The incredible shrinking GOP majority

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Nov 11, 2022 View in browser
 
POLITICO Playbook

By Rachael Bade , Ryan Lizza and Eugene Daniels

Presented by

American Petroleum Institute

With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy attends a news conference.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy attends a news conference on Feb. 13, 2019. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

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DRIVING THE DAY

MORE RACES CALLED — Democrat TINA KOTEK was elected governor of Oregon , defeating Republican CHRISTINE DRAZAN and Democrat-turned-independent BETSY JOHNSON. … ELI CRANE beat Democratic incumbent TOM O'HALLERAN in Arizona's 2nd district … California Republican Rep. YOUNG KIM holds on in Orange County. … Democratic Rep. KIM SCHRIER reelected in Washington's 8th. … More election results

NEW PROJECTION ON HOUSE MAJORITY — The sun has now risen three times since GOP Leader KEVIN McCARTHY assured Americans that they would wake up to a House Republican majority. Yet we still don't know who won either chamber of Congress — and each day, the sun has set with the projected number of Republican seats dimming.

This morning, our colleague Steve Shephard even points out that while it may be unlikely, Democrats still actually have a very narrow path to holding the majority. There are a bunch of uncalled races where the results are expected to go one way or the other. But it all comes down to about 11 true toss-ups where forecasters really aren't sure what will happen — and of those, Dems would need to win nine to maintain power.

Given that narrow path, Republicans are "still favored to take a narrow House majority," Steve notes. But even in a best-case scenario, the GOP is looking at a mere 226 seats. A chaotic scenario where their majority consists of just a handful of seats is even more likely.

It could be a while until we have answers:

  • In Arizona: Officials in Maricopa County "initially estimated they would complete the vote tally by Friday. Now, they say, they will be counting through the weekend," writes the Arizona Republic's Robert Anglen . "About 570,000 ballots statewide remained to be counted Thursday night."
  • In Nevada: AP's Ken Ritter writes that Vegas elections leaders say they're counting votes "as quickly as we can," but still have 50,000 ballots outstanding in critical Clark County.
  • In Colorado: The Denver Post's Conrad Swanson looks at the possibility of a recount in the unexpectedly close race between Republican Rep. LAUREN BOEBERT and Democrat ADAM FRISCH. "If neither candidate gains a wide enough margin, election officials might not declare an official winner in the race for weeks, depending on how the process plays out," Swanson writes. "Not only would a slim margin of victory trigger an automatic recount but either candidate can also request a recount so long as they're willing to pay for it. The process could then extend into December."
  • In California: There are an estimated 4,829,879 unprocessed ballots remaining to be counted, according to the latest numbers from the California secretary of state's office.

The lack of clarity about the final outcome hasn't kept House Republicans from declaring victory. Yesterday, as he continued to work the phones to lock down support for the speakership, McCarthy made two moves aimed at projecting confidence about a GOP takeover: (1) creating transition teams dedicated to implementing Republicans' policy agenda while providing oversight of the Biden administration, and (2) demanding that the Capitol reopen to the public after more than 900 days of closures due to Covid restrictions.

McCarthy defended his drape-measuring maneuvers ahead of an official call for House control in a Fox News appearance last night. None other than President JOE BIDEN, he said, had congratulated him on winning a majority: "So for anyone who thinks we didn't win the majority, Joe at least believes we did as well."

Leaving the White House last night, Biden told CNN's Jeremy Diamond his kudos were merely conditional : "I said, 'If you win the majority, congratulations. But congratulations so far, you've made some gains."

LAME DUCK IN LIMBO — Lawmakers have until Dec. 16 to agree on a new deal to fund the government, and their postures in that fight could vary drastically depending on who's in control next year, our colleagues Burgess Everett and Sarah Ferris write .

If Republicans flip both chambers, they'll likely want to hold out on a long-term funding deal so they can make their mark on government priorities come 2023. But if they don't, they might be more willing to strike a pre-holidays deal that kicks the next funding fight until late 2023.

