Democrats are itching to land the deal to reopen DHS in the House that mirrors one they pitched well over a month and a half ago. Another record-breaking shutdown later, Democrats say their party is finding their edge, and the potential to electrify their base ahead of a critical midterms season. But the fight is just getting started — and some Democrats believe there’s a lesson to be learned about this second shutdown go around. “Democrats can beat Republicans, even from the minority, if we stand strong and hold together,” Rep. Greg Casar (D-Texas) told Playbook in an interview. “To me, this is a vindication of the stand and fight wing of the Democratic Party.” The party firmly in the wilderness has shifted over the past year from conventional wisdom that using shutdowns as a political tool was irresponsible or politically toxic — a “politics of idiocy,” as Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer once called it. The 119th Congress has seen two record-shattering lapses in government funding that doubled as lanes for Democrats to hone key portions of their resistance to the Trump administration and midterm messaging. Public perception of who’s to blame, Democrats argue, has also trended in their favor. With Dems locked out of power, multiple polls — including the latest CNN survey earlier this week — show Republicans shouldering more of the impact. The shutdown has divided the GOP over how to proceed, with many House Republicans up in arms over being forced to back the Senate deal that Speaker Mike Johnson lambasted not two weeks ago. The result has been praise from parts of the Democratic base, with progressive grassroots group MoveOn’s Joel Payne telling Playbook that people have been “pleasantly surprised and encouraged.” “I don't think anyone's taking any victory laps about what's going to end up happening here,” Payne said, but voters are “encouraged and very much happy that Democrats are starting to show a collective degree of fight.” Democratic lawmakers who spoke with Playbook all said they don’t like or want shutdowns, pointing to the irreversible damage to government workers and systems. But none chose to rule them out as a future tactic. “Health care was not a top issue in the country, but by Republicans coming for health care and Democrats standing and fighting through appropriations, we made health care a top issue,” Casar, who leads the Congressional Progressive Caucus, told Playbook. “Just a few months ago, people said that Democrats were on the back foot on the issue of immigration, but by taking a stand and fighting for ICE reform in this budget process, now Trump's numbers on immigration are way upside down.” And the push to hold the line is resonating across wings of the party, two shutdowns later. “Democrats want to see us fight, and this was a fight worth having,” Rep. Marilyn Strickland (D-Wash.), whip for the moderate New Democrat Coalition, told Playbook. “I mean again, sadly, four weeks, no pay. But at the end of the day, what do people want? They wanted us to try to get ICE under control.” There’s still intraparty grumbling over what comes next. Swing seat Democrats in particular have raised concerns about what happens if these reforms never actually get done. Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.) told Playbook the party is in “better shape” politically, but the lack of compromise is frustrating. “We just spent so much time pointing fingers,” he said. “I'll vote for this thing because I want to get the government open, but it still doesn't reform ICE.” Reopening DHS without enforcement funding was only a solution for getting workers paid, Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.), the top Dem appropriator in the House, told Playbook in an interview. “That was for the first conversation, because it's going to take a while to get [reforms], as we have seen, and we shouldn't keep people economically insecure.” So the bigger fight for Dems lies in the weeks ahead. “There's still part two of this,” Strickland told Playbook. Republican lawmakers in both chambers are looking at three years of potential funding for immigration enforcement via reconciliation, with some saying they won’t vote for the Senate deal until that reconciliation process starts. And the chance for reforms once that kicks off are close to zero. “There’s no way it happens,” one GOP operative told Playbook. RNC spokesperson Delanie Bomar told Playbook “anyone who celebrates [the shutdown] as a success is showing their true colors.” Once the reconciliation saga is over, Congress will roll right back into appropriations season for FY2027 — with a deadline landing a month before midterm elections. DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.), in an interview with Playbook, also declined to rule out a shutdown later this year. “The only way we can get policy across the finish line is if it's bipartisan,” she said, adding that Republicans are “uninterested in doing anything that is bipartisan right now, especially in the House.” But for now, as the party primes for its biggest fight at the ballot box, multiple Democrats told your author they’re pushing the party to double down. “I've been critical of Senate Democrats failing to fight in the past,” Casar said. “I think that we're all going to learn the right lesson.” Happy Friday afternoon — and Good Friday to all those observing Easter weekend. This is Ali Bianco and Makayla Gray. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Send us your thoughts at abianco@politico.com and mgray@politico.com.
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