| | | |  | | By Adam Wren | | Presented by |  | | | With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco, Irie Sentner and Makayla Gray On today’s Playbook Podcast: Adam and Alec Hernández discuss the start of the Olympics, Bad Bunny at the Super Bowl — and the Donald Trump-sized specter hanging over both.
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| Happy Friday. We made it. This is Adam Wren. Get in touch. WAITING FOR A CALL: The race to determine who’ll likely be the newest member of Congress is too close to call as of this morning. With just over 90 percent of the vote counted, progressive activist Analilia Mejia has a tight 486-vote lead over former Rep. Tom Malinowski in the Democratic primary for a New Jersey special election, with Tahesha Way and Brendan Gill trailing behind. The winner faces Republican Joe Hathaway in the district, which leans blue but isn’t a shoo-in. An extraordinary backfire? A Rep. Mejia would be a victory for progressives (she’s backed by Bernie and AOC). The question on everybody’s lips: Did the pro-Israel lobby accidentally just elect the next Squad star? AIPAC spent big, and late, to take down Malinowski, a pro-Israel human rights advocate who’d run afoul of them by expressing openness to conditioning aid to Israel. Mejia, by contrast, has accused Israel of genocide. AIPAC might have wanted to boost Way, but their ad deluge hammered Malinowski from the left on immigration — and Election Day votes skewed much more to Mejia than the pro-Malinowski early vote. Even if Malinowski pulls it out, AIPAC may have just made an enemy of a possible future House Foreign Affairs chair. FRIDAY LISTEN: Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado sat down with Playbook’s Dasha Burns for this week’s episode of “The Conversation,” where Machado discussed her view of current leadership in Venezuela, her relationship with Trump and much more. On allowing Delcy Rodríguez to remain in power: “I think that that was a reasonable approach. I think it’s not the only approach, but I do think it’s unsustainable because she’s a critical part of that regime. I mean, she’s part of the cartel. She’s one of the individuals that design the structure for bypassing sanctions. She’s the main liaison with Iran and Russia. … She is the one responsible for crimes against humanity, and nobody will trust her.” On Trump: “I found in President Trump someone truly concerned about the Venezuelan people and the wellbeing of our population. You know, I’ve heard many people say that the administration concern is exclusively in the business side, and I do not believe that's true. … I am very grateful to the president of the United States, because no other leader in the world previously have had, you know, the decision, the courage and the vision to understand what it required to dismantle this criminal structure for the wellbeing of the Venezuelan people.” Watch the full episode, with Brian Tyler Cohen … Listen and subscribe on Apple and Spotify In today’s Playbook … — Trump looms large over the biggest weekend on the sports calendar. — Witkoff and Kushner are in Oman to talk Iran. — How well is Josh Shapiro’s new book selling? We’ve got the answer.
|  | DRIVING THE DAY | | Donald Trump made the monoculture great again in the first year of his second term, attending a litany of mainstream events. But this weekend, he’s withholding his presence from two of the landmark entries on the sports and cultural calendar with the Winter Olympics set to begin in full today and the Super Bowl coming on Sunday. Not every president goes to the Olympic games or the Super Bowl, of course. Only former President George W. Bush has traveled abroad to witness the Olympics up close, when he went to Beijing for the summer games in 2008. And Trump became the first sitting president to attend the Super Bowl in New Orleans last year. But Trump’s absence from both major moments is notable, given how omnipresent he was among the cultural calendar last year. The opening ceremonies of the Milan Cortina Winter Olympics begin today around 2 p.m. Eastern. The U.S. delegation led by VP JD Vance and second lady Usha Vance — alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Ambassador to Italy Tilman Fertitta — is already on the ground. For Vance, it’s a rare opportunity to burnish two underutilized aspects of his potential presidential profile. The longtime critic of Europe’s leaders will get to play diplomat, and the interminably online vice poster will be seen in a more offline capacity.
