McCarthy wants a debt limit deal by the weekend

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May 15, 2023 View in browser
 
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By Eli Okun

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House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, of Calif., speaks with reporters at the National Law Enforcement Officers Memorial, in Washington, Thursday, May 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)

"Seems more like they want a default than a deal to me," Speaker Kevin McCarthy said of Democrats. | Cliff Owen/AP Photo

DEFAULT IN OUR STARS — As he descended the stairs from Air Force One this morning, President JOE BIDEN offered reporters a simple “no” when asked if there were any updates on negotiations to avoid catastrophic default.

But at the Capitol, Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY had some updates to provide — and they were considerably more downbeat about the prospects for a deal than Biden sounded over the weekend.

“I still think we’re far apart,” McCarthy warned when asked by NBC’s Ali Vitali. “It doesn’t seem to me yet that they want a deal. It just seems that they want to look like they’re in a meeting, but they’re not talking anything serious. … Seems more like they want a default than a deal to me.”

McCarthy also indicated that time is running out: Congress might need a deal reached by this weekend, he said, to be able to pass it in time to beat the “X date.” Compounding the schedule crunch is the fact that Biden is slated to fly to Japan for the G-7 on Wednesday. Watch the full clip

Another piece of ammunition for Republicans: House Appropriations is set to approve its Military Construction-VA spending bill this week, Jennifer Scholtes and Caitlin Emma report in Congress Minutes. They’re expected to increase spending, which could help the GOP rebut White House claims that Republican spending cuts would hurt veterans. “GOP leaders can claim they support funding increases for veterans programs, along with pushing a drastic decrease in overall spending — without actually detailing the cuts (which is, of course, the actually difficult part).”

But don’t expect the public to pressure Washington on the debt ceiling — at least not yet. Even as default looms nearer, most Americans haven’t paid much attention to the debate or gotten particularly worried about the worst-case scenarios, NBC’s Alex Seitz-Wald and Peter Nicholas report. Voters seem fairly sanguine about political leaders’ ability to strike a deal in the end — even though, paradoxically, less pressure might make a deal less likely.

GREAT SCOTT — Sen. TIM SCOTT (R-S.C.) is expected to launch his presidential campaign next week, and he’s already assembling some high-profile names for his team, Natalie Allison scoops. Former Tennessee Gov. BILL HASLAM will be national co-chair, giving Scott backing from a party establishment figure who’s also a well-connected billionaire. Scott is adding MICHAEL “MIKEE” JOHNSON (notably also a longtime ally of NIKKI HALEY) as national finance co-chair and ZAC MOFFATT in a top campaign role.

TWO BIG SCOTUS CASES — “Supreme Court agrees to take up South Carolina racial gerrymandering case,” by CNN’s Ariane de Vogue: “The Supreme Court agreed on Monday to consider a lower court decision that struck down a congressional district in South Carolina as an illegal racial gerrymander. … A lawyer for South Carolina Republicans asked the Supreme Court to take up the case and argued that the Republican-led legislature took politics into consideration when drawing the map and that the use of race did not predominate in its decision-making process.” (This case primarily concerns GOP Rep. NANCY MACE’s seat.)

“Supreme Court wades into Trump hotel records fight,” by Josh Gerstein and Kyle Cheney: “The Supreme Court has agreed to take up a case that could empower members of the House and Senate minority to compel the executive branch to cough up information to congressional investigators.”

Good Monday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com.

 

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2024 WATCH

IOWA RUMBLES — Influential Hawkeye State evangelical leader BOB VANDER PLAATS sounded a warning this morning over DONALD TRUMP’s criticism of the 6-week abortion ban signed by Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS. “No, Mr. former President, many in the #ProLife community do not believe saving babies is too harsh,” Vander Plaats tweeted. “Joining @RonDeSantisFL is #Iowa @IAGovernor Kim Reynolds in leading on life. The #IowaCaucus door just flung wide open.”

BACK ON THE TRAIL — MIKE PENCE is returning to Iowa next month to participate in Sen. JONI ERNST’s (R-Iowa) motorcycle benefit ride, Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser scoops. Ernst has given invites to all the declared or would-be presidential contenders, and Haley is also taking part.

VIVEK LA RÉVOLUTION — The Atlantic’s Elaine Godfrey reports from VIVEK RAMASWAMY’s Iowa swing this weekend, and finds that “the voters there may once have liked or even loved Trump, but honestly, they’re a little tired of his negativity.” Meanwhile, Ramaswamy is developing a public persona that’s “a bit like the GOP version of ANDREW YANG: a get-up-and-go business bro who does something vague in the new economy, and who seemed to wake up one day and ask himself, Why not run for president?

