| | | |  | | By Adam Wren | | Presented by |  | | | With help from Eli Okun, Bethany Irvine, Ali Bianco and Rachel Umansky-Castro On today’s Playbook Podcast: Adam and POLITICO White House reporter Sophia Cai break down everything you need to know ahead of today’s World Cup draw at the Kennedy Center.
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| Happy Friday! It’s Adam Wren. As a longtime soccer player, fan and politics reporter, today is a big one for me ahead of the World Cup draw. (More on that in just a moment …) Get in touch. MUST LISTEN: U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer spoke with Dasha Burns for this week’s episode of “The Conversation,” where he dove into the Trump administration’s trade agenda and drilled into the relationships with major trading partners. On whether Trump might walk away from the trade agreement with Mexico and Canada: “The president's view is he only wants deals that are a good deal. The reason why we built a review period into USMCA was in case we needed to revise it, review it, or exit it. I have heard from a lot of folks how important USMCA is. … Sometimes you'll hear people say, ‘Oh, well, you know, USMCA, it's a 31 trillion-dollar agreement. It's like, well, yeah, but like $29 trillion is us. So I mean, I think it makes sense to talk to them separately about that agreement.” On China: “Sometimes you hear people saying, ‘Well, you know, for America to win, China has to lose.’ I just don't think that's the case. I mean, the reality is we are gonna do what's right for America in terms of trade. … If China still manages to be successful, fine, right? We're not here to try to contain China. We're here to make sure that America has a strong national security, strong economic security, that our workers have jobs that are good for them in the towns and cities where they live, that they can raise a family. That's what we're trying to do, right? China rises or falls on that. That's kind of up to them.” Read more from Greer Plus, Randi Weingarten, the president of the American Federation of Teachers, joined the pod to talk about the challenges that her role has faced during the Trump era On whether there’s enough problem solving from politicians: “I think what's happened is that Democrats — and look, I'm a proud Democrat, I'm glad to be a Democrat — Democrats feel very comfortable fighting against a Trump, but not actually setting the table for what it should look like. What's the third way? And Trump Republicans, the MAGA base, basically are so pissed off at the world that has happened, they're ready to burn the place down. … So we're in a bit of an ironic cauldron that the solutions come from compromise, but the anger is so red hot on all sides that people compromising looks like weakness, not strength.” Watch the full episode … Listen and subscribe In today’s Playbook … — The world tunes into the Trump show at the FIFA World Cup draw in Washington. — More delayed data trickles in as the Fed prepares for its last meeting of 2025. — The Supreme Court green lights gerrymandering in Texas — and likely beyond.
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FIFA President Gianni Infantino has logged more face time with President Donald Trump this year than any world leader. | Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images | WORLD COUP: The eyes of the world will be watching the Kennedy Center stage at noon for the 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament draw, an event crackling with geopolitical tension. On any number of fronts, this quadrennial gathering will be unlike any other. This year has been programmed for one fan above all: President Donald Trump. Look no further than the decision to book the Village People, who have soundtracked many a Trump rally, and Andrea Bocelli, a favorite of the president’s, for today’s festivities. And though he may have fallen short this year on his quest for the Nobel Peace Prize, about halfway through today’s two-hour ceremony, Trump will come to the stage to accept the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize — an award dreamed up with him in mind by FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who, as POLITICO’s Sophia Cai reports in a new piece this morning, has logged more face time with Trump this year than any world leader. “FIFA is as political an institution as the United States Senate is, and he’s navigated his way to the top, and he clearly understands the political dynamics that might contribute to the success of this World Cup,” Indiana GOP Sen. Todd Young, co-chair of the Congressional Soccer Caucus, said of Infantino. “And chief among those is managing his relationship with the president of the