The GOP agenda comes into focus

Presented by Amazon: POLITICO's must-read briefing on what's driving the afternoon in Washington.
Nov 03, 2022 View in browser
 
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By Garrett Ross

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Kevin McCarthy, Mitch McConnell and Nancy Pelosi arrive to unveil the Congressional statue of former President Harry S. Truman.

What Republicans want to do after the midterms is starting to become more clear as Election Day approaches. | Andrew Harnik/AP Photo

Discussion about the debt limit has ramped up in recent weeks as the potential for Republicans to retake the House — and potentially the Senate — looks more and more likely.

This morning, former President DONALD TRUMP weighed in during an on-air phone call on "Real America's Voice," and used the opportunity to attack Senate Minority Leader MITCH McCONNELL.

"It's crazy what's happening with this debt ceiling. Mitch McConnell keeps allowing them to have it," Trump said. "They ought to impeach Mitch McConnell if he allows that." Watch a 27-second clip

While that's obviously not going to happen, Washington is starting to brace for the bruising fight over the debt ceiling — a prospect that's "alarming administration officials, Democrats in Congress and some investors who fear a stalemate that could roil financial markets at a precarious time for the global economy," NYT's Emily Cochrane and Jim Tankersley write .

— How soon we could see it: "The fight could come to a head as soon as early next year, when the government is projected to hit its borrowing limit unless Congress can muster the votes to raise it."

WHAT ELSE IS ON THE AGENDA? — "GOP congressional majorities would pivot to spending cuts, Biden probes," by WaPo's Liz Goodwin: "Some fiscal hawks are pushing dramatic spending reforms and overhauls of entitlement programs including Social Security and Medicare, while others are insisting that simply blocking future Democratic legislation and attempting to repeal some of President Biden's signature achievements will represent enough of a shift toward fiscal responsibility to appease voters.

"Either way, the GOP agenda would all but certainly lead to dramatic showdowns with Biden and his veto pen, and Democrats are warning of the potential for government shutdowns and dysfunction, while dreading the raft of oversight investigations Republicans will launch if they gain the gavels."

Rep. JIM BANKS (R-Ind.): "I don't believe that anybody wants to shut down the government, but the debt limit and the spending fights provide leverage for Republicans to push for reforms that we've campaigned on to address the major issues and challenges of the day. … And hopefully President Biden would be willing to come to the table and be willing to negotiate with Republicans."

And then there's the subpoena power that Republicans may wield. This morning on Fox News, GOP Leader KEVIN McCARTHY said the three "main investigations GOP-controlled House would undertake are the Afghanistan withdrawal, origins of COVID & DoJ probes of parents at school board meetings," per Fox News' Chad Pergram . (The big one he didn't include: Republicans' desire to investigate HUNTER BIDEN.)

Meanwhile, Club for Growth President DAVID McINTOSH is warning Republicans to avoid whatever knee-jerk impulses they might have to impeach President JOE BIDEN should they secure the House next year. Even if there's a GOP wave, "I don't think it's a mandate to impeach Joe Biden," McIntosh said in a press conference on Thursday. "I think the voters would want to leave that question to them in 2024 and sort it out in the next election." (h/t Sam Sutton)

WAR FATIGUE INCHES UP IN U.S. — "Republican Opposition to Helping Ukraine Grows, WSJ Poll Finds," by Vivian Salama: "Some 30% of respondents overall said in the new survey they believe the administration is doing too much to help Ukraine, up from 6% in a March Journal poll. The change was driven by a big shift among GOP voters: 48% of Republicans now say the U.S. is doing too much, up from 6% in the previous survey. The portion of GOP voters who said the U.S. isn't doing enough to help Ukraine fell to 17%, a steep drop from 61% in March."

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BIG PICTURE

DEMS' DEMOGRAPHIC DILEMMA — WaPo's Dan Balz is up with the latest in their "Deciders" series, reporting from Norcross, Ga.: "Democrats count on huge Black turnout, but has the party delivered in return?" He writes: "Given that the political fundamentals of this midterm election favor Republicans, Black voters are more crucial than ever for the Democrats. One overriding question is whether they will turn out in numbers big enough to offset those GOP advantages. Regardless, many Black voters fear a future in which overt racism becomes more apparent. They have concerns about whether Biden, who is well liked, has the strength to unify the country around a more positive vision. And there are questions about whether the Democratic Party speaks to Black voters as effectively as needed."

