Biden and Scholz make the tanks official

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Jan 25, 2023 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Eli Okun

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SHUTDOWN SHOWDOWN — Sen. JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.) told reporters that he met with Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY today, and McCarthy agreed that he doesn't want to cut Social Security and Medicare.

THAT'S THE TICKET — Rep. MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE (R-Ga.) wants to be DONALD TRUMP's vice presidential running mate next year, NBC's Jonathan Allen scoops. STEVE BANNON and another source say Greene is ambitious about making the ticket — and that's "at the heart of Greene's recent efforts to rebrand herself as a politician who can stand astride the divide between the party's hard-liners and its establishment wing." It partially makes clear, for instance, why she's become a staunch McCarthy supporter and joined the House Committee on Oversight and Homeland Security.

Speaking of Trump … "OMG. Trump Has Started Texting," by NYT's Jonathan Swan and Maggie Haberman: "Still unclear is Mr. Trump's position on emojis."

President Joe Biden speaks and formally launches the global infrastructure partnership, on the margins of the G7 Summit in Elmau, Germany, Sunday, June 26, 2022, as German Chancellor Olaf Scholz listens at left. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)

President Joe Biden and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz both announced major new tank deliveries to Ukraine. | Susan Walsh/AP Photo

MANY TANKS — It's official: The U.S. is sending 31 Abrams tanks to Ukraine, President JOE BIDEN announced today, the equivalent of one Ukrainian battalion. Though it will take time to get the tanks to the battlefield, Biden said the U.S. will also provide parts, equipment and training for Ukrainian forces to maintain them. Original scoop from Bloomberg this morning

Biden's move was paired with the official news from German Chancellor OLAF SCHOLZ that Berlin will send 14 Leopard 2 A6 tanks to Ukraine to start. Eventually, Germany and other countries plan to send 88 Leopards, making up two battalions.

The breakthrough followed weeks of difficult discussions among Ukraine's Western allies, but Biden had nothing but praise at his announcement today. "Germany has really stepped up," he said.

The president also took pains to try to lower the temperature with Russia as much as possible: "That's what this is about: helping Ukraine defend and protect Ukrainian land," he said. "It is not an offensive threat to Russia. There is no offensive threat to Russia."

Biden and Scholz spoke with French President EMMANUEL MACRON, Italian PM GIORGIA MELONI and British PM RISHI SUNAK on a call this morning to coordinate Ukraine efforts, the White House said.

The news won plaudits today from Senate Minority Leader MITCH McCONNELL, who called the moves "overdue," and said European partners should get the tanks to Ukraine quickly.

Not reacting so positively: Russia lambasted Germany for the move, with officials calling it "extremely dangerous" and an abnegation of the country's "historical responsibility" to Russians for Nazis' crimes during World War II, per Reuters.

Helpful explainer: "What Makes the M1 Abrams So Critical to the Russia-Ukraine War?" by WSJ's Daniel Nasaw

Moving the Overton window: Having secured a major victory in finally getting the tanks from Western allies, Ukraine is pushing for more. Next, Kyiv will ask for fourth-generation aircraft like the F-16 fighter jets, a Ukrainian defense official said today. More from Reuters

Good Wednesday afternoon, and thanks for reading Playbook PM. Who do you think is Trump's likeliest VP pick? Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com.

 

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ALL POLITICS

MYPILLOW TALK — MyPillow CEO MIKE LINDELL is struggling to muster support in this week's RNC chair race, with many members dismissing his baseless focus on election fraud, Vice's Cameron Joseph reports. But ironically, Lindell says he would accept this election result if he loses. "This race could not be worse-designed for a fringe, bomb-throwing conspiracy theorist like Lindell whose power lies in his appeal to the hardline anti-establishment activists in the party's base, and who has few allies among the actual group that picks the RNC chair."

UP FOR DEBATE — Trump helped turn much of the Republican Party against standard presidential debates. But the RNC debate committee meeting today may want its 2024 contenders to return to primary debates hosted by mainstream news outlets — in conjunction with conservative co-moderators, Semafor's Shelby Talcott reports. The party wants its candidates to avoid softball questions and get into policy specifics. "How candidates respond is an open question."