The results will also influence how Democrats spend their remaining weeks in power of both chambers. "If Democrats hold the Senate, they may focus more on legislation while they're still assured power in the House," the pair write. "But if Senate Democrats are worried about losing control of their chamber, they are likely to pivot to confirming as many of President Joe Biden's nominees as possible."

MARK YOUR CALENDARS — On Thursday, DONALD TRUMP's team revealed that the former president's Mar-a-Lago announcement — widely expected to be the unveiling of his 2024 presidential campaign — will take place on Tuesday, Nov. 15, at 9 p.m.

WHAT REPUBLICANS ARE GOSSIPING ABOUT — All week, many of Trump's closest former advisers and aides — even those who stuck by his side after Jan. 6 — have pleaded with him to pump the brakes on a 2024 announcement. They fear his launch could hurt Republicans in the looming Georgia Senate runoff.

On Thursday, former New Jersey Gov. CHRIS CHRISTIE even offered this zinger to the AP : "We lost in '18. We lost in '20. We lost in '21 in Georgia. And now in '22 we're going to net-lose governorships, we're not going to pick up the number of seats in the House that we thought and we may not win the Senate despite a president who has a 40% job approval," Christie said. "There's only one person to blame for that, and that's Donald Trump."

Republicans in battleground states where the GOP lost big have already begun pointing fingers at Trump:

 

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On the other end of the spectrum, there's Rep. ELISE STEFANIK.

Last night, the New York Republican became the first member of GOP leadership to formally endorse Trump's 2024 campaign — even though it hasn't yet been announced. The move, which came in the form of a fawning statement in Breitbart , caught some Republicans off guard — especially those who'd prefer that Trump just fade away into the background — and we've received more than a few texts musing about the motivations behind it.

Stefanik, the congressional darling of MAGA World, is currently running for the No. 4 House leadership post. But many believe her ambitions go well beyond that. With McCarthy staring down a possibly difficult path to the speakership, some Hill GOP sources wonder if she's eyeing the gavel — though others say that's unlikely given that the job looks like it will be as thankless as it is grueling, given the slim margin of the expected House majority. Worth noting: Publicly, she is fully behind McCarthy for the post.

Others speculate that her endorsement is more of a long-term play. Many see Stefanik as a future candidate for New York governor — or even a potential 2024 running mate for Trump, who endorsed her bid for conference chair just a few days ago. And the former president, who values loyalty to him above all else, is likely to remember her coming to his defense in such a rough week.

Questions we have: Could this create a new litmus test for would-be House Republican leaders? Will people like McCarthy feel they need to endorse Trump now as well? 

Further reading: "Trump plows forward, GOP critics be damned," by Meridith McGraw: "Trump spent Thursday at rain soaked Mar-a-Lago fuming about the midterm election results and what he and his advisers saw as an unfair blame for the lack of a red wave. Aides took note of who they believed had crossed them in the election's aftermath …. It wasn't just so-called establishment Republicans on their list, but also old advisers, new members of Congress, commentators on Fox News, and even his favorite hometown paper, the New York Post, that ran a front page headline painting him as 'Trumpty Dumpty.'"

 

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Good Friday morning, and Happy Veterans Day. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade , Eugene Daniels , Ryan Lizza .

WHEELS UP — "Biden off to climate talks, 1st leg of around-the-world trip," AP's Zeke Miller and Seung Min Kim

RICK SCOTT'S ABORTED COUP — When we reported in February that Trump was trying to convince NRSC Chair RICK SCOTT (R-Fla.) to run against MITCH McCONNELL for minority leader, many longtime Senate watchers scoffed. After all, Trump may loom large as kingmaker for Republican primary voters, but in the more genteel realm of the Senate, McConnell runs the show. No one thought any would-be McConnell challenger would have a prayer of earning more than a handful of votes, at most.