THE VIEW FROM 1600 PENN — "In campaign swing, Biden focuses on incumbent Democrats," by AP's Aamer Madhani

ON WISCONSIN — Rolling Stone's Kara Voght profiles BEN WIKLER , the chair of the Wisconsin Democratic Party, who sees existential stakes to next week's election. "There's a real sense of, like, a twilight struggle against authoritarianism if we don't do everything we can," he tells her. Writes Voght: "[W]hen the polls close at 8 p.m. next Tuesday, Wikler will have either held the line for democracy, or Wisconsin will be in the hands of a party that has made clear that the only legitimate elections are ones where it wins. Either way, there's a good decent chance he'll spend a lot of the next few years thinking about how he spends the next few days."

DEEP IN THE HEART — "They Were Trying to Help Run Elections. Then They Got Criminally Investigated," by ProPublica's Cassandra Jaramillo and Joshua Kaplan: "Texas Attorney General KEN PAXTON hasn't just been pursuing supposed voter fraud. His office has also criminally investigated at least 10 election workers, in a harbinger of potential post-midterm turmoil."

WAY DOWN-BALLOT — "TOMS shoes founder gives $1 million to psilocybin legalization in Colorado," by the Denver Post's Tiney Ricciardi

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE

FAMILY FEUD — "Alaska Senate race fueled by Trump, McConnell feud," by NBC's Peter Nicholas, Carol Lee and Marc Caputo: "A Republican is going to win the Alaska Senate race, but that hasn't stopped MITCH McCONNELL from plowing millions of dollars into the deep-red state. McConnell allies say he simply wants to protect Republican Sen. LISA MURKOWSKI, who faces a serious challenge from fellow Republican KELLY TSHIBAKA . But strategists see a proxy war playing out between McConnell, R-Ky., the Senate minority leader, and his chief antagonist, former President Donald Trump, who is backing Tshibaka."

BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE

CALIFORNIA LOVE — "Exploring the riddle of California's 450-mile-long 3rd Congressional District," by the L.A. Times' Thomas Curwen: "Nearly 450 miles long, the 3rd Congressional District contains scores of small towns like Darwin from its southern border in the Mojave Desert where Inyo and San Bernardino counties meet, along the eastern slopes of the Sierra Nevada, the western shore of Lake Tahoe, to the southern Cascade Range where Plumas County ends. Two candidates — Republican Assemblyman KEVIN KILEY and Democrat Dr. KERMIT JONES — are vying to represent the district. Both are from the Sacramento suburbs, adding to Darwin residents' suspicions."

BATTLE FOR THE STATES

FROM THE OPPO FILES — "Michels Corp. does not have Black employees in management positions, according to public documents," by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Corrinne Hess: "Michels Corp., Wisconsin's largest construction company co-owned by Republican gubernatorial candidate TIM MICHELS, doesn't have any Black people and only two Hispanic people working in leadership positions, according to public documents filed by the company. Michels Corp. which employs 8,000 people and has received more than $1.1 billion from Wisconsin for construction projects since 2014, also falls slightly below the industry average for hiring Black and brown people."

HOT POLLS

Wisconsin: GOP Sen. RON JOHNSON leads Democrat MANDELA BARNES, 47% to 45%, per a new Spectrum News/Siena College poll . Meanwhile, Democratic Gov. TONY EVERS leads Michels in the gubernatorial race by the same margin, 47% to 45%.

New Hampshire: Democratic Sen. MAGGIE HASSAN leads Republican DON BOLDUC 51% to 41%, per a new UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion poll .

HOT ADS

Via Steve Shepard

Ohio: Democratic Senate candidate TIM RYAN is back at the bar for a form of closing-argument ad in which he says he's part of the "exhausted majority," and urges voters to "turn the page on this era of stupidity and reject the extremism and get back to being Americans first."

Rhode Island: "This is the Republican Party in Congress now," begins the DCCC's latest ad in Rhode Island , as images of the Jan. 6 Capitol riot flash along the screen, along with photos of House Minority Leader KEVIN McCARTHY and Reps. MATT GAETZ (R-Fla.) and MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE (R-Ga.). "And ALLAN FUNG will vote with them."

Massachusetts: In the sleepy race to replace GOP Gov. CHARLIE BAKER, Democrat MAURA HEALEY is up with her closing-argument ad . "My opponent is Donald Trump's choice for governor," Healey says to camera. "I'd be honored to be yours."

Iowa: GOP Rep. MARIANNETTE MILLER-MEEKS recalls her six-vote victory last cycle in her closing-argument ad . "When I got [to Congress], Nancy Pelosi tried to take it away," Miller-Meeks says, referring to losing candidate RITA HART's aborted challenge last year.