United States.” Young’s Congressional Soccer Caucus has been advising the White House World Cup Task Force on preparations. But Infantino’s gambit comes with a cost. As Sophia notes, “that success is beginning to weaken Infantino, as the third-term FIFA president faces newfound internal opposition for his over-the-top courtship of Trump.” Interviews with six current soccer officials across three continents reveal widespread anxieties about Infantino’s “decision to side with Trump even as White House policies cause chaos for World Cup-bound teams, fans and local organizers, clashing with Infantino’s promise to have a tournament that welcomes the world.” And the geopolitical intrigue doesn’t stop there. Canadian PM Mark Carney and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, representing the two other host countries for next year’s tournament, will be at the Kennedy Center too, meaning the draw is bringing together a trio of leaders who have at times butted heads over trade. In fact, it will be the first time Trump and Carney have seen each other since Trump blew up over Ontario’s trade policy ad. CBS News reported that Trump intends to talk trade with both nations’ leaders in D.C. today. “It should be interesting to watch,” Young told Playbook. “I think normally, my expectation would be that this forum would be a great opportunity to mend some fences and strengthen relationships, and the president often does that when he connects in person with people.” Young pointed to Trump’s chummy Oval Office welcome for Zohran Mamdani, the democratic socialist New York City mayor-to-be. “But for whatever reason, the president had some chemistry with Mr. Mamdani and it seemed like they had a positive interaction. So we could see that. But you just never know,” Young said. “The president could also, in a very unguarded and candid way, make his concerns or disagreements with certain individuals known at the event.” The draw is full of potential political faux pas and missteps. This year’s draw — when the expanded pool of 48 countries will be sorted into 12 groups of four teams each, drawn from four different pots — is such a big deal in America, it even got the Steve Kornacki treatment. As for the draw itself, some sports legends will be on hand to assist with the complex proceedings: Former NFL quarterback Tom Brady, former Canadian hockey legend Wayne Gretzky, former NBA hoopster Shaquille O’Neal and New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge will help with the randomized selection process. The U.S., Canada and Mexico will all be drawn from pot one, meaning they won’t face each other early in the tournament — which, your Playbook author can attest as a longtime fan of the USMNT, is a very good thing; nor will the U.S. face top-ranked teams like England, Spain or Brazil. But there are some potentially contentious and politically fraught pairings that the draw could bring. One such outcome could see the U.S. grouped with Iran, South Africa and Ukraine. The storylines here write themselves. The draw could also put the U.S. in a group against Colombia — where Trump has tangled with President Gustavo Petro, who called Trump a “barbarian” over the U.S. strikes against alleged drug-smuggling boats in the Caribbean — and Saudi Arabia, where Trump has had warming relations with Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman. The Athletic has a helpful guide to other possible permutations. “One of the reasons I love World Cup soccer is that there’s a political overlay to a sporting competition,” said Young, who himself played soccer at the Naval Academy (and has a mean flying volley, as your author witnessed after serving him not too long back). He told Playbook he’s actually rooting to see some of the matchups that come with a political backdrop. “Any members of the axis of autocrats,” he added. “I sort of hope for that,” Young told us. “I would love to tangle with Iran, for example, and increase the importance in the eyes of the world of the game because of the soft power dimension.” However the groupings turn out, today’s draw will only be the beginning of a remarkable international spectacle, with much of the spotlight here. D.C., though, is not a host city for actual matches, due to organizers’ concerns over the capability of the Commanders’ stadium to host such an event — but the promised new stadium may offer a hosting site for the 2031 FIFA Women’s World Cup. “This president has the ability to bring additional attention to all kinds of events, because he is such a high-profile person and so interesting to watch,” Young said. “And I think that overall, it will be a really, not just interesting, but a positive dimension to this World Cup.”