Last night, POLITICO's newest star hire Jonathan Martin uncovered an eye-popping twist in the roller coaster of the Scott-McConnell feud: Scott, he scoops, was prepared to actually follow through on Trump's suggestion — and even cut a video set to be released after the midterms in which he announced that he'd challenge McConnell for the top leadership spot.

What changed? You guessed it: The GOP's lackluster election night performance, which halted any momentum for Scott, who as NRSC chair, helmed the party's efforts to retake the Senate.

More from JMart: "[W]ord had reached some prominent conservatives outside the Senate and a handful of GOP senators had gotten wind of his plan and started calculating just how many votes his longshot campaign could accrue at the leadership vote next week in the Capitol.

"He would have been virtually certain to lose. But Scott's challenge was not so much aimed at unseating the longtime Senate Republican leader as it was channeling the anger of grassroots conservatives, and the former president, who were peeved at McConnell's criticism of the 'candidate quality' of this year's roster of Senate GOP candidates."

The story also includes this knifer from longtime McConnell political adviser JOSH HOLMES : "If this is true, most of our voters will be very disappointed to learn that while they were focused on winning elections, their campaign chairman was plotting an ill-fated career advancement." Ouch.

PLAYBOOK DEEP DIVE: GREG LANDSMAN — Why were Democrats seemingly able to defy history and avoid a catastrophic result in the midterms? On this week's episode of Playbook Deep Dive, Rachael talked to her fellow Ohioan Greg Landsman, a Democrat who on Tuesday ousted 13-term incumbent Republican Rep. STEVE CHABOT in Ohio's 1st District. Listen here … And be sure to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Spotify

BIDEN'S FRIDAY (all times Eastern):

8:20 a.m.: The president will arrive in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.

8:55 a.m.: Biden will hold a bilateral meeting with Egyptian President ABDEL FATTAH EL-SISI.

10:15 a.m.: Biden will deliver remarks at the COP27.

11:20 a.m.: Biden will depart Sharm El-Sheikh en route to Phnom Penh, Cambodia.

Press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE and national security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN will gaggle aboard Air Force One en route to Phnom Penh.

VP KAMALA HARRIS' FRIDAY:

9 a.m.: The VP and second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF will attend the Veterans Day breakfast at the White House hosted by first lady JILL BIDEN.

11 a.m.: Harris, Emhoff and the first lady will attend a wreath laying service at Arlington National Cemetery for the National Veterans Day Observance.

11:15 a.m.: Harris will deliver remarks at the National Veterans Day Observance.

 

NEW AND IMPROVED POLITICO APP: Stay up to speed with the newly updated POLITICO mobile app, featuring timely political news, insights and analysis from the best journalists in the business. With a fresh look and improved features, the sleek and navigable design offers a convenient way to access POLITICO's scoops and groundbreaking reporting. Don't miss out on the app you can rely on for the news you need, reimagined. Already a POLITICO app user? Upgrade today! DOWNLOAD FOR iOS  – DOWNLOAD FOR ANDROID .

 
 

PHOTO OF THE DAY

Kamala Harris is pictured laughing while standing at a podium, while Joe Biden, Jill Biden, and Doug Emhoff acknowledge cheering supporters.

(Left to right) VP Kamala Harris, President Joe Biden, first lady Jill Biden and second gentleman Doug Emhoff take part in a Democratic National Committee rally at the Howard Theatre in Washington, D.C. on Nov. 10, 2022. | Francis Chung/E&E News/POLITICO

PLAYBOOK READS

MORE MIDTERMS FALLOUT

SPM LETS IT RIP ON AOC — Ousted Rep. SEAN PATRICK MALONEY (D-N.Y.) spoke to NYT's Nicholas Fandos for a candid conversation on his defeat. It's an interesting perspective, but the most eye-popping quote came when the DCCC chair was asked about Rep. ALEXANDRIA OCASIO-CORTEZ (D-N.Y.), with whom he has lightly sparred before.