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Rubio and Vance attend a women's ice hockey game in Milan, Italy, on Thursday. | Petr David Josek/AP Photo | Expect plenty of dissection of shots of Vance and Rubio together amid swirling 2028 speculation. There they were in the stands trading laughs just outside the city limits of Milan Thursday afternoon! Just some buds taking in the Team USA women’s hockey team’s 5-1 victory over Czechia. (“I have two people that are doing a great job. I don’t want to have an argument with, or I don’t want to use the word ‘fight’ — it wouldn’t be a fight,” Americans will hear Trump say in his Super Bowl halftime interview with NBC’s Tom Llamas when asked to pick his favorite GOP 2028er. “But look, JD is fantastic, and Marco is fantastic.”) Vance, often Trump’s intellectual translator and political amplifier, channeled some American exceptionalism in a far more conciliatory tone than his trademark pugnaciousness when speaking to athletes at the Team USA Welcome Experience in Milan this week. “The whole country — Democrat, Republican, independent — we’re all rooting for you and we’re cheering for you,” Vance told the athletes. What, we wondered, did Josh Turek, the two-time Paralympic gold medalist and Iowa Democratic state representative running for Senate, think of that statement from Vance? “He’s absolutely right,” Turek said. The country is in need of a “Miracle on Ice” moment, he said, invoking the improbable U.S. hockey victory over Russia in the 1980 Winter Olympics. Back then, Turek said, the victory “actually changed the energy and the environment in the country.” Indeed, one of the delegation’s objectives is to emphasize the “positive power of sports to foster cross-cultural understanding, peace, and unity,” according to a State Department memo viewed by Playbook. There are, of course, potential roadblocks to that destination, as POLITICO’s Gregory Svirnovskiy lays out. “The president’s repeated jabs at longtime partners, his inconsistent tariff policy and repeated plays for Greenland have shown just how much he’s shifted the traditional world order,” Greg writes. “The resulting international ‘rupture,’ as described by Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in Davos last month, has turned beating the Americans in Italy from a crowning sporting achievement to an even greater moral imperative for the president’s rivals.”
| | | | A message from AHIP: 35 Million Seniors Could See Reduced Benefits and Higher Costs. Health plans welcome reforms to strengthen Medicare Advantage. However, a proposal for flat program funding at a time of sharply rising medical costs and high utilization of care will directly impact seniors' coverage. If finalized, this proposal could result in benefit reductions and higher costs for 35 million seniors and people with disabilities when they renew their Medicare Advantage coverage in October 2026. Learn more. | | | | On Sunday, the nation will turn its eyes to the Super Bowl, where the angry maw of politics have rivened the halftime show this year. This rare sports monoculture split screen is colliding with a country that’s bitterly split over immigration in an already testy midterm year. Look no further than the “ICE OUT” pins that littered lapels and dresses at the Grammy Awards last weekend, along with some pointed speeches — most notably from Bad Bunny, who is set to headline the Super Bowl halftime show. The selection of Bad Bunny, the Puerto Rican star who achieved the pinnacle of critical acclaim at the Grammys, to perform had already roiled plenty of conservatives online when it was announced last year, but his comments at the Grammys stoked the flames. “Before I say thanks to God, I’m going to say ‘ICE out,’” he said on stage. Kid Rock is set to headline Turning Point USA's alternative halftime show as Bad Bunny takes the stage in Levi’s Stadium. “In February, most Americans are accustomed to a partisan event and an opposing response — except it is normally called the State of The Union speech and not the Super Bowl halftime show,” said Matthew Bartlett, a GOP strategist and State Department appointee in Trump’s first administration. At least one political candidate in a battleground state is glomming onto the alternative show as a cudgel: Michigan businessman Perry Johnson, the upstart Republican gubernatorial candidate, is running a pre-game Super Bowl ad “urging people to turn the channel on Bad Bunny,” referring to the artist as “Dust Bunny.” He said the global superstar as “a divisive sort of person, because of the fact that he tends to be very critical of the administration,” Johnson told us. He cited the Beach Boys — who played halftime in 1987 and a pre-game set in 1998 — as one of the last unifying Super Bowl performances he could recall. Trump has said the Super Bowl in Santa Clara, California, is too far away — not to mention the fact he doesn’t like Bad Bunny’s presence. “I’m anti-them,” he told the NY Post. “I think it’s a terrible choice. All it does is sow hatred. Terrible.” