Playbook PM: Manchin taps the brakes on BBB again

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Dec 13, 2021 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

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NEW — President JOE BIDEN is heading to Kentucky on Wednesday to survey damage from the recent tornadoes, the White House announced. He'll get a briefing in Ft. Campbell before visiting Mayfield and Dawson Springs.

THE SHADOW PRESIDENT SPEAKS — Ahead of his talk with Biden this afternoon — which will be a phone call, per WaPo's Seung Min Kim — Sen. JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.) sounded not particularly close to getting on board with the BBB. He told reporters he still has big concerns about several aspects of the bill. Among his qualms:

— The length of programs. "If it's whatever plan it will be, pre-K, child care and in-home care, then it should be 10 years, it shouldn't just be one year here, three years here, five years there. And I think it'd be very transparent for the public to see exactly what they'd be getting for what we're spending for 10 years." Changing these time frames would amount to a major reworking of the bill.

— Debt. "Whatever Congress is considering doing, they should do it within the limits of what we can afford. … Whatever we raise, I want to ensure there's money going towards paying down debt, we have to start taking care of our debt and be responsible. And then if we don't, we're not transparent and accurate, then where does the money come from?" He also called the CBO score "very sobering."

— Inflation. "It's real, it's not transitory. It's alarming. It's going up, not down."

The takeaway: "Sounds like he's in absolutely no hurry to move forward," NBC's Garrett Haake reported. The best news for Democrats is probably that Manchin didn't say explicitly he wants to delay consideration/passage of the bill (though he certainly indicated he doesn't want to rush it). More from Burgess Everett Watch his comments

Biden told reporters today that he doesn't plan to link the effects of climate change and the Kentucky tornadoes to the necessity of passing climate legislation when he talks to Manchin.

In other Manchin news … The West Virginian has deflected conflict-of-interest criticism from the left over his family's business and his climate change votes by saying he's had a blind trust for decades. But WaPo's Michael Kranish and Anna Phillips reveal in a new investigation : "contrary to his public statements, documents filed by the senator show the blind trust is much too small to account for all his reported earnings from the coal company," and he signed a sworn statement saying he was aware of his share of the firm worth over $1 million. Ethics experts tell the Post that Manchin's statements are misleading or even outright lies. (Manchin's office says he's fully in compliance with Senate rules.)

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SPEAKING OF CONFLICTS OF INTEREST — Insider has written a spate of stories this year about members of Congress failing to disclose financial transactions. Now a team led by Dave Levinthal is out with the first installment from a five-month investigative project, "Conflicted Congress," revealing that dozens of members have violated federal conflict-of-interest laws. They also have a rating of every member of Congress on conflicts and transparency. Click to see the 14 worst offenders

A COUPLE MORE BBB BITES …

— Capping insulin prices is one of Democrats' marquee planks in the BBB. But Senate Republicans may try to torpedo the change by using the "Byrd rule" to prevent it from applying to Americans with private insurance, WaPo's Dan Diamond reports . Now many Senate Republicans who have backed efforts to reduce insulin prices before may be forced to decide between challenging the policy priority and handing Democrats a politically popular victory. The uninsured, on the other hand, won't benefit either way, prompting progressive criticism.

— Opposition from Sen. CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO (D-Nev.) to a nicotine tax in the BBB has scuttled the change in the latest Senate Finance Committee draft text. Cortez Masto had raised concerns that the tax would hit poor people hardest, per NBC's Sahil Kapur.

Good Monday afternoon. Time's 2021 Person of the Year is ELON MUSK.

POLITICS ROUNDUP

THE NEW POWER CENTERS — State supreme courts are playing a bigger role than ever before in the ongoing redistricting process, thanks to partisan bickering, nonpartisan reforms and a weakened federal role, Ally Mutnick reports . That invests quite a bit of power in the usually low-profile judicial bodies, which could give Democrats a boost in states like North Carolina and Pennsylvania but shore up Republican gerrymanders in states like Wisconsin. Notably, Ally writes, "while some of these judges campaign for their position, many of them are appointed, meaning the decisions come from the hands of unelected arbiters."