Here's what Maloney said: "The last time I ran into A.O.C., we were beating her endorsed candidate two to one in a primary, and I didn't see her one minute of these midterms helping our House majority. So, I'm not sure what kind of advice she has, but I'm sure she'll be generous with it.

"But let's be clear, she had almost nothing to do with what turned out to be an historic defense of our majority. Didn't pay a dollar of dues. Didn't do anything for our frontline candidates except give them money when they didn't want it from her.

"There are other voices who should be heard, especially when suburban voters have clearly rejected the ideas that she's most associated with, from defunding the police on down. She's an important voice in our politics. But when it comes to passing our agenda through the Congress, or standing our ground on the political battlefield, she was nowhere to be found."

— AOC clapped back in a multi-post Twitter thread , which ended with this: "Lastly, many moderate dems + leaders made it very clear that our help was not welcome nor wanted. Despite our many, many offers. Yet [we] found ways to try to help from afar. So for them to blame us for respecting their approach in their districts is laughable. Take some ownership."

GEORGIA ON MY MIND — "McConnell turns to Brian Kemp to help save Herschel Walker in Georgia runoff," by Alex Isenstadt: "[Georgia Gov. BRIAN] KEMP is loaning his get-out-the-vote machine to the Senate GOP's voter turnout efforts, giving the party entrée to a political team that is increasingly viewed as one of the GOP's most formidable state operations. … Under an agreement that was finalized Thursday, Kemp will transfer his door-knocking, data analytics, phone-banking and micro-targeting program to the Senate Leadership Fund, the McConnell-aligned super PAC that is bolstering [ HERSCHEL] WALKER. The super PAC will provide the funding for the $2 million-plus effort, which will be run by Kemp's senior advisers and staffed by more than 100 field workers."

— "Dueling rallies mark launch of Georgia's runoff," by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Tia Mitchell and Shannon McCaffrey: "[Sen. RAPHAEL] WARNOCK appeared in the afternoon with about 200 people at the iconic mural of deceased U.S. Rep. JOHN LEWIS in downtown Atlanta. Warnock, who had been reluctant early on in the campaign to attack his GOP rival, had no such reservations Tuesday. … Later in the day, Walker headlined a rally in Canton that felt like a pep rally. An exuberant crowd of hundreds packed into a tent to hear Walker, who evoked his years playing football."

HOW DEMS HELD ON — Kathy Gilsinan profiles Rep. ELISSA SLOTKIN for POLITICO Magazine in East Lansing, Mich.: "The One Race That Shows How Democrats Beat the Red Wave" : "The Michigan Democrat had been targeted by the GOP, but she beat them by stealing away some of their own weary voters."

THE DEM POST-MORTEMS — "Eager to Grab National Spotlight, Abrams Falls Again on Georgia Stage," by NYT's Maya King and Reid Epstein in Atlanta: "How does a politician who a few years ago was described as a once-in-a-generation star, and has become a record-breaking fund-raiser and liberal darling, keep coming up short in her home state?"

— "Wisconsin Democrats lost a battleground House seat. They're pointing fingers at the national party," by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Lawrence Andrea

— "Depressed Democrats, but not Hochul, point fingers at New York party chair," by Anna Gronewold

HOW IT PLAYED — "School culture war campaigns fall flat in some tight races," by WaPo's Laura Meckler and Anne Branigin

TOP-ED — Sen. MITT ROMNEY (R-Utah) writes for WSJ: "Midterms Bring Republicans to a Fork in the Road"

MUSK READS

BEHIND THE SCENES — "Inside the Twitter meltdown," by Platformer's Casey Newton and Zoë Schiffer: "Just after lunchtime on the West Coast, [ELON] MUSK held an unannounced all-hands meeting with staff — his first as CEO. Musk had given employees just one hour's notice; he arrived 15 minutes late. Over the next hour Musk shared more bad news with the company. Depending on the length and severity of the recession, he said, the company could lose several billion dollars next year. He would not speculate how much runway Twitter had left. 'Bankruptcy isn't out of the question,' he said."