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said yesterday that Trump “would much prefer” to watch Turning Point USA’s show. “He is a barometer, right?” said David Urban, the former senior Trump adviser who has been at Trump's elbow during multiple Army-Navy football games. “He looks: ‘What do my guys like? What do the Trump supporters like?’” He no longer just wants to flood the zone, he wants to dominate: Trump’s presence at such cultural events is “dictated by how he thinks he will be received and whether he can effectively take the thing over and make it his,” texts in POLITICO’s Jonathan Martin. “It’s totally different from the old cliché stuff about being the first fan,” JMart tells us. “No, it’s about total control and domination. Everything in the country has to come through him or be shaped by him.” In recent weeks, there’s evidence of both that domination and a certain kind of revenge. Take IndyCar, for example. In 2011, Trump almost landed the role of driving the Indy 500 pace car. But Trump ultimately bowed out amid furor over his baseless birther remarks about former President Barack Obama, citing “time and business constraints.” Now? He gets his own “Freedom 250 Grand Prix” through the streets of Washington. “It’s just him always working the side of the culture that he feels like it’s a winner for him,” said Tim Ryan, the former Ohio Democratic congressman, presidential and Senate candidate who ran against Vance — not to mention former high school quarterback. “If it was Kid Rock, he’d be there, and he’d probably be up on the stage singing with him.”
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| | | | WAR AND PEACE HIGH-STAKES NEGOTIATIONS: Special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are in Oman today for talks with Iranian officials at a tense moment between the two countries. Arab allies are feeling cautiously optimistic that their efforts to lower the temperature have worked, POLITICO’s Eli Stokols and Daniella Cheslow report. Gulf officials warned the White House that Iran strikes would likely not fell the regime — but could spike oil prices and cause regional war. Now, they hope it’s a good sign that the U.S. swallowed Iran’s request for a venue change. ALSO READY TO TALK: As economic disaster grips Cuba, with worse likely on the way, President Miguel Díaz-Canel said he’s willing to have talks with the U.S. without pre-conditions, per the WSJ. But “to surrender isn’t an option,” he emphasized. “We are preparing ourselves in case we have to move to a state of war.” Meanwhile, Mexico is talking with U.S. officials to try to figure out a way to send fuel to Cuba amid Trump’s tariff threat, Reuters’ Diego Oré scooped. FROM RUSSIA, WITH LOVE: Witkoff and Kushner are arriving in Oman from talks with Ukraine and Russia in the UAE, which Witkoff called “detailed and productive.” The most tangible outcomes were a Russia-Ukraine prisoner swap and the reestablishment of senior communication between the U.S. and Russian militaries. Negotiations also included — but didn’t yet achieve — a plan for the U.S. and Russia to keep observing the now-expired New START nuclear treaty, Axios’ Barak Ravid and colleagues scooped. Trump announced that he wouldn’t officially extend the arms control pact but that he wanted to iron out a new one. THE EUROPE SQUEEZE: With much of the West rallying behind Greenland in the wake of Trump’s acquisition threats, Canada is opening a consulate on the Danish autonomous territory today in a show of significant solidarity, POLITICO’s Mike Blanchfield reports from Nuuk. (This was planned long before the recent diplomatic brouhaha, though.) AMERICAN EXPORTS: In the latest instance of the Trump administration placing ideological allies at the center of its diplomacy, the State Department plans to fund right-wing “think-tanks and charities across Europe to disseminate Washington’s policy positions and challenge perceived threats to free speech,” FT’s Anna Gross and colleagues scooped. LOST TO TIME: The CIA World Factbook abruptly closed down, killing what “was long considered an objective source” about data in every country “in an increasingly subjective information ecosystem,” NYT’s Rylee Kirk and Mark Walker report.