MORE POLITICS

SEEKING JUSTICE — The DSCC is planning to sue to get their hands on West Virginia Gov. JIM JUSTICE’s official calendar and schedule after his office denied their request for the materials, NBC’s Bridget Bowman scoops.

BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE — The nascent Democratic field to take on Rep. GEORGE SANTOS (R-N.Y.) is growing: ZAK MALAMED announced his campaign today, Semafor’s Kadia Goba reports. The Great Neck 29-year-old is a co-founder of the Next 50 donor network, which supports young Dems.

PRIMARY COLORS — Baltimore County, Md., Executive JOHNNY OLSZWESKI JR., who’d been seen as a potential Senate contender, announced today that he won’t mount a campaign, The Baltimore Sun’s Lia Russell reports. Instead Olszewski backed Prince George’s County Executive ANGELA ALSOBROOKS.

HOW THE PENINSULA WAS WON — In the first of a five-part series, The Hill’s Max Greenwood dives deep into Florida’s swing to the right. The transformation took place as the result of “a perfect storm of demographic changes, Republican power plays, pandemic politics and Democratic missteps.” Now the nerve center in many ways of American conservatism, the state looks increasingly out of reach for a Democratic Party that just a few years ago was inches from victory.

 

DON’T MISS POLITICO’S HEALTH CARE SUMMIT: The Covid-19 pandemic helped spur innovation in health care, from the wide adoption of telemedicine, health apps and online pharmacies to mRNA vaccines. But what will the next health care innovations look like? Join POLITICO on Wednesday June 7 for our Health Care Summit to explore how tech and innovation are transforming care and the challenges ahead for access and delivery in the United States. REGISTER NOW.

 
 

CONGRESS

HEADS UP — There will be an all-senators classified briefing on Iran tomorrow, per Punchbowl’s Andrew Desiderio.

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

IT’S ELECTION DAY TOMORROW — Two special elections will determine control of the narrowly divided Pennsylvania state House, with one seat in the Philadelphia suburbs in particular seen as the deciding race. And today Biden endorsed the Democrat, HEATHER BOYD. The district has gotten bluer, but clearly Dems don’t want to chance it. More from the Philly Inquirer

TITLE 42 FALLOUT — “Judge mulls contempt for Biden administration over immigration policy,” by Josh Gerstein: “A federal judge in Florida said Monday that the Biden administration’s reported release of about 2,500 migrants into the U.S. on Friday at the southern border may have violated a temporary restraining order he issued.”

DEMOCRACY WATCH — WaPo’s Matthew Brown reports on a new Voting Rights Lab analysis that tallies state legislatures’ recent changes to election laws. The majority of bills introduced in the past three years sought to expand access to voting or strengthen election administration, but a growing proportion seek to restrict voting. “It’s increasingly the case that your Zip code determines your level of access to our democracy,” warns lead author LIZ AVORE.

“GOP state lawmakers try to restrict ballot initiatives, partly to thwart abortion protections,” by AP’s Julie Carr Smyth in Columbus, Ohio: “The trend has taken off as Democrats and left-leaning groups frustrated by legislative gerrymandering that locks them out of power in state legislatures are increasingly turning to the initiative process to force public votes on issues that are opposed by Republican lawmakers yet popular among voters.”

DOWN TO THE WIRE — North Carolina Republicans may vote as early as this week to override Democratic Go. ROY COOPER’s veto and impose a 12-week abortion ban — but opponents are mounting a pressure campaign to peel off just one vote, NYT’s Kate Kelly previews. The GOP just barely secured a supermajority to override any veto, but they’ll have to remain completely unified to push the bill through. So far, there’s no sign of anyone flipping.

WHAT ONE-PARTY RULE LOOKS LIKE — “Inside the Tennessee legislature, where a GOP supermajority reigns,” by WaPo’s Kevin Sullivan in Nashville: “In the Republican-dominated state House, ’culture war’ battles rage while demands for new gun restrictions are ignored following a deadly school shooting.”

 

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AMERICA AND THE WORLD

ANNALS OF DIPLOMACY — Biden has a high-profile decision to make in selecting the next U.S. ambassador to Israel — and one administration official tells Haaretz’s Ben Samuels that they’re already worried about a congressional “shitshow” over Israel policy at a confirmation hearing. Among the names being floated are ROBERT WEXLER, SUSIE GELMAN and AMOS HOCHSTEIN.

Meanwhile, Secretary of State ANTONY BLINKEN is weighing an appointment of former U.S. Ambassador to Israel DAN SHAPIRO to a new State Department position taking the lead on the Abraham Accords, Axios’ Barak Ravid reports.