POLICY CORNER

THE LOAN LITIGATION — "Federal judge in Texas strikes down Biden's student loan forgiveness plan," by WaPo's Danielle Douglas-Gabriel: "U.S. District Judge MARK T. PITTMAN, who was appointed by Donald Trump, declared the policy unlawful in the Thursday order."

2024 WATCH

THE MASTER VS. THE APPRENTICE — Trump and Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS appear to be on a collision course for a 2024 presidential matchup — and the former president accelerated the feud on Thursday. Trump released a lengthy statement tearing into DeSantis (whom he again referred to as "Ron DeSanctimonious"), essentially saying that he was the reason for the Florida governor's success and criticizing DeSantis for not announcing his presidential ambitions. Trump also tore into RUPERT MURDOCH's media empire. Here's some highlights:

  • On DeSantis and 2024: "The Fake News asks him if he's going to run if President Trump runs, and he says, 'I'm only focused on the governor's race, I'm not looking into the future. Well, in terms of loyalty and class, that's really not the right answer."
  • On Murdoch: "NewsCorp, which is Fox, the Wall Street Journal, and the no longer great New York Post, is all in for Governor Ron DeSanctimonious."
  • A bizarre claim: "When votes were being stolen by the corrupt Election process in Broward County, and Ron was going down ten thousand votes a day, along with now-Senator Rick Scott, I sent in the FBI and the U.S. Attorneys, and the ballot theft immediately ended, just prior to them running out of the votes necessary to win. I stopped his Election from being stolen."

"There are mixed responses to Trump's escalation, according to a dozen people in Trump and DeSantis' orbit," our colleague Matt Dixon reports . "But even those who support the former president say the public criticism of a popular governor coming off a historic win seemed misguided."

— "Republicans control Florida. DeSantis will use them to build his 2024 resume," by Gary Fineout in Tallahassee: "DeSantis will now be able to turn to state lawmakers to give him legislative and policy victories that he can use in a highly competitive Republican primary against Trump if both men run for president in 2024."

— Speaking of 2024 challengers … @mikepompeo tweets : "Conservatives are elected when we deliver. Not when we just rail on social media. That's how we can win. We fight for families and a strong America."

 

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TRUMP CARDS

OH, DEARIE — "Trump team urges court to leave Mar-a-Lago arbiter in place," by AP's Eric Tucker

FOR YOUR RADAR — "Judge slaps sanctions on Trump lawyers for 'frivolous' Clinton lawsuit," by Josh Gerstein and Kyle Cheney

WAR IN UKRAINE

THE VIEW FROM THE U.S. — "U.S. races to shore up European support for Ukraine strategy," by Erin Banco and Paul McLeary

— "Top U.S. General Urges Diplomacy in Ukraine While Biden Advisers Resist," by NYT's Peter Baker

ON THE GROUND — "Ukraine Moves Forward in South, With Little Resistance From Russia," by NYT's Andrew Kramer

LOOKING TO 2023 — "The next Congress could cause Ukraine to lose the war," by WaPo's Josh Rogin

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

TESTING BIDEN'S METTLE — "A meltdown in Haiti is testing Biden's diplomatic mojo," by Nahal Toosi: "A spiraling political, security and humanitarian crisis in the Caribbean nation, where violent gangs have increased their power following last year's assassination of Haitian President JOVENEL MOÏSE, has Washington pushing for a multinational security force to stabilize the country. But Biden doesn't want the United States to take the lead, partly because of Haitian resentment over past U.S. interventions."