| | | | POLITICO Governors Summit Join POLITICO's annual Governors Summit, held alongside the National Governors Association’s Winter Meeting, for a series of forward-looking conversations with governors from across the country about how state leaders are setting the agenda for America’s next chapter. Hear from Gov. Wes Moore (D), Gov. Kevin Stitt (R), and more. Register Now. | | | | | IMMIGRATION FILES LAWYERING UP: Military lawyers have begun taking over prosecution duties in federal criminal cases stemming from the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown in Minnesota, POLITICO’s Josh Gerstein writes in. Judge Advocate General Corps attorneys signed on to replace civilian prosecutors in several cases Wednesday, as the beleaguered U.S. Attorney’s Office there struggles with a massive surge of criminal and immigration cases and the resignations of a slew of experienced lawyers. Last month, the Pentagon began seeking at least 25 JAGs for the Minnesota assignment, CNN reported. For now, the military lawyers are picking up many of the cases AG Pam Bondi announced last week against protesters accused of assaulting or impeding federal agents. Shifting the system: DOJ yesterday swore in 33 new immigration judges, most of them temporary ones from the military, to replace some of the many judges the administration fired, per Reuters. And today, the department will take another step to turbocharge Trump’s mass deportation agenda by severely limiting immigrants’ due process. The rules changes will make it very difficult for asylum-seekers and other immigrants to appeal their cases, allowing for fast-track automatic dismissals of such petitions. BRITTBOX: To understand just how distant a DHS funding deal appears, consider Sen. Katie Britt (R-Ala.). One of the GOP’s lead negotiators, she’s the subject of a lengthy NYT profile from Caroline Kitchener, which highlights her tearful anguish over the viral images of a 5-year-old boy detained by ICE in Minnesota. Yet even Britt slammed Dems’ demands as “ridiculous.” MORE NEWS YOU SHOULDN’T MISS: “Congress Nixes Visas for Afghan Partners, Closing Off a Key Path,” by NYT’s Megan Mineiro … “Second judge blocks IRS from sharing taxpayer information with ICE,” by POLITICO’s Danny Nguyen and Toby Eckert
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| | | | BEST OF THE REST EMPIRE STATE OF MIND: The massive Gateway tunnel project in New York and New Jersey is expected to halt construction today after the Trump administration froze its funding, Bloomberg’s Michelle Kaske reports. If the pause drags on, it could torpedo “one of the nation’s most ambitious infrastructure projects.” Remarkably, POLITICO’s Chris Marquette and colleagues report that Trump last month told Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer he’d relent on the freeze if Penn Station and Dulles Airport could be renamed for Trump. (Yes, POLITICO’s Jonathan Martin almost predicted this in December.) Schumer said no. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: Virginia Democrats, fresh off their proposed 10-1 new congressional map yesterday evening, are now dropping the first ad aimed at convincing voters to support a ballot referendum in the spring, POLITICO’s Brakkton Booker writes in. The party’s aligned group Virginians for Fair Elections starts the 30-second spot with an ominous warning of Trump’s “unprecedented power grab … to rig elections and redraw congressional maps,” as a narrator states. The spot describes the map as “a temporary, last-resort measure to restore fairness now.” Watch it here MODERATES STRIKE BACK: “Democrats Confront the Party’s Questionnaire-Industrial Complex,” by JMart: “Rohan Patel and Seth London, who oversee Majority Democrats … want their candidates to know they shouldn’t feel obliged to complete the often-expansive advocacy group forms. … [T]he liberal litmus tests are little-known by the broader voting public. That began to change, though, in 2024 when Kamala Harris was hammered by Republicans for saying she supported taxpayer-funded trans surgery for prisoners.” TERRIFYING STORY: A man was arrested and charged with attempted murder after going to OMB Director Russ Vought’s house with alleged plans to kill him, CBS’ Sarah Lynch scooped. Colin Demarco wore gloves and a surgical mask and had a note on his iCloud account titled “Body Disposal Guide,” authorities said. GABBARD