THE WORLD’S BIGGEST DEMOCRACIES — The next month of global meetings will shine a spotlight on the relationship between Biden and Indian PM NARENDRA MODI, as the leaders try to strengthen their connection despite U.S. concerns about Modi’s leadership, AP’s Josh Boak reports. India has been unwilling to support Ukraine as much as the U.S. would like, and Modi’s actions have raised concerns about the health of Indian democracy. “That means the future of the alliance depends on a degree of patience.”

WAR IN UKRAINE

THE SANCTIONS SHUFFLE — The U.S. and Ukraine’s other Western allies have tried hard to impose technological controls on Russia. But NYT’s Ana Swanson and Niraj Chokshi dig up records that show sanctioned Russian airlines have continued to receive thousands of shipments of parts. That includes $14.4 million worth of U.S.-made airplane parts over eight months, as “illicit networks … have sprung up to try to bypass the restrictions by shuffling goods through a series of straw buyers, often in the Middle East and Asia.”

POLICY CORNER

LAY OF THE LAND — A new White House proposal would allow conservationists to lease federal land for restoration in a similar way as ranchers and oil companies, AP’s Matthew Brown scoops: “While the bureau previously issued leases for conservation in limited cases, it has never had a dedicated program for it.”

 

GET READY FOR GLOBAL TECH DAY: Join POLITICO Live as we launch our first Global Tech Day alongside London Tech Week on Thursday, June 15. Register now for continuing updates and to be a part of this momentous and program-packed day! From the blockchain, to AI, and autonomous vehicles, technology is changing how power is exercised around the world, so who will write the rules? REGISTER HERE.

 
 

THE WHITE HOUSE

IT’S OFFICIAL — Biden announced that he’ll nominate National Cancer Institute director MONICA BERTAGNOLLI to be the next NIH director. Erin Schumaker reports on the difficult two-part challenge awaiting Bertagnolli: (1) getting past Republican senators who have grown antagonistic toward NIH, and (2) “restoring faith in science” in the country writ large.

JUDICIARY SQUARE

WILD HISTORY LESSON — “16 Crucial Words That Went Missing From a Landmark Civil Rights Law,” by NYT’s Adam Liptak: “The phrase, seemingly deleted in error, undermines the basis for qualified immunity, the legal shield that protects police officers from suits for misconduct.”

PLAYBOOKERS

TRANSITIONS — UL Standards & Engagement has added David Martin as director of government engagement, Sarah Shields as director of events and outreach and Catie Talenti as manager of media relations and strategic positioning.

ENGAGED — Will Layden, VP of government affairs at the American Wood Council and a Bruce Westerman alum, proposed to Crosby Armstrong, director of comms and public affairs at the Entertainment Software Association, on Friday in front of Haystack Rock in Cannon Beach, Ore., where they had one of their first dates. They met through mutual friends.PicAnother pic

— Sean Lerner, legislative director for Rep. Victoria Spartz (R-Ind.), and Daniele Polatnick, a registered nurse at Johns Hopkins University Health, got engaged Saturday in Georgetown. They met at the Ronald Reagan-themed Ropewalk Tavern in Baltimore in 2021. Pic

— Mary Collins Atkinson, comms director for Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-Iowa), and Jason Howell, who works with an investment banking firm, got engaged on the Hill on Saturday. They met in 2015 at sailing camp in North Carolina.

BONUS BIRTHDAY: Nora Kohli of the House Intelligence Dems

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California Today: The new migrant camp at California’s southern border

A sprawling and stunningly diverse camp has sprung up this month along California's southern border.
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By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Monday. I visited a sprawling and stunningly diverse migrant camp that has sprung up at California's southern border. Plus, a close-up look at the homelessness crisis in San Diego.

A migrant camp in between the border walls that separate San Diego from Tijuana, Mexico.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

SAN DIEGO — At California's southern border, two parallel, towering fences stretch for miles, their reddish steel beams cutting through rugged hillsides thick with tall stocks of yellow wildflowers and marking where Mexico ends and the United States begins.

Around 10 days ago, as the end of a pandemic-era expulsion policy known as Title 42 approached, a migrant camp sprung up between the two border walls, with hundreds of people hoping to be allowed into the United States. I traveled to San Diego and Tijuana last week to report on the sprawling and diverse camp, its existence speaking of America's shifting immigration policies as well as the desperation of migrants from across the world who are searching for better opportunities.

"There's no other choice," said Azamat Alin, 41, who spent at least $10,000 on a long journey from Kazakhstan to Brazil, and then through Central America to Mexico.