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Learn more. | | | | THE ECONOMY, STUPID DATA DROP INCOMING: The latest slate of delayed economic indicators is due to be released today after the scheduled drop was derailed by the government shutdown. This batch — including the September personal income, personal spending and PCE figures — comes at a particularly prescient time for the Federal Reserve as policymakers at the central bank prepare to meet next week for the final time in 2025. So far, economists estimate that the Fed is still planning to reduce interest rates by a quarter-percentage point at that meeting, per Reuters. “That strong consensus broadly mirrored a November poll and the near-85% chance of a cut implied by rate futures but was in sharp contrast to the growing division among policymakers over whether the world’s largest economy needs another dose of easing next week.” NEXT MAN UP: Whoever Trump selects to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair faces a monumental task of assuaging Trump’s repeated calls to cut rates while also “juggling wary financial markets, hard-to-interpret economic indicators, the sprawling and complex internal politics within the central bank itself,” as POLITICO’s Victoria Guida writes in her latest Capital Letter column. And now, Trump “is ratcheting up the tension further” for the successor “by pushing for policies that could make inflation worse, even as he continues to pressure the Fed to declare victory over price spikes.” Trump’s wishes also present a messy messaging challenge. “The simultaneous notions that you should cut interest rates, that the economy is doing great and that inflation isn’t driven by tariffs don’t hang neatly together,” Victoria writes. “The two simplest arguments for lower rates are that the economy is weakening enough to merit action despite elevated inflation, or that you think prices won’t keep rising as quickly after businesses absorb tariffs.”
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| | | | TRAIL MIX ANYBODY HAVE A MAP?: The Supreme Court greenlit Texas’ newly redrawn congressional maps yesterday by a 6-3 vote — handing a win to the White House and Texas Republicans ahead of next year’s midterm elections, despite a lower-court ruling that the map discriminates on the basis of race, POLITICO’s Josh Gerstein and Hassan Ali Kanu report. What comes next: The ruling comes with just days to go before a Dec. 8 filing deadline for candidates in the Lone Star State — a logistical crunch that the high court chided the lower court judges for disrupting. The justices also made note of Democratic redistricting efforts in California, “signaling that the justices may not be inclined to interfere with those efforts or similar drives in other states,” Josh and Hassan write. Florida, man: Florida’s Republican-controlled legislature is off to a rocky start with their own redistricting battle, POLITICO’s Gary Fineout reports from Tallahassee. “During a brief inaugural meeting, the state House Republican in charge of congressional redistricting insisted that any new map drawn by legislators will not be drawn in a way to help the GOP. This was met by guffaws of laughter from a committee room.” GOP Rep. Mike Redondo also presented a “potential timeline that would clash with the stated goals of both Gov. Ron DeSantis and state Senate President Ben Albritton,” Gary reports. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: The Democratic Governors Association will hold a governors-only session during its annual winter meeting on Saturday to officially vote on the new vice chair, where Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is widely expected to win the nomination, those familiar with the process tell Playbook. Whitmer would join Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, who will officially ascend to DGA chair on Saturday, in a key leadership post ahead of the midterms. THE MAINE LINE: Despite a string of controversies that have followed Graham Platner’s Maine Senate campaign since his launch, his bid to win the Democratic primary and a general election is far from over, Michael Kruse writes in a must-read profile of the “soldier turned oyster farmer turned senatorial hopeful turned Rorschach test of contemporary Democratic politics.” “What I think is that it’s worth thinking about Platner and his candidacy not in the context of the year since Trump won again — or even the near decade since he won at first — but rather in the context of the whole of the last quarter-century,” Michael writes. “Because in my mind there’s not to this point been a major candidate who is more uniquely a manifestation of the ineffable national frustration dating back to Sept. 11, 2001 — the failed wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Great Recession and its toxic wake, the unabated deterioration of social, cultural, political, even psychic existence for citizens in what used to be an envy of the world.” HAPPENING NEXT WEEK: POLITICO will convene key Virginia leaders in Richmond for dynamic conversations on the transition of power in the commonwealth and the future political stakes for Virginia residents at 5 p.m. on Tuesday, Dec. 9. Key speakers include Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger, Virginia Senate Republican Leader Ryan McDougle, and Virginia House Speaker Don Scott. The event will be in-person and streamed live, and participants can request to join here.