IN THE GLARE: Trump’s campaign to prove his false claims of widespread voter fraud continues to train a spotlight on DNI Tulsi Gabbard. The president again changed his explanation for why she was present at a Georgia election office search by the FBI, now saying it was under Bondi’s orders. Reuters’ Phil Stewart and colleagues scooped that Gabbard’s office investigated Puerto Rico voting machines last year, trying to determine if Venezuela had hacked them. (ODNI says that wasn’t the reason.) “It appears there may be a coordinated effort to try to interfere in the ’26 midterms,” Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) said. Whistle stop: Senate Intelligence Chair Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) and House Intelligence Chair Rick Crawford (R-Ark.) rejected a whistleblower complaint against Gabbard, saying it seemed politically motivated, even as Dems raised questions, per the AP. The whistleblower’s reps responded that they’re willing to speak privately and address lawmakers’ concerns. THE WEEKEND AHEAD FRIDAY PROGRAMS … POLITICO “The Conversation”: María Corina Machado … Brian Tyler Cohen. C-SPAN “Ceasefire”: Chad Wolf and John Sandweg … Michael Allen and Daniel Baer. PBS “Washington Week”: Jonathan Lemire, Jonathan Karl and Michael Scherer. SUNDAY SO FAR … CNN “State of the Union”: Maryland Gov. Wes Moore … House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries. FOX “Fox News Sunday”: Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.) … Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) … Paul Mauro. Panel: Francesca Chambers, Tiffany Smiley, Juan Williams and Roger Zakheim. ABC “This Week”: Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.). Panel: Donna Brazile, Chris Christie, Sarah Isgur and Patrick McHenry. NewsNation “The Hill Sunday”: Michael Whatley. Panel: Megan McArdle, Franco Ordonez and Josh Barro. MS NOW “The Weekend”: Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D-N.M.) … Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.) … Lena Waithe … Eugene Robinson. PBS “Compass Points”: Angela Stent … Bill Taylor … Michael Kofman … Justin Logan.
| | | | New from POLITICO Introducing POLITICO Forecast: Tomorrow’s conversations about global power, tonight. Forecast brings forward-looking insight from POLITICO’s global newsroom, including coverage tied to major international gatherings, to help you understand where politics, policy and power are headed.
➡️ Subscribe Now | | | | | | | TALK OF THE TOWN | | FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Book club: Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro’s new book, “Where We Keep the Light” ($24), will debut at No. 3 on the NYT’s nonfiction bestseller list Sunday, according to an early version shared by a person familiar with Playbook. Shapiro is expected to make more stops along his book tour in the coming weeks. WAPO LEADERS UNDER FIRE — A day after his newspaper laid off hundreds of journalists, whom he did not address, WaPo publisher Will Lewis was in San Francisco for Super Bowl festivities — which came as a surprise to executive editor Matt Murray, per Puck’s Dylan Byers. Back in D.C., Post union members posted signs in Lewis’ neighborhood saying he was “wanted for destroying the Washington Post.” And Status’ Natalie Korach and Oliver Darcy report that Murray spiked a Post article about the mass layoffs. Murray has previously said the Post shouldn’t usually cover itself, and the newspaper’s leaders have defended this week’s cuts as painful but necessary steps to set the organization on a new course. FOR PLAYBOOKERS LOOKING FOR A HUSBAND — Casta’s Rum Bar is hosting a Bad Bunny look-alike contest tomorrow night ahead of the Super Bowl, as spotted by Axios’ Cuneyt Dil. OUT AND ABOUT — Puck hosted its first power breakfast of the year yesterday morning, with Leigh Ann Caldwell interviewing Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio) about cryptocurrency at the Riggs Hotel. “The whole reason to do market structure [legislation] is so that you don’t have a Gary Gensler 2.0,” Moreno said, “that basically decides, ‘I’m just going to crush the industry.’” SPOTTED: Seval Oz, Firas Ibrahim, Kristin Smith, Rachel Green Horn, Liz Gough, Michael Petricone, Nkechi Nneji, Matt Glassman, Heather Kulp, Felipe Millon, Amy Roberti, Helen Milby, Andrew Wills, Riley Kilburg, Katy Balls, Anita