 

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CONGRESS

PROMISES MADE — "Cherokees Ask U.S. to Make Good on a 187-Year-Old Promise, for a Start," by NYT's Simon Romero in Tahlequah, Okla.: "The Cherokees and other tribal nations have made significant gains in recent decades, plowing income from sources like casino gambling into hospitals, meat-processing plants and lobbyists in Washington. At the same time, though, those tribes are seeing new threats to their efforts to govern themselves. … Amid such challenges, the Nation is trying to cobble together bipartisan support for its delegate, who, if seated, would resemble the nonvoting House members representing several territories and the District of Columbia. Such delegates cannot take part in final votes, but can introduce legislation and serve on committees."

FOR YOUR RADAR — "Private Medicare Plans Misled Customers Into Signing Up, Senate Report Says," by NYT's Reed Abelson and Margot Sanger-Katz

THE WHITE HOUSE

WHO'S GOT BIDEN'S EAR — "Biden's Inflation Advisers: CEOs, Old Pals, Field Hockey Parents," by Bloomberg's Nancy Cook: "While his predecessors might have turned to Wall Street giants like Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Biden's White House reached out to corporate executives such as Apple Inc.'s TIM COOK, Bank of America Corp.'s BRIAN MOYNIHAN, and the leaders of retailers Target Corp. and Walmart Inc., according to people familiar with the matter.

"Biden's most frequent calls were with labor leaders , several of whom the president's known for years. He talked occasionally with former Treasury Secretary LARRY SUMMERS, whom the president calls 'Lar,' and gleaned tidbits of information about the US economy from people he ran into at church, golf and his grandkids' field hockey games back home in Delaware."

STUCK ON THE TARMAC — "Delays in Boeing's New Air Force One Cause Costs to Pile Up for Shareholders, Taxpayers," by WSJ's Andrew Tangel: "The Arlington, Va., aerospace company said it expects to lose $766 million more on the high-profile, years-late project to transform two 747-8 jumbo jets into flying White Houses, bringing its total losses related to the effort to nearly $2 billion, according to securities filings. The additional costs were part of a larger charge that led Boeing to report a $3.3 billion third-quarter loss."

 

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MORE POLITICS

HEARTLESS — "Thieves keep stealing money from Kanye West's old 2020 presidential campaign account," by Insider's Dave Levinthal: "An Insider review of federal campaign finance records indicates that 'unknown' persons took several thousand dollars from his still-active Kanye 2020 account: $1,474 on December 9, 2021; $1,280 on February 8, and $1,245 on February 22. In an unsigned letter to the Federal Election Commission, West's campaign acknowledged that it experienced an 'external fraud situation.'"

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

THE BLAME GAME — "Mortgage Rates Too High? (Blame the Fed, Wall Street and Your Neighbor.)," by NYT's Joe Rennison and Tara Siegel Bernard

"Older, White and Wealthy Home Buyers Are Pushing Others Out of the Market," by NYT's Ronda Kaysen

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

SHOCKING NEWS — "Imran Khan, Ex-Prime Minister of Pakistan, Is Shot at Rally," by NYT's Salman Masood and Christina Goldbaum: "[IMRAN] KHAN was in Wazirabad, in eastern Pakistan, leading a protest march to the capital, Islamabad, to demand that the government hold early elections when his convoy came under attack. Mr. Khan, 70, was shot in the leg and was being moved to Lahore for treatment, according to FAWAD CHAUDHRY , a senior member of Mr. Khan's party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf. Mr. Chaudhry called the incident '100 percent an assassination attempt.'"

DANCE OF THE SUPERPOWERS — "A Biden-Xi Summit Presents Latest Challenge to U.S.-China Ties," by WSJ's Charles Hutzler and Lingling Wei: "Senior officials and aides have been wrangling over whether the leaders will meet around the Group of 20 summit of major economies in Indonesia in mid-November. The meeting would be their first face-to-face since Mr. Biden's election, and, people briefed on the discussions said, Chinese officials have only recently re-engaged after ill feelings over the leaders' last exchange."