2022 WATCH — Speaker NANCY PELOSI is wading into the crowded Maryland governor's race on behalf of former DNC Chair TOM PEREZ, whom she endorsed in the primary this morning. More from WaPo

As MEHMET OZ takes on the Pennsylvania Senate race, "The Dr. Oz Show" will officially come to an end Jan. 14, per Variety.

THE WHITE HOUSE

NEW ON THE SCHEDULE — This afternoon, Biden is signing a new executive order aimed at slashing red tape to make government services work better for people on tax filings, electronic health records, passport renewals and more. Details from Spectrum News

 

JOIN TUESDAY FOR A WOMEN RULE 2021 REWIND AND A LOOK AHEAD AT 2022: Congress is sprinting to get through a lengthy and challenging legislative to-do list before the end of the year that has major implications for women's rights. Join Women Rule editor Elizabeth Ralph and POLITICO journalists Laura Barrón-López, Eleanor Mueller, Elena Schneider and Elana Schor for a virtual roundtable that will explore the biggest legislative and policy shifts in 2021 affecting women and what lies ahead in 2022. REGISTER HERE.

 
 

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

LATEST DEVELOPMENT — The Jan. 6 panel is delaying BILL STEPIEN's deposition as he engages with the committee, ABC's Ben Siegel reports.

POLICY CORNER

KNOWING GURBIR GREWAL — The SEC's new enforcement head wants to crack down on Wall Street wrongdoers, and his extensive experience in government distinguishes him from the corporate lawyers who have often filled the role, WSJ's Dave Michaels writes in a Grewal profile. "We can't arrest them," he tells the WSJ. "We can get them out of the industry." But Grewal's tough talk has prompted some concern in the industry that he'll be overzealous with punishment.

IMMIGRATION FILES — Thirty-four more asylum-seekers were sent to Mexico this weekend, more than doubling the number of people so removed since a court mandated that the Biden administration restore the Trump-era "Remain in Mexico" policy, per CBS' Camilo Montoya-Galvez.

THE PANDEMIC

SHOCKING STATISTIC — More than a year and a half into the pandemic, one in every 100 older Americans has died from Covid-19, per NYT's Julie Bosman, Amy Harmon and Albert Sun. They account for about three-quarters of all deaths in the country, with that share rising recently. "In both sharp and subtle ways, the pandemic has amplified an existing divide between older and younger Americans."

MANDATE DEBATE — Struggling with labor shortages and in the wake of a federal judge's ruling, some major hospital networks around the country are backpedaling on Covid vaccine mandates, report WSJ's Robbie Whelan and Melanie Evans.

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

THE LATEST IN KENTUCKY — At a news conference this morning, Kentucky Gov. ANDY BESHEAR said the latest death toll from the recent devastating tornadoes is 64. At least another 105 people remain unaccounted for. More from the Louisville Courier-Journal

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

PULLOUT FALLOUT — The Pentagon won't punish anyone for the misbegotten August drone strike in Afghanistan that killed 10 civilians, NYT's Eric Schmitt reports, as Defense Secretary LLOYD AUSTIN accepted the recommendations of top commanders not to penalize those involved. It's in line with how the military has handled most civilian casualty incidents, but the move has already prompted some outrage in a situation where "[a]lmost everything senior defense officials asserted in the hours, days and weeks after the Kabul drone strike turned out to be false."

— In a rare interview, Afghanistan's foreign minister tells AP's Kathy Gannon that the Taliban has no issues with the U.S. and wants the Biden administration to unfreeze billions of dollars in funds for the country. AMIR KHAN MUTTAQI also said he doesn't foresee cooperating with the U.S. to fight the Islamic State.