Kruczkowska-Lassak, Shannon Wilson, Ben Cantrell, Molly Edwards, Patrick Kirby, Jessica Martinez and Christina Wegelein. — The Economic Innovation Group hosted a reception yesterday at Sonoma Restaurant & Wine Bar to celebrate the launch of its new housing-focused policy platform. SPOTTED: John Lettieri, Jess Remington, Tina Lee, Sam Khater, Eli Lehrer, Emily Hamilton, Salim Furth, Tracy Loh, Layla Zaidane, Dylan Matthews, Olivia Barrow Strauss, Mike Kingsella, Madeleine Marr, Sam Bell, Lelaine Bigelow, Pat Cave, Jason Cross, Julia Decerega, Ella Fertitta, Louie Feagans, Walter Frick, Lawson Godwin, Makinizi Hoover, Peter Lawrence, Janet Li, Morgan Lonergan, Chad Maisel, Greg Nickerson, Ayrianne Parks, Tobias Peter, Arya Pindiprolu, Chris Slevin, Will Viederman, Carol Wayman, Max Ghenis and Shoshana Weissmann. WHITE HOUSE DEPARTURE LOUNGE — Sean Cooksey will be a managing director in BGR Group’s commerce and infrastructure practice, NBC’s Henry Gomez scooped. He most recently was counsel to VP JD Vance and is a former FEC chair. TRANSITIONS — Reese Adams McCranie is now campaign manager for Geoff Duncan’s Georgia gubernatorial bid. He previously worked at McKinsey and is a Biden White House and DHS alum. … The Center for American Progress is adding Luke Zahner and Chandrima Das as senior fellows in its national security and international policy department. Zahner previously worked for the president’s special representative for Ukraine’s economic recovery. Das previously worked at the NSC. … Nathan Swinton is now associate general counsel and director for regulatory strategy at Cloudflare. He most recently worked at the Commerce Department. WEEKEND WEDDING — Rachel Stutler, an account executive at Athos, and Alexander Frei, a policy adviser at the Labor Department, got married Saturday at Marywood Retreat Center outside of Jacksonville, Florida. They are college sweethearts, meeting at the University of South Florida in 2019. Pic … Another pic … SPOTTED: Cassie Edwards, Keenen Vernon, Gabrielle Wiggins and Chris Smith. WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Vivek Ramaswamy and Apoorva Ramaswamy welcomed daughter Savithri yesterday. Instapic HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-N.J.), Brendan Boyle (D-Pa.) and Luz Rivas (D-Calif.) … Jerry Seib … Fox News’ Kevin Corke … The Atlantic’s Jenna Johnson … GMMB’s Annie Burns … Tiffany Cross … Fernando Suarez … Daniel Wessel … Evan Wessel … Chris Slevin … Amanda Miller … Tommy Brown … Claire Standaert … Todd Abrajano … POLITICO’s Alina Strileckis, Jared Linder, Collins Chinyanta and Erin Schumaker … Cara Castronuova … Malcom Glenn … Rebecca Cooper … Democracy for the Arab World Now’s Raed Jarrar … Grant Carlisle … Ken Lisaius … U.S. Travel Association’s Tori Barnes … Tom Brokaw … Sarah Wood … Greenberg Traurig’s Fred Karlinsky … The Daily Beast’s Lloyd Grove … Martin Pengelly … John Assini of Hartley Blunt Strategies … John Fawkes of the American Cleaning Institute … Jane Vickers of House Energy and Commerce … Mike Schmuhl … Zachary Mitchiner … Missayr Boker … Julie Williams Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us on Signal here. Playbook couldn’t happen without our deputy editor Garrett Ross. Corrections: Yesterday’s Playbook misspelled Lauren Kapp’s and Arlie Shugaar’s names. Due to a transcription error, it also inaccurately described Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado’s explanation of manual voting.
| | | | A message from AHIP: 35 Million Seniors Could See Reduced Benefits and Higher Costs
Health plans welcome reforms to strengthen Medicare Advantage. However, a proposal for flat program funding at a time of sharply rising medical costs and high utilization of care will directly impact seniors' coverage. If finalized, this proposal could result in benefit reductions and higher costs for 35 million seniors and people with disabilities when they renew their Medicare Advantage coverage in October 2026. Learn more. | | | | | | | | Follow us on X | | | | Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family Playbook | Playbook PM | California Playbook | Florida Playbook | Illinois Playbook | Massachusetts Playbook | New Jersey Playbook | New York Playbook | Canada Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook View all our political and policy newsletters | | Follow us | | | |
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