CLIMATE FILES — "Carbon Dioxide Emissions Increased in 2022 as Crises Roiled Energy Markets," by NYT's Brad Plumer

ABORTION FALLOUT

WHERE DEMS COULDN'T HOLD — "Democrats struggle to shore up key line of abortion defense — the courts," by Megan Messerly

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

HORRIBLE STORY — "Noose found at Chicago's Obama Presidential Center, causes $830-million construction to halt," by USA Today's Christal Hayes

PLAYBOOK METRO SECTION

SPORTS BLINK — "D.C. AG files suit vs. Daniel Snyder, Commanders, Roger Goodell, NFL," by ESPN's Tisha Thompson: "The attorney general for Washington has filed a civil lawsuit against the Washington Commanders, team owner DANIEL SNYDER, the National Football League and commissioner ROGER GOODELL for allegedly colluding to deceive fans and district residents about the league's investigation into the team's toxic workplace culture and allegations of sexual assault in an effort to maintain a strong fan base and to increase profits."

TV TONIGHT — PBS' "Washington Week": Dan Balz, Jonathan Martin, Ayesha Rascoe and Weijia Jiang.

SUNDAY SO FAR …

ABC "This Week": Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Panel: Jonathan Karl, Chris Christie, Donna Brazile and Michelle Cottle.

CBS "Face the Nation": Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) … Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.). Panel: Leslie Sanchez, Ashley Etienne, Joel Payne and Brendan Buck.

FOX "Fox News Sunday": Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.). Panel: Karl Rove, Mary Landrieu, Chad Pergram and Mo Elleithee.

CNN "Inside Politics": Panel: Paul Kane, Rachael Bade, Eva McKend and Melanie Zanona.

NBC "Meet the Press": Panel: Stephen Hayes, Hallie Jackson, Symone Sanders-Townsend and Jake Sherman.

 

DON'T MISS POLITICO'S 2nd ANNUAL DEFENSE SUMMIT ON 11/16: The United States is facing a defining moment in the future of its defense, national security and democratic ideals. The current conflicts and developments around the world are pushing Washington to reshape its defense strategy and how it cooperates with allies. Join POLITICO for our second annual defense summit, "At a Crossroads: America's Defense Strategy" on November 16 in person at the Schuyler DC or join online to hear keynote interviews and panels discussing the road ahead for America's national security. REGISTER HERE .

 
 
PLAYBOOKERS

Maxwell Frost saw The 1975 at The Anthem .

Mallory McMorrow will speak on behalf of Democrats at the Gridiron Club's winter dinner on Dec. 3. Asa Hutchinson will represent the GOP.

OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED at the Federalist Society's Antonin Scalia memorial dinner at Union Station celebrating 40 years of the organization on Thursday night: Supreme Court Justices Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett , Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Elaine Chao, Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah), Rep.-elect Harriet Hageman (R-Wyo.), Maureen Scalia, Eugene Scalia, Alexander Acosta, Leonard Leo, Gary Lawson, Jeff Sessions, Michael Mukasey, Lee Otis, Steven Calabresi, David McIntosh, Greg Mueller and Jonathan Bunch.

— SPOTTED at the International Center for Journalists' Tribute to Journalists on Thursday night, where Andrea Mitchell was honored with the ICFJ Founders Award for Excellence in Journalism: Cesar Conde, Jen Psaki, Kristen Welker, Ken Strickland, Sena Fitzmaurice, Rebecca Kutler, David Gelles, Jonathan Capehart, Phil Rucker and Ashley Parker.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Anderson Okoniewski is now operations director for the House Republican Conference. She previously was director of scheduling and operations for Rep. David Kustoff (R-Tenn.).

TRANSITION — Charles Mathias is now senior counsel in Hogan Lovells' communications, internet and media practice. He previously was deputy bureau chief with the FCC's wireless and telecommunications bureau.