FLORIDA MAN — The attacks from would-be presidential competitors are mounting, largely behind the scenes, against Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS, WSJ's Alex Leary and John McCormick report. Allies of potential 2024 contenders are pushing criticism of DeSantis on Disney, vaccines, abortion, his congressional record and his charisma (or lack thereof). New Hampshire Gov. CHRIS SUNUNU goes on the record to blast DeSantis' "very Democrat, left-wing type of philosophy" in weaponizing the government against Disney — though stops short of criticizing the Florida governor by name.

"Ron DeSantis' Secret Twitter Army of Far-Right Influencers," by The Daily Beast's Jake Lahut: "Ron DeSantis' political operation has been recruiting conservative influencers. But the personalities DeSantis is attracting have plenty of problems."

THROWING AWAY THEIR SHOT — Donations to the National Rifle Association's PAC are plunging, with the number of donors falling 40% from 2020 to 2022, The Trace's Will Van Sant and Champe Barton report. 5,300 members contributed to the PAC last year, as of Nov. 28. The number of total donations also fell 40% to 9,600 (people can donate multiple times). There were particularly big drops in Southern California and Houston.

JUDICIARY SQUARE

THE NEXT ABORTION FRONTIER — Mifepristone manufacturer GenBioPro sued today to challenge West Virginia's ban on abortion pills, kicking off "what is expected to be a wave of cases arguing that the federal Food and Drug Administration's approval of the pill takes precedence over such restrictive state laws," NYT's Pam Belluck reports. The federal lawsuit argues that the West Virginia law is unconstitutional. At the same time, a gynecologist is suing today over North Carolina's mifepristone regulations. Along with other recent cases (in various ideological directions), they highlight how the abortion fight is often moving to a focus on pills. And it'll be a legal battle for supremacy between federal policies and state laws.

THE TRUMP INVESTIGATIONS — "The Obscure New York Law That Could Dismantle Trump's Empire," by The Daily Beast's Jose Pagliery

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

CONGRESS

NIGHT OF THE HUNTER — House Oversight Republicans today reupped their questions to HUNTER BIDEN's art dealer, GEORGES BERGÈS, about sales of the president's son's paintings, WSJ's Natalie Andrews and Ryan Barber scooped. They want a response from Bergès and an interview by next month. "[N]ow that they have the majority, their latest demand could carry more weight and presage a congressional subpoena that would ratchet up the pressure on the New York City gallery owner to cooperate with the inquiry."

MARK YOUR CALENDARS — The House Judiciary Committee will hold its first hearing on the "Biden border crisis" on Feb. 1, Chair JIM JORDAN (R-Ohio) announced.

ON THE ROSTER — House Democrats named their slates of members for the so-called A committees, along with the group headed to the powerful House Rules Committee: Reps. TERESA LEGER FERNÁNDEZ (D-N.M.), JOE NEGUSE (D-Colo.) and MARY GAY SCANLON (D-Pa.) will join ranking member JIM McGOVERN (D-Mass.). More in Congress Minutes

THE TALENTED MR. SANTOS — "'I felt like we were in "Goodfellas''': How George Santos wooed investors for alleged Ponzi scheme," by WaPo's Jonathan O'Connell, Isaac Stanley-Becker, Emma Brown and Samuel Oakford: "Collectively, the accounts gathered by The Post offer a detailed picture of [Rep. GEORGE] SANTOS's efforts to recruit investors for Harbor City. In two instances, he inflated his own academic or professional credentials, The Post found. In addition, Zoom recordings of workplace meetings show Santos offering anecdotes about his purported interactions with wealthy people — stories disputed by those involved — for potential inclusion in marketing materials or to impress prospective clients."

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

MIND THE GAPS — "Lapses persist for Capitol Hill panic buttons two years after insurrection," by the Boston Globe's Jess Bidgood and Lissandra Villa de Petrzelka: "Overall, at least 13 offices were missing one or more of their duress alarms in the opening weeks of the 118th Congress, the Globe found … [T]he weeks-long delays represent a substantial gap in coverage at a moment when the political environment is so heated it has often tipped into violence, with lawmakers facing a historic barrage of threats. And it suggests that promised improvements to an opaque and disjointed system have not been sufficient even after its lapses drew intense scrutiny because of the insurrection."

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

GITMO LATEST — As prosecutors put forth the prospect of a plea deal to avoid the death penalty for five Guantánamo Bay defendants, the White House is keeping its distance from the case, NYT's Charlie Savage and Carol Rosenberg report. Administration officials "are said to be uncertain they have the right to decide on a course of action with such major implications," having pondered the question for more than a year in a case that has dragged out for more than a decade. Pentagon general counsel CAROLINE KRASS is leading discussions with REBECCA INGBER, MATTHEW OLSEN and others.

