Biden’s job boom continues

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Feb 02, 2024 View in browser
 
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THE CATCH-UP

BREAKING — “Fani Willis admits relationship with prosecutor on Trump Georgia case,” by WaPo’s Holly Bailey and Amy Gardner in Atlanta: “In a 176-page court filing on Friday, [Fulton County DA FANI] WILLIS called the claims against her ‘meritless’ and ‘salacious’ [and] asked a judge to reject motions from [DONALD] TRUMP and other co-defendants that seek to disqualify her and her office from the case and to do so without a hearing. She denied claims of misconduct and said there was no evidence that the relationship between her and special prosecutor NATHAN WADE had prejudiced the case.”

SPEAK NOW — “Pentagon to MAGA world: You need to calm down over Taylor Swift,” by Lara Seligman: “Faced with an onslaught of journalist questions about the theory, spokesperson SABRINA SINGH was ready for it. In the name of being honest, Singh vehemently denied Swift is part of a DOD operation. ‘We know all too well the dangers of conspiracy theories, so to set the record straight — TAYLOR SWIFT is not part of a DOD psychological operation. Period,’ Singh told POLITICO.”

President Joe Biden speaks to members of the media.

President Joe Biden got a surprisingly strong jobs report Friday morning that will be a boost to his reelection campaign. | Andrew Harnik/AP Photo

JOBS JUMP AGAIN — Business is booming for the American economy, according to a surprisingly strong jobs report out this morning that will put wind behind the sails of President JOE BIDEN’s reelection hopes.

The details: The economy added a net 353,000 jobs in January, according to numbers released by the Labor Department this morning — “far surpassing economists’ forecasts, and unemployment remained near a half-century low at 3.7 percent,” our colleagues Victoria Guida and Zachary Warmbrodt write. “What’s more, growth in the labor market was also revised up for November and December.”

Whether Biden — and other Democrats on the ballot — can actually sell the news to voters will be another challenge entirely, as evidenced by new polling on the issue.

CNN’s Ariel Edwards-Levy writes: “The public’s long-held pessimism about the economy shows signs of easing since last year, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. But even with the uptick, many Americans’ views of the economy – and the nation as a whole – remain bleak.

“Only 35% of Americans say that things in the country today are going well, but that’s an improvement from the 28% who felt positively about the state of affairs last fall. And while just 26% of Americans say they feel the economy is starting to recover from the problems it faced in the past few years, that’s also up from 20% last summer and 17% in December 2022.”

Council of Economic Advisers Chair JARED BERNSTEIN is bullish that Biden can change voters’ minds: “If we keep our heads down, we implement his agenda,” then a strong job market where people’s wages outpace prices “will start to show up and how people feel about the economy” will improve, he told reporters following the release of today’s report.

On the downside: While today’s news is a welcome sign for Biden, it also “probably shuts the door on an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month, which many Wall Street investors and Democrats have been pressing for as inflation eases,” Victoria and Zachary note.

HOLLYWOOD JOE — “Joe Biden To Meet With Black Entertainment Industry Leaders During Los Angeles Visit This Weekend; Campaign To Run Ad On Grammy Show,” by Deadline’s Ted Johnson: “During the campaign visit, the president plans to talk with the industry leaders about the issues at stake in the election and how they can use their platforms to mobilize voters between now and the November election, according to the source.”

Happy Friday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL did not see his shadow this morning in Pennsylvania, so that means we’re in for an early spring. Drop me a line with your best springtime recommendations: gross@politico.com.

 

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8 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW

Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis speaks during a news conference.

Fulton County DA Fani Willis has been subpoenaed by House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan (R-Ohio). | Joe Raedle/Getty Images

1. WHAT WILLIS IS TALKING ABOUT: Fani Willis, the DA in Fulton County, Georgia, handling the prosecution of Trump in the racketeering case, was subpoenaed by House Judiciary Chair JIM JORDAN, “demanding documents from her office following allegations that Willis fired a whistleblower who tried to stop a top campaign aide from misusing federal funds,” NBC’s Katherine Doyle reports. “The subpoena, obtained by NBC News, is part of a broader probe by Jordan, R-Ohio, and House Republicans into whether Willis used federal funds in conducting her more-than-two-year investigation.”