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| | | | BEST OF THE REST DRAMA IN ATLANTA: The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is meeting again today after the panel of advisors delayed a vote on whether to change guidance that every newborn receive the hepatitis B vaccine after members complained that they didn’t have enough time to review what they were voting on, POLITICO’s Sophie Gardner reports. Members sparred over last-minute wording changes that weren’t realized until the meeting began and a process that critics say has gone off the rails since the panel’s overhaul at HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s direction. THE TRUMP DOCTRINE: The Trump administration quietly released the Trump National Security Strategy, which provides a rare formal explanation of the president’s foreign policy worldview. The 33-page document “has some brutal words for Europe, suggesting it is in civilizational decline, and pays relatively little attention to the Middle East and Africa,” POLITICO’s Nahal Toosi reports. “It has an unusually heavy focus on the Western Hemisphere that it casts as largely about protecting the U.S. homeland.” Read the document COURT IN THE ACT: A federal grand jury yesterday rebuffed the Trump administration’s latest bid to indict New York AG Letitia James, POLITICO’s Kyle Cheney and colleagues report. “A grand jury in Virginia declined to indict James on Thursday — the latest black eye for the administration’s campaign to deliver the criminal cases President Donald Trump has demanded against his political adversaries. It’s the second time in recent weeks that the case against James, for allegedly falsifying mortgage paperwork related to property in the Norfolk, Va, area, has flamed out.” DOJ could still mount a third attempt to indict James. JUST VANCE: VP JD Vance downplayed concerns that some of his Republican colleagues — like Texas Sen. and potential 2028 rival Ted Cruz — about rising antisemitism on the right in an interview with NBC’s Henry Gomez, citing his conversations with young conservatives. “I don’t see some simmering antisemitism that’s exploding,” Vance told NBC. His favorite Dems: “Sipping from a cup of coffee while a fireplace crackled behind him, he also volunteered the names of three progressives he said he has come to appreciate, for various reasons: Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., and New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani.” Why them? “Most politicians, it’s a very low bar, but they don’t even listen to people. I would put Mamdani, Bernie and Ro Khanna in the category of those who, at least sometimes, they are,” Vance said. TOP TALKER: “Kash Patel ordered FBI detail to give girlfriend’s pal a lift home: sources,” by MS NOW’s Carol Leonnig and Ken Dilanian: “FBI Director Kash Patel has — on more than one occasion — ordered that the security detail protecting his girlfriend escort one of her allegedly inebriated friends home after a night of partying in Nashville, according to three people with knowledge of the incidents. Patel’s girlfriend, Alexis Wilkins, asked FBI agents on her security team at least two times, including once this spring, to drive her friend home, and agents objected to diverting from their assignment … But Patel insisted they do as Wilkins requested and in one case called the leader of Wilkins’ security detail and yelled at him to do so.” “News of the effort to deploy agents to provide security for a private citizen has spread through the bureau and beyond, as agents have grown increasingly concerned by Patel’s use of the bureau’s strapped resources, the people said. FBI spokesperson Ben Williamson did not answer questions about multiple inside accounts of Wilkins’ detail being diverted, but broadly denied such events took place. ‘This is made up and did not happen,’ Williamson said.” TRACKING RUSSIAN RECRUITMENT: “How Russia keeps raising an army to replace its dead,” by Ekaterina Bodyagyna and Ibrahim Naber for POLITICO: “Any Russian citizen can now work as a wartime recruiter, with many operating as freelance headhunters who earn commissions for delivering bodies to the front. … This labor defense market is being closely studied in Western capitals, where the continued growth of Russia’s army — despite having around 1 