaster was one of the deadliest in state history.

But in a state threatened so regularly by Mother Nature, the risk of flooding from a dam failure doesn't tend to get much attention. And that's despite the fact that just six years ago, as Christopher reported, the Oroville Dam nearly failed.

"Fires happen more frequently, and drought years are more common than wet ones," he told me. "But the biggest disasters in the state's history have been floods."

California's dams are unprepared for extreme weather, experts told Christopher.

In 1862, the worst flood in the state's recorded history drowned the Central Valley and, by one account, destroyed one-quarter of all the buildings in the state. But most of the flood data used to design our dams comes from the past century, which experts say has been an unusually placid period in California weather.

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Now, though, storms are getting more furious as the atmosphere warms and the amount of water vapor it can carry increases. "All of this infrastructure," said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at U.C.L.A., "is designed for a climate that no longer exists."

Some scientists have been urging the state to prepare for a storm on the scale of the one in 1862, but there's been little progress. Dale Cox, a former project manager at the United States Geological Survey, told Christopher that he thought part of the reason was that floods don't captivate the public in the same way as earthquakes, which are more sudden and dramatic.

"Whereas an earthquake is more like an act of God," Cox told him, "flooding points out the flaws of man."

A truly comprehensive approach to dam safety tends to slip through the cracks, as meteorologists, hydrologists, engineers and climatologists focus only on their pieces of the equation and not the overall picture. That seems to make officials and experts particularly tight-lipped about the problem.

"Dam safety," Christopher wrote, "is an orphaned problem."

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The medical school at the University of California, Davis, is one of the most diverse in the country.Jim Wilson/The New York Times

The rest of the news

  • Affirmative action alternative: To build a diverse class of students, the medical school at U.C. Davis ranks applicants by the disadvantages they have faced. Can it work nationally?
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
  • Missing hiker: Yosemite National Park officials are searching for a missing hiker who was last seen near Upper Chilnualna Falls on Sunday afternoon, ABC6 reports.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

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Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Phoenix Kanada, who recommends visiting the Manzanar National Historic Site, one of 10 camps where the U.S. government incarcerated Japanese Americans in the 1940s:

"It is truly a balance of beauty and darkness as it commemorates the thousands of Japanese Americans that were sent here during WWII. The site serves as an important reminder of this country's past and how we as a people can be more understanding toward one another. Plus, the landscapes in the Owens Valley (where this site is) are truly remarkable."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Carissa Yip competing in her Round 2 game at the 44th Chess Olympiad in 2022.Arun Sankar/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

And before you go, some good news

At age 11, Carissa Yip became an international master in chess, the youngest woman to achieve that feat. Now Yip, a sophomore at Stanford University, is pursuing the title of grandmaster, the highest lifetime title in chess, The San Francisco Chronicle reports.

If Yip achieves the feat soon, she could become the seventh-youngest woman to reach grandmaster status.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

Briana Scalia, Lyna Bentahar and Steven Moity contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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