FROM 30,000 FEET — "Climate Change May Usher in a New Era of Trade Wars," by NYT's Ana Swanson … To wit: EU competition chief MARGRETHE VESTAGER today said the Inflation Reduction Act was "toxic," per the WSJ.

 

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POLICY CORNER

OBAMACARE HOLDING STRONG — 16.3 million people signed up for Affordable Care Act health insurance plans in this year's open enrollment, the highest number ever, the Biden administration said today. Biden attributed the increase partly to enhanced tax credits and subsidies in the Inflation Reduction Act. More from Bloomberg Law

THE RENT IS TOO DAMN HIGH — The Biden administration today rolled out new steps to help renters with high costs and added protections. WaPo's Rachel Siegel goes deep on the months of deliberation and rounds of furious advocacy that preceded the announcement — and the White House's ultimate conclusion that much of the issue would end up in state and local governments' hands. They put out a "Blueprint for a Renters Bill of Rights" and launched a "Resident-Centered Housing Challenge" to urge housing providers and governments to improve their policies. Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, the National Apartment Association and Realtor.com have already committed to some changes, as have several federal agencies.

BLOWIN' IN THE WIND — "Dead whales and tough economics bedevil Biden's massive wind energy push," by WaPo's Evan Halper, Timothy Puko and Dino Grandoni: Several recent whale deaths "the latest in a string of threats to a fledgling offshore wind industry that climate advocates say is central to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Surging costs from inflation and labor shortages have developers saying their projects may not be profitable. A raft of lawsuits and pending federal restrictions to protect sensitive wildlife could further add to costs. The uncertainty has clouded bright expectations for massive growth in U.S. offshore wind."

COULD BE MORE LIKE A BADYEAR — "Justice Department Probes Goodyear's Handling of Recalled Tire," by WSJ's Ryan Felton

THE WHITE HOUSE

HIT THE ROAD — Biden and VP KAMALA HARRIS will head to Philadelphia on Friday to highlight their economic agenda, the White House said.

DOCU-DRAMA — Americans overwhelmingly support the appointment of a special counsel to oversee the Biden classified documents matter, with 80% or more of Democrats, Republicans and independents saying they approve in a new CNN/SSRS poll. So far, Americans are split on how to judge Biden's behavior here: Eighteen percent say he hasn't acted unethically, 44% say he's acted unethically but not illegally, and 37% say he's broken the law. Overall, Biden's sitting at a 40% favorability rating.

FIRST LADY FILES — The Smithsonian will get two of first lady JILL BIDEN's outfits that she wore on her husband's inauguration day: an "ocean blue tweed dress and matching coat," and an "ivory silk wool dress and cashmere coat ensemble," AP's Darlene Superville reports. First ladies usually give the National Museum of American History their gowns from the inaugural ball, but Biden didn't have one due to the pandemic. Jill Biden will also donate her masks. There will be a ceremony today.

 

JOIN POLITICO ON 2/9 TO HEAR FROM AMERICA'S GOVERNORS: In a divided Congress, more legislative and policy enforcement will shift to the states, meaning governors will take a leading role in setting the agenda for the nation. Join POLITICO on Thursday, Feb. 9 at World Wide Technology's D.C. Innovation Center for The Fifty: America's Governors, where we will examine where innovations are taking shape and new regulatory red lines, the future of reproductive health, and how climate change is being addressed across a series of one-on-one interviews. REGISTER HERE.

 
 

THE ECONOMY

WHAT JEROME POWELL IS WATCHING — Small business hiring has been staying strong and propping up the labor market, complicating the Fed's efforts to reduce inflation via higher interest rates, WSJ's Dion Rabouin reports. A new analysis finds that they've been responsible for 91% of job growth in the U.S. since the pandemic.

PLAYBOOKERS

IN MEMORIAM — David Goldstein, a freelance journalist and former investigative reporter, national correspondent and editor for McClatchy, died Jan. 13 at 71. Full obituary

OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED at a special screening and reception for "As Far As They Can Run," hosted by UAE Ambassador Yousef Al Otaiba at the Motion Picture Association yesterday evening: Tim Shriver, German Ambassador Emily Haber, Jordanian Ambassador Dina Kawar, Saudi Arabian Ambassador Princess Reema bint Bandar Al Saud, U.S. Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking, Roy Blunt, Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, Charles Rivkin, DeDe Lea, Steve Clemons and Joyce Karam.