million soldiers killed or severely wounded since 2022 — has stunned intelligence services and vexed diplomats, who see the increase as crucial to understanding the country’s posture in peace negotiations and the possibility of future expansion into neighboring territory.” PENTAGON BILL PANIC: The House GOP “spent this week venting about Mike Johnson, questioning the speaker’s hold on his tenuous House majority. Next week, he has to prove he’s capable of governing,” POLITICO’s Meredith Lee Hill reports. “The annual Pentagon policy bill is due on the floor just in time to test Johnson’s ability to command and cajole his conference with must-pass legislation at stake. Already GOP leaders have had to delay release of bill text as they deal with a host of 11th-hour intraparty flare-ups that show just how hard it will be for the speaker to lead ahead of next year’s midterm elections.” More from Inside Congress FOR YOUR RADAR: Taylor Taranto, a man pardoned by Trump for his role in the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol returned to Washington in recent days and has been wandering the neighborhood of Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), prompting urgent pleas from police and prosecutors to jail him, Playbook’s own Rachel Umansky-Castro and Kyle Cheney report. U.S. District Judge Carl Nichols is still weighing a decision. THE WEEKEND AHEAD FRIDAY PROGRAMS … POLITICO “The Conversation”: U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer … Randi Weingarten. C-SPAN “Ceasefire”: Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) and Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) … T.W. Arrighi and Arshi Siddiqui. PBS “Washington Week”: Peter Baker, Susan Glasser and Nancy Youssef. SUNDAY SO FAR … NBC “Meet the Press”: Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) … Rep. Mike Turner (R-Ohio) … Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.). Panel: Adrienne Elrod, Sam Jacobs, Peggy Noonan and Susan Page. FOX “Fox News Sunday”: Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) … Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.) … Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) … Palmer Luckey. Panel: Jennifer Griffin, Karl Rove and Roger Zakheim. Sunday Special: Chris Williams. CBS “Face the Nation”: Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) … Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.) … Scott Gottlieb. ABC “This Week Sunday”: Rep. Adam Smith (D-Wash.) … Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.). Roundtable: Chris Christie, Donna Brazile and Sarah Isgur. Fox News “Sunday Morning Futures”: Sen. Dave McCormick (R-Pa.) … Jamie Dimon … Kevin McCarthy. CNN “State of the Union”: Sen. John Curtis (R-Utah). Panel: Rep. Jake Auchincloss (D-Mass.), Shermichael Singleton, Jamal Simmons and Kristin Davison. NewsNation “The Hill Sunday”: Rep. Gabe Amo (D-R.I.) … Chris Matthews. Panel: Molly Ball, Margaret Talev and Philip Wegmann.
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Explore our ongoing work. | | | | | | TALK OF THE TOWN | | EXTREME MAKEOVER: WHITE HOUSE EDITION — Trump has “replaced the architect he handpicked to design his White House ballroom,” WaPo’s Jonathan Edwards and Dan Diamond report, “ending the involvement of a boutique firm whose selection raised questions from the start about whether it had the capacity to complete the massive, high-profile endeavor.” Replacing James McCrery II is Shalom Baranes, who has worked on Washington projects such as “the main Treasury building near the White House, the Federal Reserve and the headquarters of the General Services Administration.” MEDIAWATCH — Maurice DuBois is leaving CBS and his post as anchor of “CBS Evening News” later this month, leaving the desk less than a year after he began co-anchoring the show with John Dickerson, who is also set to depart the network, leaving CBS’ flagship broadcast anchorless heading into the new year, POLITICO’s Cheyanne Daniels writes. PLAYBOOK SPORTS CENTER — ABC’s “Nightline” profiled the fan-led campaign to get Atlanta Braves legend Dale Murphy elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame this weekend. ABC’s Rick Klein showed off his Murphy memorabilia collection and talked about what it's like to not just cover a campaign, but also to be part of one