Azamat Alin, left, traveled from Kazakhstan to Tijuana in the hopes of entering the United States.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

Alin had set out seeking financial opportunity and political freedom in the United States. He hadn't expected to spend several nights in a migrant camp without shelter or sanitation. When I spoke to him through the metal bars of the border wall, he was wearing a plastic bag on his head to keep warm and had just spent his last few dollars on a box of Little Caesars pizza that a Tijuana food delivery driver sold him through the wall.

But he still would have made the journey, he said, had he known that the conditions would be this grim.

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"Everyone is looking at the arrivals at the border, but the root of the problem lies in push factors inside countries of origin that are going to persist," Justin Gest, a political scientist at George Mason University who studies immigration, told my colleague Miriam Jordan. "When crises occur, they generate northbound flows."

A food delivery worker passed out pizza to migrants on the other side of the border wall.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

At the border between San Diego and Tijuana, roughly 1,000 people jumped the first barrier separating the cities last week and then remained stuck behind another wall, as they awaited processing by U.S. officials. The area between the two border walls is technically on U.S. soil but is considered a sort of neutral zone. A Colombian man in the camp told me that he had paid $1,500 to smugglers who sawed a hole in the fence on the Mexico side for him, his partner and his toddler to climb through.

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Reporters aren't able to enter the camp, but we crowded on the San Diego side to speak to migrants through the wall. I saw hundreds of families there, huddled together for warmth under Mylar blankets, sharing protein bars and bottled water. Some had fashioned tents out of tarps and black plastic garbage bags.

A Colombian mother combed her daughter's hair inside the migrant camp.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

A mother brushed her daughter's long brown hair. A father chased his giggling toddler through the trash-strewn patch of dirt.

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I had never observed such a diverse group of people in one place, with migrants from Angola, Russia, Guinea, Venezuela, Turkey, Pakistan and dozens of other countries. They wore styles and clothing from all over the world: straw sun hats, hijabs, tank tops, ponchos and kofias.

The meager supply of food and water birthed new businesses — delivery drivers on the Mexico side sold fried chicken, loaves of bread and bottles of Coke through the wall — as well as a striking system of order within the camp.

Customs and Border Protection officers handing out water bottles to migrants.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

As aid workers distributed toilet paper, bags of clementines, water bottles and packages of toothbrushes, migrants from various regions designated leaders to receive and distribute the supplies for their groups.

The Africans in the camp — from Ghana, Somalia, Kenya, Guinea, Nigeria — selected a tall Somali man, who communicated with aid groups about the number of sanitary pads and blankets they needed that day. The Colombians had their own leader; so did the Afghans, the Turkish and the Haitians.

The system emerged organically as migrants sought to ease tensions among groups fighting over limited resources, according to Adriana Jasso, a volunteer with American Friends Service Committee.

"People are cold, hungry, desperate, destitute, nervous," she told me. "It's a dire situation, to say the least."

For more:

Erin Schaff for The New York Times

If you read one story, make it this

In San Diego County, where the homeless death toll has increased by nearly 10 times in the last decade, one man fights to stay alive.

Enjoy all of The New York Times in one subscription — the original reporting and analysis, plus puzzles from Games, recipes from Cooking, product reviews from Wirecutter and sports journalism from The Athletic. Experience it all with a New York Times All Access subscription.

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The rest of the news

  • Motherhood after 40: Raising children in your 40s can be wrenching, rewarding and sublime, but it also comes with unique triumphs and challenges. The New York Times recently asked mothers who had children after 40 to share their experiences. Read their stories.
  • Gloria Molina: The transformative Latina leader with many firsts to her credit, including the first Hispanic woman elected to the State Assembly, has died at 74, The Los Angeles Times reports.
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Sunset at the Hayward Regional Shoreline park in Heyward.Jim Wilson/The New York Times

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Jennifer Russell:

"Living in the Bay Area means access to our wonderful East Bay Regional Parks. They are particularly awesome in spring with wildflowers, newts, luscious green hills, trails for every skill level, soaring birds, expansive views, rushing creeks and so much more. My favorites are Briones, Tilden and Castle Rock."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Daniel Dorsa for The New York Times

And before you go, some good news

The City Nature Challenge is an annual contest that calls on people worldwide to take and submit photos of plants, animals and insects in their backyards and neighborhoods.

Originally started in 2016 by the California Academy of Sciences in San Francisco and the Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County, the contest is intended to help people connect with nature while also documenting and celebrating biodiversity.

In the 2023 City Nature Challenge, which was held in late April, more than 66,000 people around the world captured over 1.87 million observations — more observations than ever before.

The most observed species worldwide was the Mallard duck. In Los Angeles County, it was the Western fence lizard, followed by the western honey bee. In the Bay Area, it was the California poppy.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

Briana Scalia and Allison Honors contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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