CLIMATE FILES — "China Is Burning More Coal, a Growing Climate Challenge," by NYT's Keith Bradsher and Clifford Krauss

"Fossil fuel projects were stalled a year ago. Now they're making a comeback," by WaPo's Evan Halper

THE 30,000-FOOT VIEW — "The Messy Unwinding of The New World Order," by WSJ's Jon Hilsenrath, Anthony DeBarros and Kara Depena

 

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MEDIAWATCH

FOR WHOM THE CLOSING BELL TOLLS — "CNBC Cancels Shepard Smith's Show Amid Business-News Push," by Variety's Brian Steinberg: "Smith's last show will air later in November, and CNBC intends to replace his program, 'The News with SHEPARD SMITH,' with an evening hour devoted to business news in early 2023."

GOING DIGITAL — "Alabama's Three Largest Newspapers to Stop Printing Next Year," by WSJ's Alexandra Bruell

PLAYBOOKERS

TRANSITIONS — Antonio White is now SVP and public policy executive for U.S. federal affairs at Bank of America. He most recently was deputy assistant secretary for community engagement in the office of public affairs at the Treasury Department. … James Hong is now head of marketing for Americas at Ørsted. He previously was VP and chief of staff at Urban Legend and is an SKDK alum.

 

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Loyalist Communities Council: Former PUP deputy leader warns of 'dangerous situation'

Bar owner and former Derry GAA player in court charged with manslaughter of a customer
 
 
     
   
     
  Nov 3, 2022  
     
     
  Loyalist Communities Council: Former PUP deputy leader warns of 'dangerous situation'  
Loyalist Communities Council: Former PUP deputy leader warns of 'dangerous situation'
     
 
Bar owner and former Derry GAA player in court charged with manslaughter of a customer
Bar owner and former Derry GAA player in court charged with manslaughter of a customer
 
     
     
     
   
     
     
     
   
 
 
   
 
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California Today: Big cities choosing new mayors

In places like Los Angeles, Oakland and San Jose, voters are especially concerned with affordable housing and homelessness.
Author Headshot

By Soumya Karlamangla

California Today, Writer

It's Thursday. In mayoral races in California's largest cities, voters are especially concerned with affordable housing and homelessness. Plus, more on the Pelosi attack.

With Californians heading to the polls on Tuesday, affordable housing and homelessness are top issues for mayoral candidates.Allison Zaucha for The New York Times

Of California's 10 most populous cities, half are about to choose a new mayor.

The races to lead Los Angeles, San Jose, Long Beach, Oakland and Anaheim will be decided when voters go to the polls on Tuesday. And in all of these contests, a dominant theme has emerged on debate stages and in candidates' media interviews: California's affordable housing and homelessness crises.

Perhaps it isn't surprising, given that the Golden State has some of the nation's highest rents and home prices, as well as more than 100,000 people living on its streets. But mayoral elections are typically characterized by unique, local issues, so the across-the-board focus on housing is somewhat unusual, said Raphael Sonenshein, the executive director of the Pat Brown Institute for Public Affairs at California State University, Los Angeles. "It's becoming an embedded issue in these cities — that's a change," he said.

Fueling the frustration around housing are most likely two-plus years of eviction anxiety set off by the coronavirus pandemic, spiking home prices and a growing inflation problem — on top of the state's long-term affordable housing shortage. An increase in visible homelessness in California over the past several years may have also affected voters' priorities, said John Pitney, a political science professor at Claremont McKenna College.

"You go into many areas of Los Angeles, you see encampments, you see homeless people on the street corner and it makes an impression on people," Pitney told me. "Whether or not the data indicate that homelessness is increasing, people perceive that it is. When you're out for a walk, you're going to a store, you're driving somewhere, it hits you in the face."

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In the race for the next mayor of Los Angeles, where the number of people living on the streets continues to grow, the candidates, Representative Karen Bass and Rick Caruso, a billionaire real estate developer, have been repeatedly grilled on their plans to ease homelessness as well as the city's dearth of affordable housing. Caruso, who has spent a record-breaking sum on his campaign, frequently airs ads promising that his strategy for homelessness is better and "bigger" than his competitor's.

In San Jose's contest for mayor, "both candidates have listed housing, homelessness and police staffing as top priorities," The San Francisco Chronicle reports. In a recent poll of Oakland voters about their mayoral election, 97 percent said homelessness was either an extremely or a very serious problem, according to The San Francisco Chronicle. In Long Beach, where the current mayor, Robert Garcia, has started a bid for Congress, both candidates vying to replace him "agreed that homelessness and public safety are among Long Beach's top issues," reports The Press-Telegram.

While policing and crime have been of high concern for decades, Sonenshein said, it's the heavy emphasis on housing and homelessness that's new.