Related read: “Trump ally emerged from shadows to deal blow to Ga. case against former president,” by WaPo’s Jon Swaine, Shawn Boburg and Josh Dawsey: “MIKE ROMAN is in the spotlight after his bombshell allegations of an improper relationship between Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis and a lawyer she hired to help prosecute the former president”

2. THE WAITING GAME: “Wait for U.S. retaliatory strikes gives Iran-linked militias plenty of time to prepare,” by NBC’s Keir Simmons, Mo Abbas and Khalid Razak in Erbil, Iraq: “As the hours go by without U.S. action, Iran and its allies have been able to prepare, and a senior Iraqi official said Wednesday that Iran-backed militia groups were readying for the expected American strikes.”

3. THE TRIAL TIMELINE: The verdict for Trump’s civil fraud trial in Manhattan brought by New York AG TISH JAMES could be coming sooner than later, according to new guidance from the court. A spokesperson for the Office of Court Administration said that the verdict could be expected in “early to mid-February, as a rough estimate, and subject to modifications,” per CNN’s Lauren del Valle and Devan Cole. “Judge ARTHUR ENGORON is poised to issue a written ruling on fraud claims against Trump and his co-defendants, which includes his adult sons and his company. The attorney general has said Trump and his company should pay $370 million in disgorgement for their ill-gotten gains.”

 

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4. WAR REPORT: A new AP-NORC poll finds that about half of U.S. adults think Israel’s war in Gaza has “gone too far,” a finding “driven mainly by growing disapproval among Republicans and political independents,” AP’s Ellen Knickmeyer and Linley Sanders write. “Broadly, the poll shows support for Israel and the Biden administration’s handling of the situation ebbing slightly further across the board. The poll shows 31% of U.S. adults approve of Biden’s handling of the conflict, including just 46% of Democrats. That’s as an earlier spike in support for Israel following the Hamas attacks Oct. 7 sags.”

5. PAST LIVES: BERNIE MORENO, a businessman who is one of three Republicans running for Senate in Ohio, has come to embrace Trump as he aims to unseat Sen. SHERROD BROWN (D-Ohio) this November. But he once wasn’t so fond of the former president. Back in 2016, Moreno said there was “no scenario” where he would support Trump, labeling him a “fake Republican” who stokes “hatred and fear,” CNN’s Andrew Kaczynski and Em Steck report, citing now-deleted tweets and previously unreported audio clips from interviews.

The response: “Moreno’s spokesman told CNN, ‘It’s no secret that Bernie, like many others, was initially skeptical of President Trump, but he has never been so happy to be proven wrong about something.’ … In response to a request by CNN for evidence of his support for Trump in 2020, Moreno’s campaign provided a picture of the back of a man’s head they purported to show Moreno attending a speech in October 2020 by then-Trump campaign surrogate RICHARD GRENELL at a Trump Victory Committee event in Cleveland.”

6. KNOWING KATIE PORTER: “How Katie Porter harnesses her blunt style and single-mom experience in her Senate campaign,” by LA Times’ Benjamin Oreskes: “Porter’s three terms as an outspoken Democratic member of Congress holding down a competitive Orange County district have been defined by her blunt demeanor, professorial intellect and sometimes polarizing behavior. Those traits tend to stir things up inside both the U.S. Capitol and her four-bedroom home in Irvine, which she shares with a college student who helps take care of the children while Porter is away. Her decision to run for the U.S. Senate has put all of it on full display.”