MEDIAWATCH

DISINFORMATION DIGEST — Politicians' email lists are an under-examined source of political misinformation, pumping baseless or outright untrue claims directly into people's inboxes, NYT's Maggie Astor reports . In an experiment, the NYT signed up for the campaign email lists of hundreds of members of Congress. They found plenty of misinformation on both sides, but much more from Republicans — in a whopping 15% of emails, compared to 2% for Democrats. The big picture is that the emails "illuminate how ubiquitous misinformation has become among Republicans, fueled in large part by former President Donald J. Trump."

YEAR IN REVIEW — Democrats' pandemic relief law, the Texas winter blackouts, DEREK CHAUVIN's conviction, the Florida condo collapse and the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan were among the news stories that broke through to the most Americans, Morning Consult's Eli Yokley finds in an analysis of the year's surveys. Democrats were generally more tuned into the news than Republicans, except on rising gas prices.

PLAYBOOKERS

MEDIA MOVES — Claudine Ebeid is joining The Atlantic to lead audio as executive producer. She most recently was a senior editor of news projects at the NYT, and is an NPR alum. Andrea Valdez is also moving from SVP of audience strategy to a managing editor in the newsroom.

ENGAGED — Samantha Summers, senior manager of government affairs at Albertsons Companies, and David Kemp, a research analyst at the Cato Institute, got engaged this weekend at the back of the Lincoln Memorial. They met while working at Cato in 2017. Pic Another pic

 

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California Today: The mystery of Imperial County’s vaccination rate

The southeastern pocket of California has one of the highest Covid-19 immunization rates in the state.
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By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Monday. California's most southeastern county has one of the highest Covid-19 immunization rates in the state. Plus, why people are moving to the "Texas of California."

Clinicians caring for a Covid-19 patient in the intensive care unit at El Centro Regional Medical Center in July 2020.Mario Tama/Getty Images

EL CENTRO, Calif. — California's coronavirus numbers contain what appears to be, at first glance, a pandemic paradox.

Imperial County is a poor and overwhelmingly Latino agricultural region in the state's southeastern corner. Its demographics are generally linked to lower-than-average Covid-19 vaccination rates.

But the county, which is along the border with Mexico, has an immunization rate that ranks seventh out of the state's 58 counties, the highest coverage level in Southern California.

Imperial County's surprisingly high demand for vaccinations has been a mystery for several months, as CalMatters first reported. Some experts cautioned that the numbers may have been boosted by Americans who live in Mexico crossing the border to get their shots.

Still, the level of vaccine coverage in Imperial County — 74 percent of all residents are reported to be fully immunized, compared with 64 percent statewide — is apparently high enough to have kept major Covid-19 surges at bay this year.

Before the vaccines, Imperial County had been battered by the coronavirus. Even now, because of the severity of the outbreaks it suffered in 2020, Imperial County has lost a higher share of its population to Covid-19 than anywhere else in the state.

But while the San Joaquin Valley, which is demographically similar, has endured a seemingly endless onslaught of Covid-19 spikes in 2021, Imperial County has been largely spared. And for that, experts credit the shots.

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Dr. Timothy Brewer, an infectious-disease expert at the University of California, Los Angeles, said he thought that Imperial County might have embraced vaccines in part because of the horror its residents dealt with last year.

With one in five people in the county having tested positive for the coronavirus at some point during the pandemic, almost everyone probably knows a family member, friend or colleague who has gotten the virus — if they haven't had it themselves.

"They were hit early, and they were hit hard, and it's possible that because of that, people recognize the importance of getting vaccinated," Brewer told me. "This wasn't an abstract problem."

Covid-19 hospitalizations in Imperial County have recently begun to inch upward, but it's hard to know whether that will continue or for how long, particularly given the emergence of the Omicron variant. And it's not yet clear how high demand for booster shots will turn out to be in the county.

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On a recent weekday, I drove two hours east from coastal San Diego to El Centro, a town of about 44,000 people and the capital of Imperial County.