Sonenshein said he thought that a generational shift in the electorate had helped make affordable housing more of a major issue, as renters make up an increasingly large share of the voting bloc in California. "At least in L.A., the housing issue looks a little different if you're 25 and trying to decide if you can stay in L.A. while your rent is going up," he told me. "That's a different point of view, obviously, than longstanding homeowners."

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Then there's the question of how much mayors can actually do to address homelessness and housing issues. It's a long-term crisis that crosses jurisdictions and is extraordinarily difficult to solve, particularly for a local leader, experts say.

"Being mayor of just about any big city is a highly frustrating job," Pitney said. After candidates run and win, they enter office "and then they're gobsmacked by reality."

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Many lawmakers say that it has long been clear that Capitol security officials must do more to protect them.Shuran Huang for The New York Times

The rest of the news

  • Pelosi attack: U.S. Capitol Police security cameras captured the break-in at Speaker Nancy Pelosi's San Francisco home last week, but costly minutes went by before any officer reviewed the footage.On Wednesday, one of the most senior Democrats in the House demanded to know why the Capitol Police did not do more to prevent the attack.
  • Tracking rape kits: California officials announced that they had created a way for survivors to track the progress of linking their rape kits with DNA evidence, The Associated Press reports.
  • Economy: California could soon surpass Germany and become the world's fourth-largest economy, The Los Angeles Times reports.
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • County settlement: Los Angeles County's board of supervisors voted to pay $47.6 million to settle lawsuits accusing sheriff's deputies of misconduct, The Associated Press reports.
  • Stampede memorial: The Korean American Federation of Los Angeles opened a memorial at its Koreatown offices in honor of the more than 150 people who died on Sunday in Seoul, The LAist reports.
  • Earthquake: According to the U.S. Geological Survey, a 6.0-magnitude earthquake occurred at 8:53 p.m. on Tuesday, about 800 miles off the coast of Southern California, KNSD-TV reports.
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
  • Water system: The long-neglected water system in Marin City is one of the most vulnerable to flooding driven by climate change in the entire Bay Area, KQED reports.
  • Attempted murder: Five teenagers were charged with attempted murder, and a man was arrested, in the stabbing of two teenagers at an elementary school in Novato last week, The San Francisco Chronicle reports.
Shade Degges

What you get

A Southern California designer wanted to create a home where "everything gets put away at night" — and she succeeded. Sort of.

Joel Goldberg for The New York Times.

What we're eating

Thirteen easy pasta and noodle recipes our staff cooks on repeat.

Cannery Row in Monterey.Rich Pedroncelli/Associated Press

Where we're traveling

Today's tip comes from Bob Newell, who recommends a Central Coast trip:

"My family started going to the Carmel-Monterey peninsula when I was young, and it's a special destination for my wife and I to this day. I'm amazed at how friendly the residents are at this special place. The food, breakfast to dinner, is always extraordinary.

One of the can't-miss visits is to Cannery Row and the world-famous Monterey Bay Aquarium. It's a half-day affair on its own. Additional backstage tours are special ways to learn more about this amazing facility. You can come face to face with otherwise elusive marine life such as cute sea otters, giant ocean sunfish and hypnotic jellies. You can explore the very same tide pools that captivated John Steinbeck."

Tell us about your favorite places to visit in California. Email your suggestions to CAtoday@nytimes.com. We'll be sharing more in upcoming editions of the newsletter.

Tell us

Have you visited any of the travel destinations that we've recommended in the newsletter? Send us a few lines about your trip, and a photo!

We'd like to share them in upcoming editions of the newsletter. Email us at CAToday@nytimes.com. Please include your name and the city in which you live.

A monarch butterfly at the Rinconada Community Garden in Palo Alto.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

And before you go, some good news

As it was for humans, 2020 was a challenging year for monarch butterflies.

That year, fewer than 2,000 of the insects were counted along the West Coast from Mendocino County to Baja California from November to March, when the butterflies typically overwinter. The next year, the butterflies enjoyed a comeback with over 250,000 monarchs counted.

Now, as winter approaches again, butterfly enthusiasts are hopeful that the monarchs' population will boom even further.

On Oct. 21, the Pacific Grove Museum of Natural History counted over 3,800 butterflies. On the same day in 2021, it counted only 2,593, The Monterey Herald reports.

"It looks like the monarch sanctuary and the monarchs themselves continue to be very inspiring," Natalie Johnston, the museum's volunteer and community science coordinator, told the outlet.

Thanks for reading. I'll be back tomorrow. — Soumya

Briana Scalia and Steven Moity contributed to California Today. You can reach the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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