The Office of the USTR celebrated its 60th anniversary yesterday afternoon in EEOB. SPOTTED: USTR Katherine Tai, Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack, Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra, Mike Donilon, Julie Chávez Rodriguez, Neera Tanden, Evan Ryan, Rob Portman, Carla Hills, Susan Schwab, Ron Kirk, Michael Froman, Kevin Brady, Enoh Ebong and Reta Jo Lewis.

Bloomberg Government reopened last night in its new renovated space, where guests were welcomed by CEO Josh Eastright and President Arielle Elliott. Angela Greiling Keane introduced CFPB Director Rohit Chopra, who gave a look ahead for the next year, as well as BGov congressional reporters Emily Wilkins and Jack Fitzpatrick. SPOTTED: Ukrainian Ambassador Oksana Markarova, Luxembourgian Ambassador Nicole Bintner-Bakshian, Singaporean Ambassador Ashok Kumar Mirpuri, John Falcicchio, Neil Bradley, Joel Johnson, Reggie Love, Giuseppe and Francis Lanzone, Josh Dawsey, Liz Johnson, Vince Evans, Samantha Dravis and Heather Podesta.

MEDIA MOVES — Margaret Sullivan is now a columnist for the Guardian. She previously was media columnist for WaPo. … CNN has added former Rep. Mondaire Jones (D-N.Y.) and former Georgia Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan as on-air contributors.

TRANSITIONS — Katie Phillips and Jason Ortega are relaunching EDGE (Electing a Democratic Generation), a young Democratic fundraising group that disbanded in 2020. Phillips is a director at Federal Hall Policy Advisors, and Ortega is VP of public affairs at the National Wooden Pallet and Container Association.

BONUS BIRTHDAY: BakerHostetler's Kristin Shapiro (4-0), celebrating with dinner at the Inn at Little Washington

Correction: Tuesday's Playbook PM misstated Jake Rascoff's former title in Sen. Brian Schatz's (D-Hawaii) office. He was assistant legislative director and legislative assistant for energy and climate.

 

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California Today: Half of the Amazon’s crude oil ends up in the state

"One in every nine tanks of gas, diesel or jet fuel pumped in California comes from the Amazon," one researcher said.

It's Wednesday. Researchers say that half of the crude oil exported from the Amazon rainforest ends up in California. Plus, Half Moon Bay faces a shattered sense of security after a mass shooting.

An oil site near the Tiputini River in the Yasuní region of Ecuador.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

If you live in California, you may have a closer connection to oil drilling in the Amazon rainforest than you think.

In a recent article, Manuela Andreoni, Erin Schaff and I took readers to Yasuní National Park in Ecuador, one of the most biodiverse places on the planet and home to Indigenous groups that live in isolation. The Ecuadorean government, cornered by debt and the need for revenue, is drilling for oil in a parcel of rainforest there that it once sought to protect.

Much of that oil, advocates say, is shipped to California for processing. In fact, half of the crude exported from the Amazon overall goes to California, according to a report by Amazon Watch and Stand.earth, two nonprofit groups that work to protect the rainforest. They also modeled how that oil is distributed once it's refined.

"One in every nine tanks of gas, diesel or jet fuel pumped in California comes from the Amazon," said Angeline Robertson, the lead author of the report and a senior researcher at Stand.earth. "So if you take nine trips somewhere, one of those trips was Amazon oil."

Flares from an oil operation in the rainforest along the Napo River in the Yasuní region.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

Shon Hiatt, a professor at the U.S.C. Marshall School of Business who specializes in energy and was not involved with the research, told me the results were in line with what he would expect.

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The Amazon rainforest is home to vast genetic diversity, much of it unstudied, that could unlock medical cures or technological innovations. The region stashes away planet-warming carbon and influences rainfall across South America. But the Amazon is besieged by deforestation and climate change, and it is reaching a tipping point, scientists say. Some parts of the region already emit more carbon than they store.

"We know that we need a phaseout of fossil fuels all over the world, but this is really one of the last places on earth we should be looking for fossil fuels," said Kevin Koenig, director of climate, energy and extractive industry at Amazon Watch.