on behalf of his childhood hero: “I’ve never been more nervous about an election in my life,” Klein said. The effort has drawn the attention of a long list of children of the ’80s, including some political players like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Utah Gov. Spencer Cox, Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp and Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.). (The Hall's Era Committee meets Sunday to vote on eight candidates for Cooperstown.) OUT AND ABOUT — POLITICO hosted an End of Year Party last night at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium. SPOTTED: Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Wis.), David Ross, Duncan Neasham, Mollie O’Dell, Leila Hay, Morgan Gress, Michael Parrish, Amber Lyons, James Roscoe, Scott Mulhauser, Sam Feist, Matt Gorman, Katie Lane, Wolf Blitzer, Sena Fitzmaurice, Melissa Schulman, Gary Nuzzi, Lisa Hanna, Sarah Hudson, Aaron Golds, Michael Moroney, Jay Driscoll, Karan Bhatia, Rachel Kleinhandler, Matthew Haller, Puru Trivedi, Robert Zirkelbach, Bradley Engle, Marie Baldassarre, Margaret Mulkerrin, Charles Cogar, Stacey Daniels, Mark Isakowitz, Chavonne Ludick, Jill Zuckman, Brian Walsh, Josh Dawsey and Rick Hohlt. — Fox News Media held a holiday bash last night at the Spy Museum, complete with igloos and snow angels on stilts. Suzanne Scott remarked on the success of the business and led a toast to the entire team. SPOTTED: Interior Secretary Doug Burgum, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Jeanine Pirro, FCC Chair Brendan Carr, FCC Commissioner Olivia Trusty, Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.), Jay Wallace, Kris Jones, Laura Ingraham, Shannon Bream, Trace Gallagher, Bryan Boughton, Doug Rohrbeck, Porter Berry, Jessica Loker, Tom Lowell, Griff Jenkins, Jacqui Heinrich, Peter Doocy, Bill Melugin, Aishah Hasnie, Kerri Urbahn, Mark Meredith, Ed Lawrence, Mike Emanuel, David Spunt, John Ashbrook, Josh Holmes, Michael Duncan and Comfortably Smug. — The Washington Reporter, the outlet launched by Garrett Ventry and Brian Colas, hosted a book party last night with the Electronic Payments Coalition for Sen. Tim Scott’s (R-S.C.) “One Nation Always Under God: Profiles in Christian Courage,” ($26.39) where Richard Hunt interviewed Scott. SPOTTED: Rep. Michael Kennedy (R-Utah), Nick Simpson, Claire Cuddy, Carl Holshouser, Matthew Foldi, Nathan Brand, Stephen DeMaura, Jonny Hiler, Helen Rhee, Drew Hudson, Daniel Eubanks, Zac Moffatt, Brett O’Donnell, Stephen Replogle, Joanna Rodriguez, Chris Russell, Seth Taube and Patrick McCann. — SPOTTED at the Consumer Brands Association’s National Consumer Transparency Week reception at District Winery last night: Ruth Ward, Mike DeFilippis, Jesse von Stein, Dan Ziegler, Courtney Watson, Kellie Adesina, Megan Garcia, Wendell Husebo, Carla Rynerson, Scott Breen, Melissa Hockstad, Rhonda Bentz and Sarah Gallo. — The International Dairy Foods Association hosted its annual “Celebration of Dairy” holiday reception at the Library of Congress on Wednesday night. SPOTTED: Reps. Jim Baird (R-Ind.), Jim Costa (D-Calif.), Glenn Grothman (R-Wis.), Doug LaMalfa (R-Calif.), Mark Messmer (R-Ind.), Dan Newhouse (R-Wash.), Glenn “G.T.” Thompson (R-Pa.) and Derrick Van Orden (R-Wis.), Kyle Diamantas, Luke Lindberg, Patrick Penn and Julie Callahan. HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. French Hill (R-Ark.) and Maxine Dexter (D-Ore.) … Axios’ Roy Schwartz … NYT’s Mike Grynbaum … Ari Drennen … former Reps. Ben McAdams (D-Utah) and Rodney Alexander (R-La.) … Financial Services Forum’s Amanda Eversole … POLITICO’s Liz Crampton and Ankush Khardori … Anthony Bedell … Jamie Rhoades of Quartus Strategies … Khorri Atkinson … MS NOW’s Rachel Van Dongen … Gray Johnson … Lisa Spies of the LS Group … Nicole Cunningham … Brai Valerio-Esene of SW4 Insights … Moira Mack Muntz … NBC’s Billy Koch … Calvin Trillin … Herald Group’s Caitlin Burns … Ruiyong Chen … Point 2 Strategies’ Blair Gladding … Veronica Winham … Justin Wein of Altana Technologies … Eli Miller … Jamie McCourt Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us on Signal here. Playbook couldn’t happen without our deputy editor Garrett Ross and Playbook Podcast producer Callan Tansill-Suddath.
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