1. MORE BITES FROM A BUSY HILL DAY: Kevin Warsh held firm that he’d be “strictly independent” from the president if confirmed as Fed chair, at times clashing with skeptical Senate Banking Democrats who worried that he’d be a “sock puppet.” Warsh declared that Trump had never asked him to commit to any approach on interest rates — and that he wouldn’t comply — even though Trump continued to add public pressure as recently as today. More from POLITICO’s Sam Sutton The Tillis problem: As expected, Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) made clear that the Justice Department must end its “bogus” criminal probe of Fed Chair Jerome Powell before he’ll let Warsh (whom he supports) move forward. Good luck with that: CNBC’s Joe Kernen repeatedly tried to ask Trump in an interview this morning why he won’t just drop the investigation, which would pave the way for Warsh — and the president refused to bite or let it go. Ethics and expulsions: Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) appears to be in serious danger of getting booted from the House, Axios’ Andrew Solender reports. Many Democrats say they’re ready to join with Republicans to expel her if the House Ethics Committee recommends it. The panel meets at 2 p.m. … Separately, Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) preemptively met with his chamber’s ethics committee staff on Friday in the wake of Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) alleging he committed sexual misconduct with someone else, which Gallego denies, Axios’ Kate Santaliz scooped. Reconcilable differences: Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) took the first big step toward Republicans’ reconciliation plans to fund immigration enforcement, per POLITICO’s Jordain Carney. The budget resolution he released gives Senate Judiciary and Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs each a maximum of $70 billion, though the hope is to keep the total package at roughly $70 billion. Next up for this blueprint: a procedural vote, vote-a-rama and then it’s over to the House, where House Appropriations Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) told POLITICO’s Mia McCarthy they want to move quickly, as early as next week. The crunch: With DHS still partially shut down, Secretary Markwayne Mullin warned on Fox News today that they’ll stop being able to make payroll in early May. Spy games: Speaker Mike Johnson today floated the prospect of getting bipartisan support for a deal to extend Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act for three years, with reforms, per POLITICO’s Meredith Lee Hill and Riley Rogerson. But House Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.) warned that Republicans need to talk with Democrats or “it’s going to be hard to find bipartisan consensus.” 2. WAR AND PEACE: As the clock ticks to tomorrow’s expiration of the two-week Iran war ceasefire, Trump continues to send mixed signals about how an extension could play out. In the CNBC interview, he said the U.S. and Iran were “going to end up with a great deal.” But Trump also said that “I expect to be bombing because I think that’s a better attitude to go in with,” and he posted on Truth Social, “Iran has Violated the Cease Fire numerous times!” The big question now is whether VP JD Vance and Iranian negotiators will travel to Pakistan for last-minute talks. Vance’s trip for the moment has been paused because “Tehran failed to respond to American negotiating positions,” NYT’s Jonathan Swan and Maggie Haberman report. From the Pentagon: The U.S. military has halted and boarded an Iranian oil tanker in the Indian Ocean, the Pentagon announced, per the AP. The department also unveiled new details for Trump’s $1.5 trillion defense budget request today, including a special pot it’s calling “presidential priorities,” covering Golden Dome missile defense, drones, AI and more, Reuters’ Mike Stone reports. The economic fallout: Stock markets fell today amid a rise in oil prices, as Wall Street waited to see what’s next in the Middle East, CNBC reports. Many Americans’ feelings about Trump are negative as well, the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows. His approval rating — 36 percent — remains stuck at the lowest of his term, as Americans raised concerns about his “temperament” amid the war and his feud with Pope Leo XIV, Jason Lange writes. More from the CNBC interview: Anthropic is “very smart” and “shaping up” following the company’s talks with the White House last week, and “it’s possible” there could be a deal allowing Anthropic’s AI models to be used within the DOD, Trump said. … He said he’ll favorably remember companies that don’t apply for tariff refunds. … And he suggested the government assist Spirit Airlines as the company stares down potential liquidation. 3. WEAPONIZATION WATCH: “Inside Todd Blanche’s audition for attorney general,” by CNN’s Paula Reid and Casey Gannon: “Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche traveled to Florida on Monday where he met with a new prosecutor tapped to handle one of the most important cases to President Donald Trump — the investigation into former CIA director and Trump critic John Brennan. … Trump has commended Blanche’s work as acting attorney general so far, and, according to current and former administration officials who spoke to CNN, the job appears to be his to lose.” 4. CIVIL RIGHTS SHAKEUP: The Southern Poverty Law Center announced that the Justice Department is probing the civil rights group, potentially teeing up criminal action against the SPLC or employees, AP’s Collin Binkley and Alanna Durkin Richer scooped. That would be a significant escalation against an organization that has often come under fire from the right. The SPLC claimed that the investigation may center on its “prior use of paid confidential informants to gather credible intelligence on extremely violent groups.” DOJ had no immediate comment. 5. HEADS UP: The two Americans killed in a car accident in northern Mexico on Sunday as they were returning from a counternarcotics operation were working for the CIA, WaPo’s Warren Strobel and Ellen Nakashima scooped. The crash also killed two Mexican officials and led Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum to say she would investigate if the operation violated the country’s laws. The CIA declined to comment. 6. WHAT’S IN A NAME: In an effort to appeal to Trump, some Ukrainian negotiators have proposed naming a contested portion of the country’s Donbas region “Donnyland,” NYT’s Anton Troianovski and Andrew Kramer report. The Disneyland allusion being applied to a “depopulated, decimated swath of Ukrainian coal-and-steel country could appear jarring as Europe’s deadliest fighting since World War II continues to rage. But it also reflects a global reality in which governments appeal to Mr. Trump’s vanity in order to get American might on their side.” 7. BATTLE FOR THE BALLOT: The American Civil Liberties Union, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington and the Protect Democracy Project are suing the Trump administration in federal court over its efforts to obtain states’ voter rolls, Reuters’ Luc Cohen reports. The groups accuse Trump officials of trying to prepare for “voter purging” that could hit eligible voters. 8. MOVING MONTANA: “Big Sky Crack-Up,” by The Atlantic’s Michael Scherer: “Montana Democrats thought they found a novel way to win control of the U.S. Senate — until the party faithful started fighting back. … Because [Seth] Bodnar is running as an independent, it means part of his campaign in Montana is based on criticizing Democrats whose voters he needs to support him. Even the candidates running for the Democratic nomination have been drawn into the drama. They, too, are criticizing their own party leaders just weeks before the June 2 primary and seeking to make sure that party bigwigs don’t try to clear a path for Bodnar.”
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