 

STEP INSIDE THE GOLDEN STATE POLITICAL ARENA: POLITICO’s California Playbook newsletter provides a front row seat to the most important political news percolating in the state’s power centers, from Sacramento and Los Angeles to Silicon Valley. Authors Lara Korte and Dustin Gardiner deliver exclusive news, buzzy scoops and behind-the-scenes details that you simply will not get anywhere else. Subscribe today and stay ahead of the game!

 
 

7. SCOTUS WATCH: “How lawyers in the Trump ballot case are training for the Supreme Court arguments,” by CNN’s Joan Biskupic: “Lawyer JASON MURRAY, taking the lead next week in the Supreme Court battle to keep Donald Trump off presidential ballots, has never argued before the justices. JONATHAN MITCHELL, representing Trump, is a well-known conservative advocate with some experience at the court – yet none in a case close to this magnitude. As of Friday, both men will move their operations to Washington and tap into a sophisticated network of lawyers who’ve stood many times in the well of the courtroom and are positioned to channel the justices.”

8. DANCE OF THE SUPERPOWERS: “China and the U.S. Are Talking, but Their Détente Has Limits,” by NYT’s David Pierson and Olivia Wang: “Even as the world’s two superpowers are working to manage frictions, the diplomacy has also exposed the chasm at the heart of the tensions: how to define the relationship. The Biden administration has maintained that the countries are strategic competitors, and that the meetings are crucial to ensuring that the rivalry does not veer into conflict. Chinese officials, however, reject that framing, seeing competition as code for containment.”

Related read: “Air Force preps for mega overhaul with an eye toward China,” by Paul McLeary and Lee Hudson

 

CONGRESS OVERDRIVE: Since day one, POLITICO has been laser-focused on Capitol Hill, serving up the juiciest Congress coverage. Now, we’re upping our game to ensure you’re up to speed and in the know on every tasty morsel and newsy nugget from inside the Capitol Dome, around the clock. Wake up, read Playbook AM, get up to speed at midday with our Playbook PM halftime report, and fuel your nightly conversations with Inside Congress in the evening. Plus, never miss a beat with buzzy, real-time updates throughout the day via our Inside Congress Live feature. Learn more and subscribe here.

 
 
PLAYBOOKERS

Roberta Kaplan says Donald Trump threw a fit over his team offering her lunch at Mar-a-Lago.

Donald Trump doesn’t want Jerome Powell to stick around if he is reelected.

Gabe Kaminsky is not, in fact, the top football recruit you’re looking for.

POLITICO NEWS — Alexandra Manzano is now managing editor for Washington initiatives and newsroom development at POLITICO. She previously was managing editor for content strategy and platforms. Read the announcement

OUT AND ABOUT — The Beer Institute and the National Barley Growers Association hosted their annual Barley, Brews & Boots reception in Rayburn Cafeteria on Wednesday evening to celebrate barley growers’ role in the brewing process. SPOTTED: Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), Reps. Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.), Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) and Doug LaMalfa (R-Calif.), Susan Haney, Annie Lange, Bill Young, Andrew Heritage, Jeff Guittard, Jordan Zuccarelli, Tom Hance, Dale Thorenson, Blair Elias, Alec French, Carl Thorsen, Ben Staub, Richard Crawford, Edgar Guillaumin and Liz Lopez.

— SPOTTED last night at Allegory celebrating Niki Christoff’s “Tech’ed Up” podcast: Eric Schultz, Julian Ha, Paige Soya, Penny Lee, Adam Kovacevich, Molly Ball, Niloofar Razi Howe, Malcom Glenn, Dorothy Chou, David and Ann Castagnetti, Courtney Robinson, Susan Hendrick and Lauren Belive.

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California Today: In California, the number of monarch butterflies has dropped by 30 percent

The orange and black insects were classified as endangered in 2022.
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California Today

February 2, 2024

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By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Friday. The number of monarch butterflies in California fell by 30 percent. Plus, the state agrees to use $2 billion in pandemic recovery funds to help students hurt by remote learning.