WEDDING — Meghan Burris, VP of comms at NAFCU and a Trump White House and Commerce Department alum, and Michael Small, director of strategy at fintech Ardley, got married on Oct. 29 in Meghan's hometown of Leonardtown, Md. Pic by Julia Summers Photography 

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Jon Thompson, comms director for the National Federation of Independent Business and a Republican Governors Association and a Mike Pence alum, and Carolyn Thompson, a federal healthcare consultant for Booz Allen Hamilton, welcomed William James Thompson on Tuesday morning who came in at 6 lbs, 15 oz. Pic … Another pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Nicole Malliotakis (R-N.Y.) and Stephanie Bice (R-Okla.) … HHS' Sarah Esty … POLITICO's Matt Kaminski, John Hendel and Katie Millette … Norm Eisen of Brookings … Alec MacGillis … Edgar Estrada … David Leiter of Plurus Strategies … Taylor Holgate … NYT's Ruth Igielnik … Joel Foster … Robert Raben of the Raben Group … Andrew Barnhill … Elisabeth Conklin of the House Communications Standards Commission GOP … Daniel Huey of Something Else Strategies … former Rep. Tim Huelskamp (R-Kan.) … Jen Brown of Targeted Victory … Jessica Jennings … Linda Rozett … former Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) … Rebecca Sharer of Sunshine Sachs … BCW's Jenna Sauber … Matt Ortega … New Height Communications' Aurora Matthews and Shani Drake Duncan

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Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn't happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Setota Hailemariam and Bethany Irvine.

 

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N.Y. Today: The search for a Sherman tank driver

What you need to know for Friday.

Good morning. It's Friday, and it's Veterans Day. We'll look at how a search for World War II veterans led to a 99-year-old man who drove a Sherman tank through France after D-Day. We'll also meet someone who did a double take the first time she saw her name on the doors leading to her office — New York City's new fire commissioner.

Via Museum of American Armor

Anticipating Veterans Day, the Museum of American Armor on Long Island spread the word about a "last call" for men who had served on Sherman tank crews in World War II. The museum put advertisements in local newspapers, postings on social media and notices on veterans' hall bulletin boards.

Museum officials figured they would hear from someone. Just under 50,000 Sherman tanks were manufactured, and considering that each tank had a crew of five, hundreds of thousands of G.I.s were trained to drive them or fire the guns.

But no one answered the museum's ads.

The museum was well aware that the roll call from World War II — soldiers and sailors now in their 90s, or older — is growing shorter every year. Of the 16.5 million Americans who served in World War II, just under 99 percent have died, according to the National World War II Museum.

The museum had all but given up when a museum volunteer went to a diner less than three miles from the museum. He noticed, behind the cash register as he paid the check, a black-and-white photograph of a soldier standing next to a Sherman tank. There was a name under the photograph: Julius Fiorini.

The museum tracked down Fiorini, now 99, and decided to get a jump on Veterans Day with a ceremony on Thursday that he attended.

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Fiorini was part of a tank crew that drove across France after D-Day. His son Tom, 71, said his father had received a Purple Heart and a Bronze Star.

He did not talk much about the war, his family said. His grandson Thomas Jr. wrote in a reminiscence that he had not known about the Bronze Star until his grandfather took out his medals recently and put them on the wall, something he had never done before. Occasionally Fiorini talked about pulling his lieutenant from the burning wreckage of his tank during a firefight.

Another story was about a bullet that struck his hand while Fiorini was standing next to the tank. "The bullet, I think it went through his hand and was stuck in the side of the tank," Tom Fiorini said. It did not stop Julius Fiorini from returning to the job he had held before he joined the Army, as a butcher at a supermarket warehouse in the Bronx.

Thomas Jr. wrote in the reminiscence that when he asked the what-was-it-like questions that children put to grandparents, Fiorini's only reply was, "War is hell, kid." Or saying, on the subject of fighting under General George Patton: "It was his courage and our blood."

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"We were hoping for glorious war stories," Thomas Jr. wrote in the reminiscence. "The best we got from him was how filthy they were and how they could never get comfortable because their bodies were covered in lice. Their greatest luxury was turning over their helmets and filling them with soap and water for an occasional bath."

The Veterans Day parade in New York City today will begin at 12:30 p.m., marching north from 26th Street and Fifth Avenue.

WEATHER

Expect showers and, at night, possible wind gusts and a thunderstorm as rain from Tropical Storm Nicole arrives. Temperatures are steady in the mid to high 60s.