Most of Ecuador's oil lies beneath the rainforest, and the government insists that it can drill responsibly there, minimizing deforestation and pollution. Moreover, officials say they need the money. Oil supplies more than a third of the government's revenue, and helps make payments on the country's yawning debt.

Despite decades of oil production in the Amazon, though, Indigenous communities nearby remain poor.

Despite three decades of oil production nearby, the Waorani Indigenous community of Yarentaro lacks a sanitation system.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

Ecuador has long exported oil to California, in part because the two regions produce similar types of relatively heavy oil.

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"Ecuadorean crude looks like the California crude," said David J. Hackett, chairman of Stillwater Associates, an energy consulting firm. "The refineries were built to run that kind of stuff, and as it dried up in California, they went looking for crude supply elsewhere. And Ecuador is frankly the closest place that has a kind of a match."

Another connection is the long and often troubled history of American companies in the Ecuadorean Amazon. Chevron, for example, which has its global headquarters in San Ramon, Calif., is a major buyer of Ecuadorean oil today. The company is also involved in a tangled lawsuit over contamination in the Amazon connected to Texaco, which Chevron now owns.

California refineries process crude oil from the United States and all over the world. In 2021, 29 percent of the oil supplying the refineries came from in state, 15 percent came from Alaska, and 56 percent came from abroad. Of the imported crude, more came from Ecuador than anywhere else, with Saudi Arabia a close second.

Hackett, who has worked in the oil industry for years, said it's hard to say what California should do about Amazonian crude.

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"It's a conundrum," he told me. "If companies in California say, well, we're not going to run Ecuadorean crude, then somebody else is going to process it. It'll go someplace else."

At the same time, he said, California's oil producers could use concerns about the Amazon as leverage against Gov. Gavin Newsom's desire to scale down the state's own production.

"I think those producers might very well argue that, hey, if you buy California crude oil, you're not harming the Indigenous people or the rainforest," Hackett said.

In the community of Yarentaro, water is gathered from the nearby river.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

But some communities close to wells in California say they suffer health effects, too. And with Californians already feeling the consequences of climate change, Koenig of Amazon Watch said the state should phase out Amazonian oil while leaning further into the clean energy transition. He said many state leaders didn't even know about California's connection to Amazonian drilling.

"In Sacramento, it's just crazy," Koenig said. "When you tell lawmakers, policymakers, that this is where the oil is coming from, they have no idea."

For more:

Catrin Einhorn covers biodiversity, climate and the environment for The New York Times.

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The rest of the news

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Monterey Park shooting: All of the victims in the massacre have now been identified.
  • Rescued hiker: Rescue personnel in San Bernardino County have found a hiker who was lost on the same snow-covered mountain where the actor Julian Sands is missing, The Associated Press reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
  • Goshen shooting: In the wee hours of Jan. 16, a pair of intruders broke into a gray house in the San Joaquin Valley. Six people inside were quickly shot dead, execution-style, the latest in what the authorities say has been an alarming rise in homicides in the state's agricultural heartland.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
David Malosh for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Hadas Smirnoff.

What we're eating

Herb-marinated swordfish.

Marcio Jose Sanchez/Associated Press

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Jamie Matter, who recommends Fitzgerald Marine Reserve in San Mateo County: "If there's a good daytime low tide on the weekend and the weather is nice, you can't park within blocks of the place. Everybody knows about the tide pools."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Lee Herrick, California's 10th poet laureate.Fresno City College

And before you go, some good news

In late November, Gov. Gavin Newsom and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, walked into Prof. Lee Herrick's class at Fresno City College, surprising him with the news that he had been chosen as California's 10th poet laureate.

Herrick, the first Asian American to hold the title, has taught poetry at Fresno City College for 26 years and also teaches creative writing for the low-residency M.F.A. program at the University of Nevada, Reno at Lake Tahoe.

Herrick, 52, spoke with EdSource about his plans for the position, how to get kids interested in poetry, and what the title means to him.

"It's an incredible honor to be the first Asian American California poet laureate," he said. "It's very humbling, and I don't take it for granted. California is an incredibly diverse state, needless to say, and on the one hand, sometimes I wish I weren't the first, but I certainly hope I won't be the last."

Thanks for reading. We'll be back tomorrow.

Soumya Karlamangla and Briana Scalia contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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