A monarch butterfly perches on a purple plant.
Monarchs are in serious decline and were classified as endangered in 2022. Karsten Moran for The New York Times

Every fall, monarch butterflies from west of the Rocky Mountains start arriving in California to wait out the winter.

The orange and black insects are closely monitored, because the number of western monarchs that come to California each year has dropped precipitously since the 1980s, when it was common to see millions annually.

This past winter, scientists and volunteers went to more than 250 overwintering sites in the state and counted around 233,000 butterflies, a 30 percent drop from the previous winter, according to a report released this week by the Xerces Society for Invertebrate Conservation.

The decline was probably caused by the severe storms that hit California in the winter of 2022, which may have been too intense for the insects to survive, according to Isis Howard, who coordinates the count for the Xerces Society. That caused the breeding season last year to begin with fewer butterflies, reducing the population that would return in the fall.

Monarchs were classified as endangered in 2022. A particularly steep downturn began in the winter of 2018, when about 30,000 monarch butterflies wintered in California, according to Emma Pelton, a monarch conservation biologist with the Xerces Society. Two years later, only 2,000 were counted across the state, and some of the groves that usually attract the most monarchs were devoid of them.

"In 2020, the bottom fell out," Pelton told me. The moment prompted many "existential conversations in the monarch world" about whether the species would ever recover, she said. But in a "somewhat miraculous" turnaround, she added, the monarch population bounced back to around 200,000 in 2021, a figure similar to this week's count.

There's a lot we don't understand about monarchs, so it's difficult to say with certainty why their numbers have fluctuated so drastically. But environmental factors like changes in temperature and precipitation probably play a role. Experts generally believe that pesticide use, drought, climate change and habitat loss, from deforestation and other causes, have all contributed to a long-term decline of the species.

If you want to help monarchs thrive, you can plant native flowering plants in your garden, including milkweed, the only plant that monarch caterpillars eat. Make sure that the plants you buy from nurseries are pesticide-free, and limit your own pesticide use if you can.

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Laptops intended to help students with remote learning were distributed to families in Pomona in 2020. Ringo Chiu via AP

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California has agreed to use at least $2 billion meant for pandemic recovery to help students hurt by remote learning.

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The National Weather Service issued a flash flood warning for part of Los Angeles County, near beaches and ports. Carlin Stiehl/Reuters

The rest of the news

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Southern California

Northern California

  • The only Denny's restaurant in Oakland has closed, The San Francisco Chronicle reports. The company cited "the safety and well-being of Denny's team members and valued guests" as the reason for the closure; it is the latest of several businesses in the immediate area that have closed because of concerns about rising crime.

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If you live in the Bay Area, chances are you cross a lot of bridges. Which one is your favorite, and why?

Tell us at CAtoday@nytimes.com. Please include your name and the city in which you live.

And before you go, some good news

An officer in the Sunnyvale Department of Public Safety has earned a reputation for solving some of the region's toughest and longest-running cold cases.

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The detective, Matt Hutchison, 38, has solved eight cases in the seven years since he joined Sunnyvale's robbery and homicide team. Hutchinson's unorthodox methods, especially in the face of sparse evidence, have helped him crack some of the department's biggest cases, including the killing of Karen Stitt, a Palo Alto High School student who was murdered in 1982, which baffled more than 20 department detectives over the years.

Even more remarkable: Hutchinson has solved all those cases in his spare time, when not occupied with his regular duties.

Scott Ostler, a reporter at The San Francisco Chronicle, took a look at Hutchinson's impressive record in a recent profile. "It's this magic stuff that he does," Rob Baker, the deputy district attorney for Santa Clara County, told Ostler. "He has solved more cold cases in three years than any single detective in the last 15."

Thanks for reading. I'll be back on Monday. Enjoy your weekend. — Soumya

P.S. Here's today's Mini Crossword.

Maia Coleman and Briana Scalia contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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