An aerial view of agricultural fields in Imperial County.Mario Tama/Getty Images

El Centro is essentially how you would imagine a middle-class desert community — plenty of strip malls and mud-colored buildings with flat roofs. But there was no doubt that agriculture was the main game here.

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Alongside the highway were hay bales and tractors to tend to the rows of crops stretching to the horizon. Tracts of multistory homes looked out not on parks but plowed fields.

Joe Mathews, a columnist for Zócalo Public Square, recently wrote about unusually high vaccination rates in Imperial Valley as well as in Salinas Valley, another agricultural center. He argued that an unlikely alliance between growers, labor groups, local governments and community advocates helped get people quickly immunized.

In Imperial County, there was widespread collaboration to try to spread the word about the vaccines, said Rosyo Ramirez, deputy director for the community health division of the county's public health department.

The health department partnered with local clinics and other community organizations to administer shots, opening pop-up sites at churches, farms, hospitals and the U.S.-Mexico border, she said.

"Public health didn't do this alone. It was a community effort," she told me.

The effect has been a stunning bucking of trends. In Imperial County, the vaccination rate for Latinos is almost 20 points higher than it is statewide. The vaccination rate for people between the ages of 18 and 49 in the county also far exceeds California's overall.

"The demographic most represented in Imperial County, which is young adult Latinos, has really embraced getting vaccinated, which is terrific," Brewer told me.

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A Los Angeles police officer watching from a squad car as a homeless encampment is cleared in the Harbor City neighborhood of Los Angeles.Bing Guan/Reuters

If you read one story, make it this

Los Angeles will elect a new mayor next year in a contest with the highest stakes in decades.

Gov. Gavin Newsom's announcement on gun legislation seemed to explicitly position California opposite Texas in the battles over abortion rights and gun control.Jim Wilson/The New York Times

The rest of the news

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Kanye and Drake: What fans wore to see this unlikely duo perform in Los Angeles.
  • Mountain lions rescued: Two kittens were saved after a litter was discovered underneath a picnic bench, LAist reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Weather: A multiday storm "that will likely be remembered for years to come" is forecast this week in Northern California, The Associated Press reports.
  • Oroville interview: Vice Mayor Scott Thomson discusses making the city a "constitutional republic" in a Q. and A. with SFGate.
  • Capitol rioter flees: Evan Neumann, a Mill Valley resident who was charged with assaulting a police officer on Jan. 6, has fled to Belarus, Reuters reports.
  • Police chief: Kathy Lester, the new Sacramento police chief, is the first woman to ever assume the title in the city, The Sacramento Bee reports.
David Malosh for The New York Times

What we're eating

Brown-butter orzo with butternut squash.

Beth Coller for The New York Times

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Mike McLaughlin, a reader who lives in New York:

"My wife and I lived in Pasadena for three years. My favorite spot and one always on the itinerary for visiting family from the east was Joshua Tree for the rugged terrain and interesting desert plant life. The itinerary always included a stop in 29 Palms for date milkshakes."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

What we're recommending

Tell us

An annual tamales party, New Year's in Palm Springs or an order of Ikeda's pies for Christmas dinner — what are your Golden State holiday traditions?

Email me at CaToday@nytimes.com.

Vivek Viswanathan, left, persuaded Dr. Jasmine Huynh, a solitary runner, to run with him. She even logged miles with him when he ran for political office.Thien La

And before you go, some good news

On their first date, Jasmine Cecilia Huynh and Vivek Viswanathan sat at a table shaped like the state of California.

At a bar-restaurant in Sacramento, they quickly identified their shared experiences as the children of immigrants. Her parents moved to the U.S. from Vietnam and his from India.

Last month, about four years after their first date, they got married at San Francisco City Hall.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

P.S. Here's today's Mini Crossword, and a clue: "This doesn't look good" (4 letters).

Mariel Wamsley contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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