ALTERNATE-SIDE PARKING

Suspended today (Veterans Day).

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A commissioner who was surprised to see her name on the door

Jeenah Moon for The New York Times

When Mayor Eric Adams called Laura Kavanagh into his office at City Hall and told her he was appointing her fire commissioner, she exclaimed, "Wait, can you say that twice? Did you really just say that?"

Kavanagh, who had been the acting fire commissioner since Daniel Nigro retired in February, did another double take the day after her appointment became official: She was taken aback by the brand-new decal on the frosted-glass doors outside her office that said "Laura Kavanagh, Fire Commissioner."

Kavanagh has never been a firefighter, but she has eight years of experience in high-ranking administrative jobs in the department. She is the first woman to serve as commissioner and, at 40, the youngest commissioner in more than a century.

She has promised to make the Fire Department more diverse in race and gender, a pledge that would require delicate politicking. It would also require her to confront the culture of a department that has been predominantly white and male for decades. There are only 144 female firefighters among the 10,770 rank-and-file employees who answer to her. And the department has faced several suits from Black employees; it handed out a rash of suspensions after white firefighters shared racist messages after the death of George Floyd in 2020.

Since her appointment as commissioner, Kavanagh has received support from several firefighter associations, including the Vulcan Society, a fraternal organization of Black firefighters. Dellon Morgan, its president, said in a statement that he has "a good relationship with Commissioner Kavanagh" and that they had accomplished a lot together.

Kavanagh said she has been to all 39 emergency medical service stations and most of the city's 218 firehouses — many of them on visits early in the pandemic, when hundreds of emergency service workers tested positive for the coronavirus after taking sick patients to hospitals day after day.

For Kavanagh, one-on-one encounters with Fire Department employees came more easily than being a public figure did. She said was so introverted as a child that she almost did not get into kindergarten — she was too shy to speak with school administrators. She has practiced public speaking for years and has adjusted to being on camera in front of microphones. She has also become used to being recognized in public, even when she is wearing a baseball cap and jeans.

Kavanagh was brought into the Fire Department in 2014 under Mayor Bill de Blasio — the same year the Vulcan Society was part of a settlement over the racial makeup of the department — and helped to assemble one of the most diverse graduating classes of firefighters. Now she supports a package of bills passed recently by the City Council that seeks to remedy longstanding issues of racial and gender diversity. Those measures include a survey of firehouses to ensure they can better accommodate women, along with mandatory public reports on employment opportunity complaints.

Jackie-Michelle Martinez, president of the United Women Firefighters Association, applauded Kavanagh's appointment. But some female firefighters feel that Kavanagh could have done more for them in her past Fire Department jobs. They say that sexism in male-dominated firehouses, insufficient efforts to recruit women and lack of sufficient training for the physical exam are still issues, though they predate Kavanagh's time as commissioner.

Sarinya Srisakul, who is a lieutenant, said she has little confidence that Kavanagh will address those concerns.

"It's great that the glass ceiling has broken for F.D.N.Y. commissioner," she said. "But Laura Kavanagh won't do anything meaningful in changing any sexist structural issues for the women firefighters who work under her."

METROPOLITAN DIARY

Tortoise and Hare

Dear Diary:

I was on my way to work early on a late summer morning. My car was parked on Broadway near the Tortoise and Hare statue at Van Cortlandt Park.

The parade grounds were shrouded in a beautiful fog. The sky was a brilliant swirl of orange and pink. Plumes of magenta mist rose from the field.

I stopped to gaze and take a photo. I noticed a man nearby was also taking pictures.

"Wow," I said, "what a beautiful day."

"I am taking photos of U.F.O.s," he said. "I see them here all the time."

I glanced toward the sky.

"Oh, cool," I said, and then backed away toward my car.

— Michele Handelman

Glad we could get together here. See you on Monday. — J.B.

Melissa Guerrero, Ed Shanahan and Chelsia Rose Marcius contributed to New York Today. You can reach the team at nytoday@nytimes.com.

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